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Brumbies vs Western Force Tips - Brumbies to edge the Force in Super Rugby

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: 21 Feb 2025
Ralph Staniforth 21 Feb 2025
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  • Brumbies beat Western Force in both encounters in 2024, by narrow margins.
  • Brumbies strong, securing 3rd place last season; but often fall short in semis.
  • Western Force started strong, aiming to avoid bottom rank, hope to cover +15.5 handicap.
Expired
Brumbies vs western force 2024
Both games between these sides were decided by less than a score in 2024 (Getty Images)

Brumbies vs Western Force Preview


In 2024, the Force took the Brumbies to the death in both Canberra and Perth. I expect this to be close too with the Force to get within the 15.5 handicap.
  • Brumbies vs Western Force Preview
  • Head to Head
  • Brumbies Form
  • Brumbies Team News
  • Western Force Form
  • Western Force Team News

  • Brumbies won 12 of their 14 league games in Super Rugby last season.
  • Brumbies won their last match.
  • Brumbies have won their last 2 matches against the Western Force.
  • Western Force covered the +15.5 handicap in both games against the Brumbies in 2024.

Head to Head


Last season the Brumbies did the double on the Western Force, winning both home and away. However, the victories were both by less than a score as the Canberra side won by five away from home and by three at home.

Brumbies Form


The Brumbies must be getting quite frustrated with their Super Rugby results. They have been the strongest Australian side for the last few years, they just can’t get over the semi-final hurdle.

In 2024, the Brumbies finished third on the table despite having the exact same win loss ratio as the top two sides. Bonus points cost them dearly.

In round one of the 2025 Super Rugby campaign, the Brumbies beat Fijian Drua 36-32 away from home. There is certainly plenty to work on, but the victory was not easily achieved when you look at the Drua’s history at home.

Brumbies Team News


15 Tom Wright, 14 Andy Muirhead, 13 Len Ikitau, 12 Ollie Sapsford, 11 Corey Toole, 10 Declan Meredith, 9 Ryan Lonergan (captain), 8 Charlie Cale, 7 Luke Reimer, 6 Rory Scott, 5 Tom Hooper, 4 Nick Frost, 3 Allan Alaalatoa, 2 Billy Pollard, 1 James Slipper.

Replacements: 16 Lachlan Lonergan, 17 Blake Schoupp, 18 Rhys van Nek, 19 Lachlan Shaw, 20 Tuaina Taii Tualima, 21 Harrison Goddard, 22 Jack Debreczeni, 23 Hudson Creighton

Western Force Form


The Western Force will be hoping for a season where they are not fighting all season to stay away from the wooden spoon. They’ve struggled in recent seasons and may well do so again in 2025.

However, last weekend, the Force got off to a strong start, beating Moana 45-44 at home. It did take a last minute converted try to win the game, one in which the Force when through 20+ phases.

That said, Moana are there and thereabout where the Force are in terms of league position expected finishes. So, a win here against a top side will go a long way for the Force.

Western Force Team News


15 Mac Grealy, 14 Dylan Pietsch, 13 Sio Tomkinson, 12 Hamish Stewart, 11 Harry Potter, 10 Ben Donaldson, 9 Nic White, 8 Reed Prinsep, 7 Carlo Tizzano, 6 Nick Champion de Crespigny, 5 Darcy Swain, 4 Jeremy Williams (captain), 3 Tom Robertson, 2 Nic Dolly, 1 Marley Pearce.

Replacements: 16 Brandon Paenga-Amosa, 17 Ryan Coxon, 18 Atu Moli, 19 Sam Carter, 20 Will Harris, 21 Issak Fines-Leleiwasa, 22 Max Burey, 23 George Poolman.

Verdict

Western Force are underdogs but are backed to get within the +15.5 handicap.

Best Bet1: Western Force +15.5 Handicap $1.91 at Elitebet - 4 Units
Western Force +15.5
Handicap
$1.91 - 4 Units
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Brumbies v Western Force