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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Sydney Kings NBL26 Round 6 Tips - Phoenix’s Scoring Too Hot To Handle

ryan-tucker
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Fact Checked by Josh Higgins
Last updated: Mon 20 Oct 2025 16:00

The South East Melbourne Phoenix aim to break their 4-game losing streak against the Sydney Kings in NBL25 Round 6. Experts tip the Phoenix to secure a victory as underdogs on their home court this Thursday night. This season, Sydney has been inconsistent, unable to secure consecutive wins. Despite Sydney's strong defense, the Phoenix's superior scoring ability and three-point shooting make them a formidable opponent. Betting recommendations include taking Phoenix on the moneyline and backing them in the 1st quarter as well.

Ryan Tucker 20 Oct 2025
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  • South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Sydney Kings expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 6 NBL matchup
  • Tip-off is at 7:30 PM AEDT at John Cain Arena
  • Phoenix tipped to win against Kings as underdogs on home court.
  • Sydney inconsistent with inability to secure consecutive wins.
  • Phoenix's strong scoring and three-point shooting give them an edge.
South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Sydney Kings NBL26 Round 6 Tips

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Sydney Kings NBL25 Round 6 Expert Tips


South East Melbourne will break a 4 game losing streak against the Kings as they are tipped to win as the Underdogs on home court this Thursday night.
  • South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Sydney Kings NBL25 Round 6 Expert Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • Last 5 Match Results
  • Offensive & Defensive Rankings
  • South East Melbourne Phoenix Form & Team News
  • Sydney Kings Form & Team News
  • South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Sydney Kings Frequently Asked Questions

Sydney swept the season series 3-0 last year but have shown to be inconsistent this season, unable to string together consecutive wins across their first 6 games. Kendric Davis is by far and away their best scorer while Xavier Cooks could be higher up the list if he could nail a few more free throws than his 25% FT rate. 

The Kings are the 3rd ranked defence but 4 of their 6 games have been against the bottom 4 scoring teams in the league. Now they match up against the Phoenix who are the 2nd ranked scoring team, putting up 94.2 per game against opponents. Against United who are top ranked, Sydney allowed 107 pts and that was without Chris Goulding.

South East Melbourne dominated the Hawks last outing, they are the best 3pt shooting team in the league, have the 2nd highest scoring bench and have the 2nd best Points Per Possession allowed at just 1.02, slightly ahead of the Kings.

Sydney have not proven they can defend against an elite scoring outfit while also being able to keep pace on the offensive end. Take the Phoenix to win on the moneyline while going Over their Team Total. Given the Kings slow starts, take the Phoenix on the 1st Quarter moneyline too. Jordan Hunter has had a slight lift in output over the past few games, take his Points/Rebounds/Assists Total Over

  • Sydney are the 3rd ranked defence but have played 4 of the bottom ranked scoring teams to start the season.
  • South East Melbourne are the 2nd ranked scoring team averaging 94.2 ppg and number 1 three point shooting team in the NBL. 
  • Sydney have won just 2 of 6 first quarters this season. SEM have won 3 of 5.
  • Jordan Hunter is averaging 11.3 pts, 7.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists across his last 3 games.

Head to Head 


Last 5 Match Results


DateHome TeamScoreLineTotal Points
22/01/2025SEMSYD 103-92SYD +1.0O 193.5
02/01/2025SYDSYD 110-101SYD -5.0O 194.5
08/11/2024SYDSYD 74-69SEM +6.5U 177.5
17/02/2024SEMSYD 122-67SYD -9.0U 189.5
25/01/2024SEMSEM 104-98SEM +12.5O 190.0

Offensive & Defensive Rankings


SEM OffRankStatRankSYD Def
94.22PPG382.7
43.44RPG743.3
39.7%10FG%242.5%
34.7%23P%631.6%
9.22TOV611.7

SEM DefRankStatRankSYD Off
855PPG688.5
4710RPG244
42.9%4FG%545.0%
36.6%103P%729.4%
20.41TOV17

South East Melbourne Phoenix Form & Team News


South East Melbourne rebounded from an 88-71 loss to the Adelaide 36ers on Thursday last week to absolutely blow out the Illawarra Hawks 116-76 on Saturday at John Cain Arena. The Phoenix are 2-0 on their home court this season.

The biggest difference between the two games last week on the offensive end was the 3pt shooting of the Phoenix, just 25.8% from deep against the 36ers but a much improved 40% in the blowout of the Hawks. They are the 2nd best 3pt shooting team in the league despite having the 10th ranked overall FG%.

SEM are also forcing the most turnovers from opponents this season with 20.4 per game, Illawarra having 25 in the most recent outing. They rank 10th in defensive rebounding but the field is quite compact.

Sydney Kings Form & Team News


Sydney have traded wins and losses every other match this season and came out of last week 1-1 with a 86-70 loss to the JackJumpers at the Ignite Cup before belting the Wildcats in Sydney 94-72 on Sunday.

After 6 games played they sit 5th with a 3-3 record and an even 1-1 on the road. They have been slow out of the gates winning only 2 of their 6 first quarters but once they get going are hard to stop. 

Kendric Davis leads the team by a margin in scoring with 21.2 per game while Matthew Dellavedova is averaging 5.7 assists per outing as a distributor. Makuach Maluach is only seeing around 12 minutes per game but is shooting at 50% from 3pt range with 1.3 attempts per game.


South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Sydney Kings Frequently Asked Questions

What time does South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Sydney Kings start?

Tip-off between South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Sydney Kings is at 7:30 PM AEDT, Thursday, October 23

What channel is South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Sydney Kings on?

You can watch South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Sydney Kings on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Verdict

Take the Phoenix to win on the moneyline while going Over their Team Total. Given the Kings slow starts, take the Phoenix on the 1st Quarter moneyline too. Jordan Hunter has had a slight lift in output over the past few games, take his Points/Rebounds/Assists Total Over
Best Bet1: SEM Phoenix Moneyline $2.00 at Elitebet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: SEM Over 89.5 Team Total $1.90 at Ladbrokes Australia - 2 Units
Best Bet3: SEM 1st QTR Moneyline $1.95 at Playup - 2 Units
Best Bet4: J Hunter 20+ Points, Rebounds & Assists $1.90 at dabble - 1 Unit
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