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Carlos Alcaraz vs Luca Nardi Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Nardi can cover a big +6.5 games line in Doha second round

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: 18 Feb 2025
Andrew Hendrie 18 Feb 2025
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  • Carlos Alcaraz vs Luca Nardi predictions for Wednesday's ATP Doha R2
  • Alcaraz has failed to cover a -6.5 games line in four of his last six wins
  • Nardi has won nine of his last 12 matches at all levels
  • The match is scheduled to start around 3.00am AEDT on Thursday February 20
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Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz (Photo by Getty Images)


Carlos Alcaraz vs Luca Nardi Tips, Prediction & Live Stream


Carlos Alcaraz looks to extend his winning streak to seven matches when he meets qualifier Luca Nardi in the second round of the Qatar Open in Doha on Wednesday night.

  • Carlos Alcaraz vs Luca Nardi Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
  • Head To Head
  • Carlos Alcaraz Form
  • Luca Nardi Form
  • Live Stream
I've got no doubt Alcaraz wins this match, but Nardi has the talent and ability to cover a +6.5 games line in defeat. Alcaraz has failed to cover this line in four of his last six matches, winning his Doha opener 6-4 6-4 over veteran Marin Cilic on Monday. Nardi has won nine of his last 12 matches at all levels and the only other time he faced a top five player, he beat Novak Djokovic at Indian Wells last year. The Italian can step up to the occasion and make this match competitive.

Head To Head


This will be the first career meeting between the pair.

Carlos Alcaraz Form


It wasn't the ideal start to the season for Alcaraz, who wasted a great opportunity to secure his career Grand Slam at the Australian Open, losing to an injured Novak Djokovic in the quarter-finals.

However, the Spaniard bounced back strongly in his return to action in Rotterdam, defeating Hurbert Hurkacz and Alex de Minaur in the semis and final respectively to win his first indoor tour-level title.

Competing in a tour-level event in the Middle East for the first time this week, Alcaraz registered a 6-4 6-4 victory over Marin Cilic to launch his Doha title pursuit.

Alcaraz will have lots of motivation in the coming months due to Jannik Sinner's three-month doping ban, which will give him the chance to reclaim the No. 1 ranking.

Luca Nardi Form


Nardi broke into the top 100 last year on the back of his shock victory over Novak Djokovic at Indian Wells, but he hasn't really been able to progress further due to a lack of consistency.

Currently No. 84 in the world, Nardi didn't have a great January, losing in the second round of Auckland to Zizou Bergs and the first round of the Australian Open against Gabriel Diallo.

Dropping back down to the Challenger Tour, Nardi made the final in Koblenz to get some much-needed winning momentum, while he's secured three victories already this week in Doha, qualifying for the main draw and Zhizhen Zhang 6-4 6-3 in the opening round.

Live Stream


Watch and bet on Carlos Alcaraz vs Luca Nardi live tennis from Doha.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Doha with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Alcaraz obviously the overwhelming favourite, but I'm backing Nardi to cover a +6.5 games line in defeat here.

Alcaraz has failed to cover this line in four of his last six wins - even a routine 6-3 6-3 win for the Spaniard would see this bet land in Doha.

Best Bet1: Nardi +6.5 Games Line $1.68 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Nardi +6.5
Games Line
$1.68 - 2 Units
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Betting Slip | 19 Feb 2025

Carlos Alcaraz v Luca Nardi