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New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Kings NBL26 Round 11 Tips - Kings finally spark in the Ignite Cup

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Mon 01 Dec 2025 15:39

The New Zealand Breakers will host the Sydney Kings in a highly anticipated NBL match, marking the first professional basketball game in Waikato region in seven years. Despite the excitement, the Kings, boasting the league's best defense, are expected to win, continuing their dominance over the Breakers, who have struggled with inconsistency. With standout players like Kendric Davis and Sam Mennenga, this game promises excitement and skill. Davis has a standout scoring record against the Breakers, while Mennenga continues his strong form, both expected to shine in this encounter.

Jeremy Darke 01 Dec 2025
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  • New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Kings expert predictions for Wednesday’s Round 11 NBL matchup
  • Tip-off is at 5:30 PM AEDT at GLOBOX Arena
  • Kendric Davis shines against the Breakers, scoring 25.2 points on average.
  • Sam Mennenga key for the Breakers, but challenges with consistency persist.
New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Kings NBL26 Round 11 Tips

New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Kings NBL25 Round 11 Expert Tips


The Kings will break their Ignite Cup duck against the tournament leaders the Breakers in New Zealand on an historic night for basketball in the country.
  • New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Kings NBL25 Round 11 Expert Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • New Zealand Breakers Form & Team News
  • Sydney Kings Form & Team News
  • New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Kings Frequently Asked Questions

It will be the first time in 7 years that pro basketball will be played in the Waikato region, but unfortunately the hype of the match will not be enough to lift the Breakers over Sydney as their poor form in the country will continue. 

The Kings fell before the break to their bogey team the JackJumpers, however, they were the in-form team of the competition prior to the loss and still boast the best defensive system in the league. The Breakers can have their night but overall have not been the most consistent shooters in the competitions and that will hurt them against the most disciplined defence of the Kings. 

Kendric Davis loves playing the Breakers and has his best scoring average of 25.2 points per game against New Zealand than any other team in the competition. Expect the Kings guard to find his range and lift Sydney to victory. 

It is hard to ignore the form of the Breakers Sam Mennenga in this contest, the Tall Blacks centre top scored in both matches for his nation in their slim losses to Australia and he will carry that momentum into this match scoring over his points total of 17.5.

  • Sydney have won their last 4 matches against New Zealand by an average margin of 13 points.
  • New Zealand are 2-5 at home this season.
  • Kendric Davis has a career-best average 25.2 points against New Zealand.
  • Sam Mennenga has four 20+ point games in his last 7 matches.

Head to Head 


Last 5 Match Results
DateHome TeamScoreLineTotal Points
09/11/2025SYDSYD 79-72NZB +7.5U 180.0
04/10/2025SYDSYD 97-75SYD -10.0U 181.5
20/12/2024NZBSYD 92-84SYD -7.5U 177.0
07/12/2024NZBSYD 98-83SYD -5.0O 170.5
27/10/2024SYDNZB 93-89NZB +9.0O 171.5

Offensive & Defensive Rankings
NZB OffRankStatRankSYD Def
88.38PPG185.8
43.72RPG842.3
44.2%8FG%444.4%
29.4%103P%632.8%
12.57TOV313

NZB DefRankStatRankSYD Off
88.16PPG491.1
41.54RPG542.8
44.8%6FG%644.5%
28.5%13P%731.6%
12.34TOV18.9


New Zealand Breakers Form & Team News


The Breakers found what they needed against the Cairns Taipans to head into the break with a win 102-96, overcoming the tough task of an improving Taipans team. 

It was arguably the most balanced performance of the Breakers this season with three players scoring 20+ points and all of their five starters finishing the match in double digits.

Sam Mennenga continues to be one of the most premium centres in the NBL, scoring 22 points and 8 rebounds in the match, his fourth game in seven with over 20 points. The New Zealand big man is hitting well above his career averages in his third full season in the NBL with 16.9 points, 7.4 rebounds while shooting at 48.9FG%.

Sydney Kings Form & Team News


Sydney were aiming to head into the FIBA break on a five-game win streak, but stumbled against the JackJumpers for the second time this season, despite Tasmania going winless in 8 games prior. 

The loss to the JJ’s was heavy, getting dominated 104-81, paying the price for their poor shooting options, hitting just 38 percent from the field and going 8-34 from the three point line. Adding to their worries, both Xavier Cooks and Bul Kuol ended up being fouled out, with Cooks playing just 17:26 mins in the match and Kuol even less with just 14:50 min on the court.

Despite the blowout against Tasmania, Sydney are still ranked the best defensive team in the competition, allowing just 85.8 points to their opposition.

New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Kings Frequently Asked Questions

What time does New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Kings start?

Tip-off between New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Kings is at 5:30 PM AEDT, Wednesday, December 3

What channel is New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Kings on?

You can watch New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Kings on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Verdict

Sam Mennega will score over 17.5 points in a losing side with the Kings Kendric Davis putting on a show going over his points total of 23.5. Despite the scoring efforts of Davis and Mennega, the Game total will stay under 177.5 and Sydney will cover the 2.5 points as the favourite.
Best Bet1: Sydney -2.5 Handicap/Line $1.91 at Pandabet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Under 177.5 Game Total $1.91 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Best Bet3: S. Mennenga Over 17.5 Player Points $1.89 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet4: K. Davis Over 23.5 Player Points $1.92 at Playup - 2 Units
Sydney -2.5
Handicap/Line
$1.91 - 3 Units
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Under 177.5
Game Total
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S. Mennenga Over 17.5
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