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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL26 Round 21 Tips - A good matchup for the Jackies
The NBL25 Round 21 matchup between South East Melbourne Phoenix and Tasmania JackJumpers promises excitement as the Phoenix fight to remain at the top. Despite having the top-scoring offense, the Phoenix have previously struggled against the JackJumpers’ strong defense. The JackJumpers, resilient despite injuries, aim to secure a playoff spot. Nathan Sobey and Nick Marshall are expected to shine, but the game may have lower than expected scoring. Experts predict the JackJumpers to cover the 12.5-point spread as underdogs.
- South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 21 NBL matchup
- Tip-off is at 8:00 PM AEDT at John Cain Arena
- JackJumpers have won the last two matchups against the Phoenix this season.
- Sobey and Marshall expected to perform well, but low overall game score predicted.
South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL26 Round 21 Tips
South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL25 Round 21 Expert Tips
South East Melbourne need a big win to keep them in the percentage fight for top spot heading into the playoffs but the JackJumpers will keep this one close, matching up well against the Phoenix this season.
- South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL25 Round 21 Expert Tips
- Head to Head
- South East Melbourne Phoenix Form & Team News
- Tasmania JackJumpers Form & Team News
- South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers Frequently Asked Questions
It is the number one scoring offence versus the number one scoring defence and it has been the JackJumpers that have gotten the better of this head to head clash this season winning the last two encounters.
Tasmania have been one of very few teams this season to slow down the scoring of the Phoenix, holding them to just 84 points and 81 points in their latest two games, a phenomenal total considering they average 100.4 points per game this season.
Three-point attempts will be taken no matter what, that is how S.E Melbourne do things. Expect Nathan Sobey to get his routine 3 three pointers in the match even if this match hits the under as I am predicting. I am also taking a chance on Nick Marshall, not to get 31 points again like he did last match but at least sink a couple from outside the arc.
The Tasmania defence will keep this game total to the under 188.5 which will also work in the favour of them covering the 12.5 points as the away underdog.
- The JackJumpers have won their last 2 matches this season against the Phoenix, while losing the first encounter of NBL26 by just 1 point.
- The last 2 matches between Tasmania and S.E.M have had totals of just 171 & 170 points
- Nick Marshall hit 7-8 three point attempts in his last match.
- Nathan Sobey has hit 3+ threes in 8 of his last 11 matches.
Head to Head
Last 5 Match Results
| Date | Home Team | Score | Line | Total Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/2025 | TAS | TAS 87-84 | TAS +4.5 | U 178.5 |
| 10/12/2025 | SEM | TAS 89-81 | TAS +5.5 | U 186.0 |
| 06/11/2025 | TAS | SEM 103-102 | TAS +2.5 | O 177.0 |
| 25/01/2025 | SEM | SEM 116-80 | SEM -8.5 | O 185.5 |
| 05/01/2025 | TAS | SEM 105-91 | SEM +3.0 | O 184.5 |
Offensive & Defensive Rankings
| SEM Off | Rank | Stat | Rank | TAS Def |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100.4 | 1 | PPG | 1 | 85.8 |
| 42.3 | 4 | RPG | 2 | 40.5 |
| 43.8% | 9 | FG% | 4 | 44.3% |
| 34.6% | 3 | 3P% | 3 | 32.0% |
| 10.2 | 2 | TOV | 7 | 10.6 |
| SEM Def | Rank | Stat | Rank | TAS Off |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92.3 | 6 | PPG | 8 | 87.1 |
| 42.3 | 9 | RPG | 5 | 41.9 |
| 47.7% | 9 | FG% | 6 | 45.0% |
| 33.8% | 8 | 3P% | 6 | 32.8% |
| 16.9 | 1 | TOV | 3 | 10.6 |
South East Melbourne Phoenix Form & Team News
The Phoenix came out second-best in their top of the table clash with Sydney on Sunday, suffering their biggest defeat of the season when they went down to the Kings by 26 points.
It feels like we are on repeat here, but South East Melbourne live and die by the three-ball and shooting at 20.0 3P% against Sydney certainly put the fork in them especially considering that they had 40 attempts from outside, 16 more than the Kings. S.E Melbourne had more chances with 19 more field goal attempts but shot at just 37.5 FG% in the match.
Emotions were high and the moment got too big for the Phoenix, which is also a trend that pops up in the tougher contests and is a concern heading into the playoffs.
Tasmania JackJumpers Form & Team News
The JackJumpers are defying all odds at the moment despite being the walking wounded, with Scott Roth getting everything out of the next man up mentality they have going on in Tasmania.
With the losses of Will Magnay and Bryce Hamilton over the last fortnight the JackJumpers have every right to roll over, but they are clinging onto the final spot in the playoffs. Depending on what New Zealand do in Adelaide in the game prior to them on Saturday will determine if they still need another win to secure their sixth place finish.
One thing is for sure, they will continue to get big performances out of not so big names, just as Nick Marshall’s 31 points from 12 of 13 attempts and 7 threes in a career-best day for the Adelaide junior in the JackJumpers 114-70 victory over the Bullets in Round 20.
South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers Frequently Asked Questions
What time does South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers start?
Tip-off between South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers is at 8:00 PM AEDT, Saturday, February 14
What channel is South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers on?
You can watch South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.
Where can I livestream South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers?
If you are outside of Australia, the NBL allows you to stream live on YouTube via the official NBL channel
Verdict
Nathan Sobey will score 3+ Threes and Nick Marshal will drop two from the perimeter, however this match will stay under the 188.5 game total and the JackJumpers will cover the 12.5 points as the underdog.
Tasmania +12.5
Handicap/Line
$1.91 - 2 Units
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Under 188.5
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Nathan Sobey
3+ Three Pointers
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Nick Marshall
2+ Three Pointers
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