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Hawkes Bay vs Taranaki Tips - Taranaki value to win NPC quarter-final

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: Thu 09 Oct 2025 23:16

Taranaki, though seen as underdogs, have had a successful history against Hawkes Bay, winning their last four encounters, including a recent victory this season. Hawkes Bay finished fourth with seven wins, recently enjoying a strong run. Despite Taranaki's mixed form, where they've lost three of their last five matches, they finished fifth due to their bonus points advantage. Betting tips favor Taranaki to cover a +2.5 handicap or secure an outright win due to their head-to-head success against Hawkes Bay and promising odds.

Ralph Staniforth 09 Oct 2025
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  • Taranaki has won their last four encounters against Hawkes Bay
  • Hawkes Bay recently placed fourth in the NPC with 7 wins
  • Betting tips favor Taranaki to cover a +2.5 point spread
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Taranaki NPC rugby
Taranaki have won their last four games against their hosts (Getty Images)

Hawkes Bay vs Taranaki Tips


Taranaki are underdogs but have a very good record against their hosts. I am backing the visitors to cover and perhaps win.
  • Hawkes Bay vs Taranaki Tips
  • Head to Head
  • Hawkes Bay Form
  • Taranaki Form

  • Hawkes Bay have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Taranaki have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
  • Taranaki have won their last 4 matches against Hawkes Bay.

Head to Head


The last four matches between these sides have all gone Taranaki's way, including three weeks ago when they met this season.

Hawkes Bay Form


Hawkes Bay secured fourth place on the 2025 NPC table with seven wins and three losses in 10 matches. Their 35 points was just one shy of third place.

Over their final five matches of the campaign, Hawkes Bay won four, their only defeat coming in mid-September away to Taranaki – 38-24. They will hope to turn the tables on home soil this weekend.

Since that defeat, Hawkes Bay have beaten Auckland 45-28 at home and Manawatu 38-10 away last weekend.

Taranaki Form


Taranaki finished fifth on the table, three points behind their opponents with six wins in 10 matches and eight bonus points in their 10 games. 

Three of their last five matches in the NPC ended in defeat. They went down to Bay of Plenty and Otago before winning against Hawkes Bay at home. That was followed by a 39-20 home win over Wellington.

Last weekend, Taranaki fell short against Canterbury away from home, losing 34-14.

Verdict

Taranaki are backed to win or at least get within 2.5 points.

Best Bet1: Taranaki +2.5 Handicap $1.91 at betr - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Taranaki Win Result $2.50 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Taranaki +2.5
Handicap
$1.91 - 4 Units
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