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Wests Tigers vs Cronulla Sharks Tips - Cronulla unbackable in Thursday night "marquee"

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: 05 Jul 2023
Ryan Tucker 05 Jul 2023
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  • Wests Tigers vs Cronulla Sharks predictions for Thursday’s NRL game (19:50 AEST)
  • The Sharks have a 52% win rate at Commbank Stadium
  • Will the Tigers be able to recover in time to stop the Sharks barrage?
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wests sharks
Wests Tigers and the Cronulla Sharks (Getty Images)
  • Wests Tigers vs Cronulla Sharks Tips
  • Head to Head
  • Wests Tigers Form
  • Wests Tigers Team News
  • Wests Tigers Team List
  • Cronulla Sharks Form
  • Cronulla Sharks Team News
  • Cronulla Sharks Team List

Wests Tigers vs Cronulla Sharks Tips


The NRL must be shivering in their boots having this match-up as the Thursday night marquee game. The Tigers have been roasted in their past couple of outings and it doesn’t look like getting better any time soon. 

It is difficult to find value in any of the numbers on the Cronulla side which essentially leaves us hoping for a Tigers upset or some solid player props to generate profit from this game.

  • Cronulla have won 8 of 9 games against bottom 8 opponents this year with an average winning margin of 24 points. 
  • In Cronulla’s last 4 wins against Wests, the margin has been between 17 and 30 points. 
  • Wests have lost their past 3 games following a loss of 40 points or more but have covered in 2 of them. 
  • The Tigers have given up 13 tries to outside backs in their past 2 games.

Head to Head

 
Wests have had trouble getting past the Sharks in recent years. The head to head numbers show the Tigers have won only one game from the past five match-ups. 

Three of the last five games have gone over the points total. 

Wests Tigers Form


Well if we didn't think things could get any worse for the Tigers, they did. A 74-0 defeat against the Cowboys in Round 18 is now the record for the biggest scoreline in a game where a team scores no points in the NRL era. 

The Tigers missed 54 tackles and completed only 18 sets in a game that was as one-sided as it could be.

Shining lights for the Tigers were Isaiah Papali’i and Shawn Blore who made 85 tackles combined.

Wests Tigers Team News


Aitasi James is the replacement for the suspended try-scoring machine Alex Twal. 

Asu Kepaoa and Tommy Talau join the backline as replacements for Brent Naden and David Nofoaluma. 

Stefano Utoikamanu’s Origin career remains at one game and will line up for the Tigers this week.

Wests Tigers Team List


1. Jahream Bula
2. Asu Kepaoa
3. Starford To'a
4. Tommy Talau 
5. Junior Tupou
6. Daine Laurie
7. Brandon Wakeham
8. Stefano Utoikamanu
9. Jake Simpkin
10. David Klemmer
11. Isaiah Papali’i
12. John Bateman
13. Fonua Pole

Interchange

14. Tallyn Da Silva
15. Shawn Blore
16. Alex Seyfarth
17. Aitasi James

Reserves

18. Justin Matamua
19. Will Smith
20. Triston Reilly 
21. Brandon Tumeth
22. Josh Feledy

Cronulla Sharks Form


The Sharks once again put a massive score on the board racking up 52 points against the unmotivated Dragons. 

Taking their tally to 100 points scored over their past two games, Cronulla lead the league in points scored averaging 28.07 per game and 29.6 over their last five games. 

Important to note is the fact that they have played the 2nd easiest schedule for opposing defences and the majority of their points have come against bottom 8 opponents.

Cronulla made 35 tackle breaks against the Dragons as well as keeping a clean sheet for set restarts, giving away only 4 penalties for the entire match.

Cronulla Sharks Team News


Cam McInnes starts at lock replacing the suspended Dale Finucane. 

Toby Rudolf came through unscathed from his return to NSW Cup last weekend and takes his place in the front row with Braden Hamlin-Uele out with injury. 

Jesse Colquhoun comes on to the bench to fill the void left by McInnes.

Cronulla Sharks Team List


1. William Kennedy
2. Sione Katoa
3. Jesse Ramien
4. Siosifa Talakai
5. Ronaldo Mulitalo
6. Matt Moylan
7. Nicho Hynes
8. Oregon Kaufusi 
9. Blayke Brailey
10.Toby Rudolf
11. Briton Nikora
12. Teig Wilton
13. Cameron McInnes

Interchange

14. Jack Williams
15. Wade Graham
16. Jesse Colquhoun
17. Tom Hazelton 

Reserves

18. Connor Tracey
19. Braydon Trindall
20. Tuku Hau Tapuha
21. Mawene Hiroti
22. Jayden Berrell

Verdict

This is a tough situation as there are next to no numbers that are viable for the Sharks in terms of value. I am going to go the other way and hope that the Sharks' recent trend as flat track bullies takes a little break and that the Tigers can muster some sort of miracle to at least keep the game within 3 converted tries. Barring that if the Sharks are to win, Will Kennedy is almost a certainty to score.

Best Bet: Tigers +19.5 Handicap Line @10/11 at picklebet - 2 Units
Value Bet: Tigers by 1-12 Winning Margin @8/1 at bet365 Australia - 2 Units
Anytime Tryscorer Tip: Will Kennedy Anytime Tryscorer @9/11 at Neds - 3 Units
Anytime Tryscorer Tip: Jesse Ramien Anytime Tryscorer @6/5 at dabble - 1 Unit
Tigers +19.5
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Wests Tigers v Cronulla Sharks