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Rebels vs Lions Betting Tips - Lions to sneak the points against Rebels?

Tight encounter expected in Melbourne
Rebels vs Lions 2019
Rebels and Lions have been two of the poorest sides in the 2020 Super Rugby so expect a tight encounter as they are both keen for a win (Getty Images)

Rebels vs Lions Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips


The Rebels entertain the Lions in a Super Rugby clash at AAMI Park in Melbourne on Saturday.

Both sides know that this match is crucial, as a defeat will see one of them cut further adrift from the play-off places.

The Lions have a very good record against the Rebels, so it is going to be very close in all aspects in Melbourne.

Rebels Form & News


The Rebels have played out a rather strange campaign so far, losing to the Sunwolves, Sharks, and Brumbies, but beating the Waratahs and Highlanders.

That inconsistency was left at home last weekend with a fine 28-22 away win over the Highlanders at Forsyth Barr Stadium in Dunedin.

The biggest challenge so far for the Rebels has been their defence, with the 147 points conceded the second-worst record in the competition.

They will also be worried about their recent home record in Super Rugby. They have won just once in their last 5 matches in Melbourne.

Rebels rugby
Rebels have struggled to create any momentum this Super Rugby season (Getty Images)

Lions Form & News


Like the Rebels, the Lions are a side with issues. They have managed just 1 win from their 4 Super Rugby fixtures so far this season – against the Reds in Johannesburg in Round 2.

Last weekend’s 29-17 defeat at the hands of the Waratahs at the Bankwest Stadium in Sydney was another hammer-blow for the side from South Africa.

While they may be poor away from Johannesburg of late, what the Lions do have is an incredible record against the Rebels, which is something head coach Ivan van Rooyen will have been drilling into his side all week.

Rebels vs Lions Head to Head


The Rebels and Lions have met on 5 occasions in Super Rugby, with the South African side winning every clash. The last time the sides met was at Emirates Airline Park in Johannesburg in 2019, with the Lions running out 36-33 winners. The last time the sides met in Melbourne was in 2017, with the Lions smashing their hosts 47-10.

Rebels vs Lions Betting Odds


The Rebels have been priced as favourites to win the clash at $1.50, while the Lions are available at $2.62. The draw is priced at $26.00. The Lions have been given a +5 handicap at $1.90.

Rebels vs Lions Match Up


Both sides have issues which they will want to eradicate in this clash, especially defensively. The Lions arguably have the better pack, which means they could well look to abandon their free-flowing running game in exchange for a more solid kicking approach. Going with a tactic like that will create a tight encounter and one which the Rebels will struggle to deal with come set-piece time in their own 22.

Rebels vs Lions Stats


  • Lions have won all 5 Super Rugby meetings with the Rebels.
  • Rebels have lost 4 of their last 5 home matches.
  • The average score between the sides is Rebels 21-34 Lions.

Rebels vs Lions FAQ

Where can I watch Rebels vs Lions live stream online?

Check out our online streaming calendar for the Rebels vs Lions live stream.

Where is the Rebels vs Lions Super Rugby match being played?

The Rebels vs Lions match is being played at the AAMI Park in Melbourne, Australia.

When is the Rebels vs Lions Super Rugby match being played?

The Rebels vs Lions match is being played on Saturday 7 March 2020 at 19:15 AEDT.

Verdict

I am backing the Lions to sneak a win in Melbourne at $2.62. If you want to take a slightly more cautious approach, given how tight the match is expected to be, the Lions have a +5 handicap available at $1.90.

Best Bet: Lions +5 Handicap Handicap Market @1.90 at bet365 - 6 Units
Value Bet: Lions Win Win Market @2.62 at bet365 - 3 Units

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