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New Zealand Breakers vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL26 Round 11 Tips - Tassie an offensive force?

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Fri 05 Dec 2025 08:52

The Tasmania JackJumpers are expected to leverage their full-strength lineup, led by Bryce Hamilton and David Johnson, to defeat the New Zealand Breakers at Spark Arena. Despite the Breakers' recent win against Sydney, Tasmania's revitalized offense, exemplified by their 104-81 victory over Sydney, is poised to score over 87.5 points, backed by Hamilton's potential 20+ points and Johnson's 3+ assists. While the home court disadvantage looms, the JackJumpers' momentum is anticipated to steer them to victory, adding to their recent successes.

Jeremy Darke 05 Dec 2025
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  • New Zealand Breakers vs Tasmania JackJumpers expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 11 NBL matchup
  • Tip-off is at 5:30 PM AEDT at Spark Arena
  • Tasmania JackJumpers expect to benefit from a strong lineup, led by Bryce Hamilton and David Johnson.
  • Despite a strong game against Sydney, Breakers face a tough challenge with Tasmania's pumped-up offence.
New Zealand Breakers vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL26 Round 11 Tips

New Zealand Breakers vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL25 Round 11 Expert Tips


The JackJumpers are well-rested and at full strength and that will prove to be the difference against the Breakers as Tasmania put a dent in their Spark Arena hoodoo. 

Tassie does not like to travel to New Zealand and their 1-6 record at Spark exclaims that. However, that trend will look a little better for the JJ’s after Saturday as they ride the momentum of the return of David Johnson to the lineup and a revitalized offence that is set to have the JackJumpers return to their winning ways. 

Both teams are coming off wins against Sydney in their last outing, the Breakers (95-90) on Wednesday and Tasmania (104-81) almost two weeks ago. The return of Johnson to the Jackies team has seen an instantaneous lift in their offence with the guard’s ability to spread the floor.

As scary as it may be, I am backing the Tasmania offence to get the job done, score over their team total of 87.5 points, Hamilton to drop 20 and Johnson to record 3+ assists.

  • The Breakers are 3-5 in New Zealand this season.
  • The JackJumpers are averaging 95 points per game in their last 3 matches.
  • Bryce Hamilton averages 19.3 points per game.
  • David Johnson averages 3.5 assists in his 2 games since returning from injury.

Head to Head 


Last 5 Match Results
DateHome TeamScoreLineTotal Points
17/10/2025NZBNZB 82-65NZB +2.5U 175.0
16/01/2025NZBNZB 85-75NZB -2.5U 176.5
25/12/2024TASTAS 97-82TAS -8.5O 177.0
12/12/2024NZBTAS 100-76TAS -2.0O 166.5
09/11/2024TASTAS 83-64TAS +3.5U 163.5

Offensive & Defensive Rankings
NZB OffRankStatRankTAS Def
88.38PPG586.8
43.72RPG340.9
44.2%8FG%744.8%
29.4%103P%733.5%
12.57TOV711

NZB DefRankStatRankTAS Off
88.16PPG985.7
41.54RPG840.1
44.8%6FG%345.5%
28.5%13P%433.1%
12.34TOV511.5

New Zealand Breakers Form & Team News


The Breakers turned a 6-point deficit at the start of the fourth quarter into an impressive 95-90 victory outsourcing Sydney 27-16 in the final term. 

The depth of the New Zealand was on display with all of their starting five hitting double-digits with Parker Jackson-Cartwright lighting it up from the perimeter, dropping 6 of 8 three point attempts in the match. 

PJC wasn’t the only sharp shooter in the match with NextStar Karim Lopez having one of his best NBL games of his career going for 18pts + 6reb + 4ast + 2blk + 1 stl. The entire Breakers team were on point shooting at 54.7% from the field and 44.1% from three.

Tasmania JackJumpers Form & Team News


It will be thirteen days since the majority of the JackJumpers played a match with Boomers Ben Aye and Josh Bannan the exceptions. 

A timely bout against Sydney came at the right time for Tasmania, sweeping the series against the Kings with their third victory this season, putting on their most impressive offensive display of the year in a  104-81 victory. 

The difference could be put down to the return of David Johnson and his influence on spreading the court and opening up space for Bryce Hamilton (22 PTS) and Josh Bannan (19 PTS) while also sinking 15 himself, along with 5 assists

With Johnson in the team, the depth of Tasmania is long with a solid bench that includes Ben Aye, Nick Marshal and Majok Deng. 

New Zealand Breakers vs Tasmania JackJumpers Frequently Asked Questions

What time does New Zealand Breakers vs Tasmania JackJumpers start?

Tip-off between New Zealand Breakers vs Tasmania JackJumpers is at 5:30 PM AEDT, Saturday, December 6

What channel is New Zealand Breakers vs Tasmania JackJumpers on?

You can watch New Zealand Breakers vs Tasmania JackJumpers on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Verdict

Bryce Hamilton will go for 20+, David Johnson will be the deliverer with 3+ assists and Tasmania will score over their team total of 87.5 points in an underdog victory.
Best Bet1: Tasmania JackJumpers Money Line $2.10 at Pandabet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Tasmania Over 87.5 Team Total $1.83 at Playup - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Bryce Hamilton 20+ Player Points $1.87 at Elitebet - 3 Units
Best Bet4: David Johnson 3+ Assists $2.00 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Tasmania JackJumpers
Money Line
$2.10 - 2 Units
Pandabet
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Tasmania Over 87.5
Team Total
$1.83 - 2 Units
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Bryce Hamilton
20+ Player Points
$1.87 - 3 Units
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Bet at Elitebet
David Johnson
3+ Assists
$2.00 - 2 Units
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Betting Slip | 06 Dec 2025

New Zealand Breakers v Tasmania JackJumpers NBL26 Round 11 Tips

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