Nuggets vs Mavericks Player Props + Raptors vs Pacers Picks - NBA Today

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Wed 14 Jan 2026 14:33

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Ryan Tucker 14 Jan 2026

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Peyton Watson likely to surpass 19.5 points amid expanded role.
Collin Murray-Boyles projected for more than 7.5 rebounds.
Our model analyzes player usage, minutes, and game context.

Nuggets vs Mavericks Player Props + Raptors vs Pacers Picks

Nuggets vs Mavericks Player Props + Raptors vs Pacers Picks | NBA Today

NBA player props remain the focus heading into today’s slate, with two matchups standing out based on scoring and rebounding opportunities. Despite a mixed start to the week, the model continues to perform well overall, and today’s picks target players whose roles and usage remain firmly in their favour.

Nuggets vs Mavericks Player Props + Raptors vs Pacers Picks | NBA Today
Nuggets vs Mavericks - Player Prop Pick
Peyton Watson Over 19.5 Points
Raptors vs Pacers - Player Prop Pick
Collin Murray-Boyles Over 7.5 Rebounds
How We Analyse NBA Player Props

Nuggets vs Mavericks - Player Prop Pick

Peyton Watson Over 19.5 Points

Watson continues to rate as the top scoring projection in today’s model, sitting around twenty-eight points. His recent form includes a thirty-one point outing after being named Western Conference Player of the Week, and his role has expanded as Denver manage injuries across the roster.

While the market has adjusted significantly moving his line from fourteen and a half earlier in January to nineteen and a half, Watson has still cleared this number in seven of his last eight games. Dallas have allowed opposing guards to score twenty or more points in seven of their last nine matchups, supporting another look at the over.

Peyton Watson over 19.5Player Points $1.95Bet Here

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Raptors vs Pacers - Player Prop Pick

Collin Murray-Boyles Over 7.5 Rebounds

Murray-Boyles leads all rebounders in today’s model, with a projected total of twelve boards. He has started at centre in six consecutive games for Toronto and has produced strongly when given extended minutes.

In games where he has played at least thirty minutes, his rebound totals read seven, fifteen, fifteen, and seven. Indiana have struggled to contain opposing centres, with seven of the last ten clearing their rebounding lines, including six reaching double digits. At seven and a half rebounds, the over remains appealing.

Collin Murray-Boyles over 7.5Rebounds $1.89Bet Here

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How We Analyse NBA Player Props

Our NBA player prop model prioritises recent minutes, usage trends, and matchup context. Even when markets adjust quickly, sustained role growth can continue to create value.