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Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers Tips - NBL27 Round 4

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: Wed 07 Oct 2026 11:40

The Illawarra Hawks face the Tasmania JackJumpers in a Friday night NBL27 matchup at WIN Entertainment Centre, with expectations set for a high-scoring contest. Illawarra are averaging 97.2 points per game but have also allowed an NBL-worst 104.8, leading to games averaging 202 total points. Tasmania rank third in scoring and are on a three-game winning streak. Expert tips recommend backing over 188.5 total points, with Tasmania's Will Magnay expected to score 15 or more against Illawarra’s struggling defence.

Ryan Tucker 1 hour ago
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  • Over 188.5 total points is tipped as Illawarra and Tasmania, top-scoring NBL teams, meet Friday night.
  • Will Magnay is expected to score 15+ points against Illawarra’s struggling defence.
  • Illawarra have conceded 100+ points in four consecutive games, while Tasmania are on a three-game winning streak.
Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers

Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL27 Expert Tips


Over 188.5 total points is the main bet when the Illawarra Hawks host the Tasmania JackJumpers on Friday night, with two of the NBL's highest-scoring teams meeting at WIN Entertainment Centre.

Illawarra rank second in scoring at 97.2 points per game but have conceded a league-worst 104.8. Their games are averaging 202.0 total points, with four of five going over. Tasmania aren't far behind offensively, ranking third at 94.0 points per game, while their defence has allowed 91.3.

Will Magnay 15+ points is the player prop. The Tasmania big man is averaging 17.5 points per game and now faces an Illawarra defence that has struggled to contain opposition bigs and is allowing opponents to shoot 47.5% from the field.

Back over 188.5 total points between two of the league's top three scoring teams, with Will Magnay 15+ points also tipped against Illawarra's struggling defence.

Key Stats

Illawarra rank second in the NBL with 97.2 points per game.
Tasmania rank third with 94.0 points per game.
Illawarra games are averaging 202.0 total points, with four of five going over.
Will Magnay is averaging 17.5 points per game this season.

Illawarra Hawks vs Tasmania JackJumpers Head to Head


Tasmania hold a narrow 9-8 advantage across the 17 meetings between these teams, although Illawarra have won the past three. The Hawks won all three meetings last season, including a 106-70 victory in Tasmania in their most recent matchup.

DateHome TeamScoreLineTotal Points
18/02/2026
TAS
ILL 103-70ILL +1.5U 190.5
24/01/2026
TAS
ILL 101-91ILL -5.5O 179.0
31/12/2025
ILL
ILL 92-90PushO 180.0
27/09/2025
ILL
TAS 91-86TAS +4.0O 176.0
30/01/2025
TAS
ILL 102-78ILL -9.0U 188.0

Illawarra Hawks Form


Illawarra are 1-4 after suffering a 113-96 loss to South East Melbourne on Sunday, continuing a season where scoring hasn't been the problem.

The Hawks have reached at least 95 points in four of their five games and lead the NBL with 22.4 assists per game. Milton Doyle produced 14 points and 11 assists against the Phoenix, but Illawarra again struggled defensively as South East Melbourne shot 39% from three. The Hawks have now conceded 100+ points in four consecutive games.

Tasmania JackJumpers Form


Tasmania improved to 3-1 with an impressive 109-99 overtime win in Brisbane, their third consecutive victory after losing their season opener.

The JackJumpers overturned another sizeable deficit, with Taran Armstrong scoring 29 points and Josh Bannan adding 22 points, 11 rebounds and five assists. Tasmania shot 53.2% from two-point range and have now lifted their season average to 94.0 points per game. Magnay has also been a consistent scoring option inside, averaging 17.5 points through the opening rounds.

Verdict

Back over 188.5 total points between two of the league's top three scoring teams, with Will Magnay 15+ points also tipped against Illawarra's struggling defence.
Best Bet1: Over 188.5 Game Total $1.87 at CrownBet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Will Magnay 15+ Points $1.80 at BetRaven - 3 Units
Over 188.5
Game Total
$1.87 - 3 Units
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Will Magnay 15+
Points
$1.80 - 3 Units
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