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Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers NBL25 Tips - Harrell monsters the 36ers into the Play-In Game

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Last updated: 17 Feb 2025
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Jeremy Darke 17 Feb 2025
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  • Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers expert predictions for Thursday’s Play-In Qualifier NBL matchup
  • Tip-off is at 7:30 PM AEDT at Qudos Bank Arena
  • Montrezl Harrell expected to shine with a double-double in Adelaide's victory.
  • Preview, stats, head-to-head, team news & more
This is why Sydney is NOT going to progress to the Play-In Game.

Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers NBL25 Tips


Adelaide will advance to the Play-In Game against South East Melbourne with Montrezl Harrell stealing the show with a double-double taking advantage of the absence of Xavier Cooks. Kouat Noi will put in his best efforts from the perimeter for the Kings but it will not be enough as the 36ers cover as the favourites.
  • Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers NBL25 Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • Sydney Kings Form & Team News
  • Adelaide 36ers Form & Team News
  • Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers Frequently Asked Questions

If there was one team in the top six that Adelaide wanted to meet, it was Sydney. The 36ers have swept the Kings this season, including two games at Qudos Arena. Actually, the last win the 36ers had was Sydney, in Sydney, losing their three games leading into the postseason.

With the news that Xavier Cooks will be suspended for this match makes an even more tantalising match for the 36ers who will now looked to use their offensive and rebounding weapon Montrezl Harrell to intimidate the already undersized bigs of the Kings. 

The Kings are going to need to be efficient in their shooting against the worst three-point defenders in the NBL with Jaylen Adams and Kuoat Noi expected to be the main streams of attack for the Kings. 

The Kings will lead on the league-best defence but the 36ers will have too much power in the end and will get their fourth win against the Kings this season.

  • Adelaide have won 5 of their last 6 games against Sydney.
  • Adelaide have an average winning margin of 11.33 points in their three victories over Sydney this season.
  • Kouat Noi has averaged 21.5 points in his last 6 matches.
  • Montrezl Harrell has 3 double-doubles against Sydney this season.

Head to Head 


2024/25 Match Results
24/01/25: Sydney 96 - 105 Adelaide
30/12/24: Sydney 96 - 111 Adelaide
11/10/24: Adelaide 89 - 79 Sydney

Offensive & Defensive Rankings
SYD OffRankStatRankADE Def
90.77PPG896.4
41.83RPG742.4
44.2%8FG%846.7%
34.1%83P%1037.4%
11.25TOV811

SYD DefRankStatRankADE Off
88.22PPG594.3
43.79RPG1038.4
42.2%1FG%247.7%
32.8%23P%336.6%
12.52TOV210

Sydney Kings Form & Team News


Sydney’s finals campaign was rocked before it even got started with the news that All-NBL second team player Xavier Cooks will miss the match after being put under investigation for breaking anti-doping laws. 

It adds even more doubt of how far the Kings can go in these finals after losing their previous three matches heading into the postseason, including a 9-point loss to Adelaide, before defeats by Perth and Illawarra. 

Despite having a top-two defence in most categories, giving up just 88.2 points per game this season and being the hardest team to shoot against, boasting an opposition field goal percentage of 42.1, the Kings have struggled for consistency on the offensive side of the ball.

The Kings stacked roster has fallen in and out of form from night to night, shooting at 44.2FG% (8th) and scoring an average of just 90.7 points per game. 

With Cooks out it makes Sydney’s interior even more vulnerable than it has been this season and they will be relying on Jaylen Adams and Kouat Noi to attack from the perimeter. Adams has scored over 40 points twice this season and both have been against Adelaide, while the NBL25 Sixth-Man of the year Noi will need to lift to another level again and score over his 21.5 point six-game average. 

Adelaide 36ers Form & Team News


Adelaide have the potential to disrupt these finals from sixth and will be a tough beat in the play-in, however, their away record is a concern, losing 10 of 14 matches on the road. 

There is no denying that Adelaide have a top starting five in the league with Montrezl Harrell, Kendric Davis, Dejan Vasiljevic, Isaac Humphries and Lat Mayen, however, that is where it stops, using just 3 bench players, all with limited time on the court. 

The 36ers hopes hang on All-NBL players, Kendic Davis and Montrezl Harrell who will need to lift this team. Davis finished the season second on points averaging 25.6 per game and led the league with 8 assists per game. The impact of Harrell will be the game changer in this one with the former NBA Sixth Man of the Year dominating in the paint this season, averaging 20.7 points per game (4th in NBL) while ranking third in the league with an average of 9.2 rebounds per game.

Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers start?

Tip-off between Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers is at 7:30 PM AEDT, Thursday, February 13

What channel is Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers on?

You can watch Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Verdict

Adelaide will cover as the 2.5 point favourites with Montrezl Harrell recording a double-double. Kouat Noi will score 15+ points for the Kings.
Best Bet1: Adelaide -2.5 Handicap/Line $1.90 at Elitebet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Montrezl Harrell Double-Double $1.79 at Betr - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Kouat Noi 15+ Player Points $1.63 at PlayUP - 3 Units
Adelaide -2.5
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Montrezl Harrell
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Betting Slip | 13 Feb 2025

Sydney Kings v Adelaide 36ers