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Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL25 Tips - Hawks steady on top
The Illawarra Hawks are forecasted to break their two-game losing streak in a match against the Tasmania JackJumpers, where they are favorites to outscore and outperform their rivals. Having faced a challenging schedule, the Hawks have had time to recover and are set to leverage their strength in the paint, with players like Sam Froling and Try Kell expected to lead the charge. Meanwhile, Tasmania's recent vulnerability underpins Illawarra's advantage, particularly if opposing key players struggle.
- Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers expert predictions for Tuesday’s Round 15 NBL matchup
- Tip-off is at 7:30 PM AEDT at WIN Entertainment Centre
- Hawks' strength lies in scoring in the paint, exploiting Tasmania's vulnerability.
- Preview, stats, head-to-head, team news & more
Jez's Tuesday and Wednesday NBL Tips.
Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL25 Tips
The Hawks will break their two-game losing streak and remain top of the table, keeping this match out of reach for Tasmania covering the 5.5 points as the favourite.
- Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL25 Tips
- Head to Head
- Illawarra Hawks Form & Team News
- Tasmania JackJumpers Form & Team News
- Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers Frequently Asked Questions
The Hawks were the victim of their brutal holiday season schedule but have now had 4 days to recover with no travel to worry about. They face the JackJumpers who suffered their first loss in 9 matches, but the Phoenix displayed the key to beating them which also plays into the strengths of the Hawks.
With and without Magnay, Tasmania are vulnerable in the paint which is the are of most dominance for the Hawks this season. Expect the offence of Illawarra to run through the key and Sam Froling to see plenty of early ball in the Hawks offensive sets.
Illawarra can be beaten by meeting offence with offence, however the JackJumpers do not have scoring power to keep up with the Hawks, especially if Milton Doyle or Jordon Crawford have an off night.
The Hawks will skip away with Froling scoring 15+ points in the match and Try Kell going 20+.
- Tasmania ranks 9th in the NBL with a field goal percentage of 43.0.
- The Illawarra Hawks rank first in the NBL with 51.4 points in the paint.
- Tasmania ranks 7th in the NBL with 41.7 opposition points in the paint.
- Sam Froling has scored an average of 15.28 points in his past 7 matches.
Head to Head
2024/25 Match Results
12/10/24: Illawarra 109 - 76 Tasmania
2023/24 Season Series
Tasmania JackJumpers won 2-1
Offensive & Defensive Rankings
| ILL Off | Rank | Stat | Rank | TAS Def |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101.6 | 1 | PPG | 1 | 84.4 |
| 43.8 | 1 | RPG | 8 | 42 |
| 48.9% | 1 | FG% | 3 | 44.8% |
| 35.7% | 5 | 3P% | 1 | 30.6% |
| 10.4 | 1 | TOV | 2 | 12.8 |
| ILL Def | Rank | Stat | Rank | TAS Off |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92.7 | 6 | PPG | 10 | 84.1 |
| 40 | 5 | RPG | 8 | 39.8 |
| 44.3% | 2 | FG% | 9 | 43.1% |
| 34.6% | 3 | 3P% | 6 | 34.3% |
| 12.4 | 5 | TOV | 7 | 12.5 |
Illawarra Hawks Form & Team News
The best team in the NBL ran into a speed bump over the holiday period, playing 5 games in 12 days, which was always going to be a tough task to come out unscathed. The Hawks lost two consecutive games for just the second time in NBL25, going down 110-105 to South East Melbourne on New Year’s Eve, then in one of the biggest upsets in NBL history losing to Cairns 108-105, both at home in the Wollongong.
South East Melbourne got the better of the Hawks, who certainly looked a little out of gas, especially on defence, giving the Phoenix too many good looks. Against the Taipans a third quarter lapse where they were out scored by 19 points put them in a hole they couldn’t dig themselves out of.
The Hawks have dominated for the good part of this season, but where they have been vulnerable is when teams don’t try and stop but simply try and outscore them by beating the Hawks full-power offence with offence of their own.
Illawarra have an average winning margin of 16.76 with only one of their wins being by 6 points or less. While in contrast 5 of their 7 losses have been by 5 points or less. The positive is they can blow out teams, the negative is that they are vulnerable if the game is close and have not mastered the method to secure tight victories.
Tasmania JackJumpers Form & Team News
The JackJumpers lost their first game since November 7 against Perth, going down to South East Melbourne 105-91, recording their first defeat in eight games and also their first at MyState Bank Arena in NBL25.
The Phoenix may have unlocked the key to beating Tasmania with their bigs Jordan Hunter and Matt Hurt dominating the Jackies without Will Magnay. Tassie were dominated in the paint with the Phoenix out scoring them 58-44 while allowing them just 3 second chance points all match. Turnovers (16-8) were also a major issue for the Ants giving the Phoenix 24 points from their mistakes.
The JackJumpers have done well to claw their way back into the top-six but have a tough run ahead. S.E.M had the perfect plan to attack the weaknesses of the JackJumpers, who are ranked 9th in the NBL in points in the paint (34.9) and seventh in opposition points in the paint (41.7).
Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers start?
Tip-off between Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers is at 7:30 PM AEDT, Tuesday, January 7
What channel is Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers on?
You can watch Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.
Verdict
The Hawks will cover the 5.5 point line with Sam Froling scoring 15+ points and Try Kell scoring 20+.
Illawarra -5.5
Handicap/Line
$1.87 - 3 Units
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Sam Froling
15+ Player Points
$1.78 - 3 Units
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Trey Kell lll
20+ Player Points
$1.90 - 2 Units
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