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Perth Wildcats vs Sydney Kings NBL26 Semi-Final Tips - Kings advance to Final

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Thu 12 Mar 2026 13:52

In the NBL25 semi-final, Sydney Kings aim to clinch a spot in the finals against Perth Wildcats. Having narrowly won the first game by a point, the Kings are expected to leverage their past victories and strong performances from Kendric Davis to secure a win at RAC Arena. Wildcats will need to dominate inside the paint, while Jo Lual-Acuil's rebound game remains crucial. Expert tips suggest focusing on Kendric Davis to exceed 26.5 points and secure multiple three-pointers, reinforcing Sydney's role as the 5.5-point favorites.

Jeremy Darke 12 Mar 2026
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  • Perth Wildcats vs Sydney Kings expert predictions for Saturday’s Semi-Final NBL matchup
  • Tip-off is at 8:00 PM AEDT at RAC Arena
  • Kendric Davis is expected to excel with over 26.5 points and multiple three-pointers.
  • Jo Lual-Acuil is critical for Wildcats with over 7.5 rebounds crucial for their chances.
Perth Wildcats vs Sydney Kings NBL26 Semi-Final Tips

Perth Wildcats vs Sydney Kings NBL25 Semi-Final Expert Tips


Sydney did it the hard way in Game one, escaping with victory by 1-point, but they will find the ingredients to do it easier at RAC Arena and book their place in the NBL Final. 

A third-quarter explosion from Kristian Doolittle put the Wildcats right in it until the final seconds of the match, however, Sydney dominated all three matchups during the regular season winning by 18 points or more in each game. Brian Goorjian has the recipe and if they repeat what they did to Doolittle in the first half (4 points) they will run away with Game 2.

With Torrey Craig as his assistant Kendric Davis owned the Wildcats defence again, dropping 5 threes and 35 points in the opening match of this series. Davis scores more points against Perth than any other team in his 2 years in the NBL so you have to go back to the well. 

Take Davis again on his over of 26.5 points and if you want some value go back to the threes and back the Sydney guard for 4+ made. 

If the Wildcats are ging to stay in it they will need to again win the battle inside the paint and Jo Lual-Acuil dominated in Game One with 12 rebounds, so take his over of 7.5 boards.

  • Sydney have beaten Perth in all 4 meetings in NBL26.
  • Kendric Davis averages 31.1 points in his career against Perth.
  • Kendric Davis has made 18 threes from 29 attempts in his last 3 games against Perth.
  • Jo Lual-Acuil has had 12 rebounds in each of his last 2 games.

Head to Head 


Last 5 Match Results
DateHome TeamScoreLineTotal Points
11/03/2026SYDSYD 105-104PER +8.5O 189.5
15/02/2026SYDSYD 102-84SYD -11.5U 192.5
12/12/2025PERSYD 108-79SYD +2.5O 183.5
19/10/2025SYDSYD 94-72SYD -5.5U 180.5
02/02/2025SYDPER 104-97PER +4.5O 193.5

Offensive & Defensive Rankings
SYD OffRankStatRankPER Def
99.32PPG186.1
42.24RPG441
48.6%1FG%143.1%
35.6%23P%633.4%
9.11TOV610.8

SYD DefRankStatRankPER Off
87.22PPG790.8
41.57RPG342.9
43.4%2FG%545.7%
32.3%33P%832.0%
12.93TOV411


Perth Wildcats Form & Team News


Perth were hanging on, trailing by 4 points at the half in Game 1 with Kristian Doolittle being shut down heavily on just 4 points. That changed dramatically in the third with the Wildcat’s centerpiece putting up 19 points alone and out scoring the Kings 31-25. 

With a two-point lead heading into the final quarter the Wildcats came within one point of snatching the opener on enemy soil, however it wasn’t to be.

Doolittle finished the night with 31 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Jo Lual-Acuil hit a standard double-double with 19 points and 12 rebounds. David Duke Jr. was valuable off the bench with 20 points, 6 rebounds and 8 assists.  

The Cats were strongest under the rim out rebounding the Kings 48-31 with 20 offensive boards giving them plenty of bonus cracks at the basket. 

Sydney Kings Form & Team News


The Kings came up clutch in the final moments of the match and it was Kendric Davis dropping threes and Xavier Cooks putting in the ‘easy baskets’ to ensure that the Kings led by 4 points into the final minute of the match, stealing it 105-104 in Game 1.

Kendric Davis proved why he was in the MVP fight with the greatest the league has seen, sinking 35 points along with 6 assists converting 5 threes on 7 attempts, while being clutch down the stretch. 

The difference in this one was the bench of Sydney with Matt Dellavedova starting the match strong and finishing with 11 points and 3 assists. However it was Torrey Craig who played the supporting role to Davis, who was heavily marked, finding space and going for 20 points along with 9 rebounds and 3 assists.

Perth Wildcats vs Sydney Kings Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Perth Wildcats vs Sydney Kings start?

Tip-off between Perth Wildcats vs Sydney Kings is at 8:00 PM AEDT, Saturday, March 14

What channel is Perth Wildcats vs Sydney Kings on?

You can watch Perth Wildcats vs Sydney Kings on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Where can I livestream Perth Wildcats vs Sydney Kings?

If you are outside of Australia, the NBL allows you to stream live on YouTube via the official NBL channel

Verdict

Kendric Davis will take this game again with 4 threes and over 26.5 points as the Kings cover as 5.5 point favourites. Jo Lual-Acuil will collect 8 rebounds for the Wildcats.
Best Bet1: Sydney -5.5 Handicap/Line $1.92 at Teambet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: K. Davis Over 26.5 Player Points $1.87 at dabble - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Kendric Davis 4+ Threes $2.90 at betr - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: J Lual-Acuil Over 7.5 Player Rebounds $1.87 at NextBet - 3 Units
Sydney -5.5
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Perth Wildcats v Sydney Kings