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Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Tips & Predictions - BTTS backed in blockbuster R16 clash

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: 04 Mar 2025
Andrew Hendrie 04 Mar 2025
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  • Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid predictions for Tuesday's UEFA Champions League game
  • BTTS has landed in the last nine meetings
  • Seven of the last eight meetings have been a draw after 90 minutes
  • The match is scheduled for kick off at 7.00am AEDT on Wednesday March 5
Expired
Real Madrid Atletico Madrid
Real host Atletico on Tuesday (Photo by Getty Images)


Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Tips & Predictions


It doesn't get much bigger than this for a UEFA Champions League R16 tie as bitter rivals Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid collide in the first leg at the Bernebau on Tuesday night.

  • Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Tips & Predictions
  • Head To Head
  • Real Madrid Form
  • Atletico Madrid Form
The 239th edition of the Madrid derby promises to be another electrifying showdown, but it could prove tough to split these teams after 90 minutes in the opening leg. Indeed, the last three meetings between these sides have ended in a 1-1 draw. Furthermore, the last nine encounters have seen both sides find the back of the net. With this in mind, we're backing BTTS - Yes as our best bet for this game, with a smaller stake on another share of the spoils.

  • BTTS has landed in the last nine meetings between the teams
  • The last three meetings have ended in a 1-1 draw
  • Seven of the last eight meetings have resulted in a draw after 90 minutes
  • Atletico have seen BTTS in nine of their last 11 UCL games
  • Real have seen BTTS in four of their last five UCL games

Head To Head


Going back further, seven of the last eight meetings have actually ended in a draw after 90 minutes. The most-recent clash was a 1-1 draw at the Bernebau last month in La Liga, with Julian Alvarez putting Atletico in front via the penalty spot before Kylian Mbappe equalised in the second stanza.

Real Madrid Form


After an indifferent league phase in which they lost to the likes of Lille, Liverpool and AC Milan, Real were forced to qualify for the Champions League R16 the hard way.

However, it might have been what Real needed to really kickstart their UCL title defence, with the Spanish giants rising to the occasion and completely dismantling Manchester City 6-3 over two legs.

It's not been smooth sailing in La Liga either for Carlo Ancelotti's side - they come into this encounter having lost 2-1 against Real Betis this past weekend, which allowed Atletico to climb above them on the ladder.

Kylian Mbappe has scored in three of Real's five UCL home games this season and was also on target against Atletico last month.

Atletico Madrid Form


It's been a superb season for Atletico, who have shaken their defensive persona and transformed into a great attacking side, both domestically and in Europe.

Only two teams scored more goals than Atletico during the league phase of the UCL, with the team winning their last five games to earn automatic qualification into the R16.

Atletico are unbeaten in 25 of their last 26 games in all competitions, with their 1-0 victory over Bilbao this past weekend seeing them leapfrog Real into second spot on the La Liga ladder, just one point behind leaders Barcelona.

Angel Correa could be one to watch for Atletico - he's already netted three times on the road this UCL campaign.

Verdict

Should be another cracking contest between these two footballing juggernauts - and I'm backing BTTS to land for the 10th consecutive encounter.

Both teams have immense attacking firepower, which should lend to another open game. Tough one to call, so another draw offers value in the H2H market.

Best Bet1: BTTS - Yes Both Teams To Score $1.80 at betr - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Draw H2H $3.55 at PlayUP - 1 Unit
BTTS - Yes
Both Teams To Score
$1.80 - 2 Units
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Betting Slip | 04 Mar 2025

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid