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Turkey vs Sweden Tips & Live Stream - Turkey riding high after brilliant group stage

nemanja-dojcinovic
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Last updated: Fri 05 Sep 2025 16:47

Turkey enters the EuroBasket round of 16 against Sweden with a perfect 5-0 group stage record and considerable momentum. With standout performances from Alperen Sengun and support from Cedi Osman and Adem Bona, Turkey shows strong balance and tactical discipline. Sweden, meanwhile, squeezed into the knockout stage in dramatic fashion and relies heavily on Pelle Larsson’s scoring. Despite Sweden's resilience, Turkey holds the historical edge and is favored to win comfortably. Key action points: back Turkey on the -18.5 spread, and consider Cedi Osman to score over 15.5 points.

Nemanja Dojcinovic 05 Sep 2025
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  • Turkey enters unbeaten (5-0), led by Alperen Sengun’s all-around play.
  • Sweden advanced with only one group win, relying on Pelle Larsson’s scoring.
  • Turkey has won 3 of last 4 H2H
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Cedi Osman Turkey (Getty Image)
  • Turkey vs Sweden Preview
  • Turkey Form & Team News
  • Sweden Form & Team News
  • Head to Head

Turkey vs Sweden Preview


The EuroBasket round of 16 begins with an intriguing first clash between Turkey and Sweden. Turkey come into the game unbeaten from the group stage and full of confidence, while Sweden managed to edge their way through after a hard battle in their pool. 

It’s a meeting of a team expected to compete deep into the tournament against one determined to prove it belongs on this stage.

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Turkey Form & Team News


Turkey swept through the group stage with a flawless 5-0 record, combining high-powered offense with strong defensive intensity. Their ability to both control tempo and close out tight games was showcased in their key win over Serbia, where resilience and execution under pressure stood out.

The team’s engine is Alperen Sengun, who has emerged as one of the tournament’s most complete performers. Averaging around 20 points, close to double-digit rebounds and significant playmaking numbers, he has been the difference-maker in crucial moments.

Supporting him are seasoned internationals such as Cedi Osman and younger talents like Adem Bona, who has provided energy, rim protection, and discipline in his first EuroBasket appearance. This mix of experience and youth has created a balanced roster with multiple scoring and defensive options.

Guided by coach Ergin Ataman, Turkey combines tactical discipline with individual talent. Their strong inside game, ball movement, and structured defense make them one of the toughest teams to face in the knockout rounds.

Sweden Form & Team News


Sweden reached the last 16 in dramatic fashion, finishing fourth in their group with just one win but advancing thanks to a favorable point differential. Their path may have been narrow, but it reflects their resilience and ability to take advantage of key opportunities.

Their standout player has been Pelle Larsson, who has shouldered much of the scoring load with consistent offensive performances. His shooting and leadership have been vital in keeping Sweden competitive throughout the tournament.

The squad, however, has struggled with depth, particularly in the frontcourt. Foul trouble and lapses in rebounding have cost them momentum in several games, and maintaining discipline will be critical against Turkey’s physical interior presence.

Sweden enters this matchup with little pressure, embracing their underdog status. If they can find rhythm from the perimeter and ride Larsson’s hot hand, they could push Turkey harder than expected. However, consistency and collective execution remain their biggest challenges.

Head to Head


Turkey and Sweden have met four times in recent years, with Turkey winning three, including a dominant 105–84 victory in the 2023 Olympic Pre-Qualifiers, while Sweden’s lone success came in an 87–80 upset during the EuroBasket 2022 qualifiers.

Verdict

Turkey’s strong momentum makes the -18.5 spread realistic, with their balanced roster and high tempo giving them the tools to dominate for four quarters.
 
Their scoring threats stretch the floor and wear opponents down, which is why I also like Cedi Osman over on points as a bonus pick, he’s been a steady option who thrives when the game opens up.


Best Bet1: Turkey -18.5 Spread $1.90 at BetRaven - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Cedi Osman 15.5+ Player Performance $1.77 at dabble - 2 Units
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