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Western United vs Wellington Phoenix Tips & Predictions - Under 3.5 goals backed as Western cement top two status

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: 05 Mar 2025
Andrew Hendrie 05 Mar 2025
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  • Western United vs Wellington Phoenix predictions for Saturday's A-League game
  • Phoenix have seen Under 3.5 goals in 24 of their last 26 games
  • Western have won eight of their last 12 games
  • The match is scheduled for kick off at 6.00pm AEDT on Saturday March 8
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Western United Wellington Phoenix A-League Men
Western host Phoenix on Saturday (Photo by Getty Images)


Western United vs Wellington Phoenix Tips & Predictions


Western United will be looking to remain in the top two for another week when they play host to Wellington Phoenix at Ironbark Fields on Saturday.

  • Western United vs Wellington Phoenix Tips & Predictions
  • Head To Head
  • Western United Form
  • Western United Team News
  • Wellington Phoenix Form
  • Wellington Phoenix Team News
One of the standout teams this season, Western are expected to register their 10th win of the season against a Wellington side who are languishing in 11th spot on the ladder and come into this contest on the back of a three-game losing streak. Our best bet for this clash is Under 3.5 total goals - while Phoenix are struggling, their defence remains solid and is ranked in the top four in the A-League. I'm backing Western to prevail in a relatively low-scoring contest at home.

  • Western have won eight of their last 12 games
  • Phoenix have won just two of their last 13 games
  • Phoenix have lost their last three games
  • Phoenix have seen Under 3.5 goals in 24 of their last 26 games in all competitions
  • Under 3.5 goals has landed in the last four meetings between the teams

Head To Head


Phoenix are unbeaten in the last four meetings between the teams, but both sides have gone in opposite directions since a most-recent 1-1 draw in the opening round.

Western United Form


It's been an outstanding season for Western, who have surged up to second spot on the ladder and look like genuine contenders for the premiership if they can maintain their current level.

Western have won eight of their last 12 games and head into this encounter following back-to-back victories over Adelaide United (3-0) and Central Coast Mariners (3-1).

John Aloisi's side have transformed into one of the best attacking teams in the competition, with Noah Botic topping the goal-scoring charts with 10, while Hiroshi Ibusaki isn't far behind with eight goals for the season.

Western United Team News


Not many injury concerns for Western, with James Donachie still battling a calf injury.

Wellington Phoenix Form


After making the finals and impressing last season, Wellington have regressed in 2024/25 and are all but out of the race for the top six this term.

Phoenix are 11 points adrift of the top six coming into this showdown and have managed just two wins from their last 13 games.

Wellington are at a low point right now, suffering three consecutive defeats against Melbourne Victory (1-0), Auckland FC (6-1) and Melbourne City (1-0).

Wellington Phoenix Team News


Marco Rojas could be in line for a start after being left on the bench last week, while Gabriel Sloane-Rodriguez is looking to recover after missing last week's loss to City due to a knock.

Verdict

Western are flying and Wellington are in freefall - there really should only be one winner here.

Despite Phoenix's woes, they remain solid defensively - and they've seen Under 3.5 goals in 24 of their last 26 games dating back to last season.

Western to win with Under 3.5 goals is the most likely outcome for this clash.

Best Bet1: Under 3.5 Total Goals $1.54 at betr - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Western & Under 3.5 H2H/Total Goals $2.35 at PlayUP - 1 Unit
Under 3.5
Total Goals
$1.54 - 3 Units
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H2H/Total Goals
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Betting Slip | 08 Mar 2025

Western United v Wellington Phoenix