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Sydney Roosters vs Manly Sea Eagles Tips - Roosters' finals hopes to be extinguished

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 02 Aug 2023
Jeremy Darke 02 Aug 2023
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  • Sydney Roosters vs Manly Sea Eagles predictions for Thursday's NRL game
  • Manly have kept their opponents UNDER 20 points in 3 of their last 4 matches
  • Can the Roosters stay in finals contention?
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Sydney Roosters v Manly Sea Eagles
Sydney Roosters v Manly Sea Eagles (Getty Images)

Sydney Roosters vs Manly Sea Eagles Tips


Round 23 kicks off with a rematch from just over four weeks ago, when the Sydney Roosters fell narrowly to the Manly Sea Eagles. 

Each round edges closer to finals footy and for the Roosters one more loss would most certainly see them drop out of contention. For Manly, a victory could potentially see them hop from 10th into seventh if results go their way.

Based on recent form I like Manly for the win here, their defence has been fairly solid the last month, while the Rooster's attack has been misfiring all season long. 

Sydney’s Game Points Total is set at 23.5 which is a little high considering they have been struggling for points. The Roosters' right side defence has had problems the last 3 games so I like the value in Brad Parker to score anytime.

  • The Roosters have lost 2 of 3 games when starting as 3.5-point favourites in 2023.
  • Sydney have scored UNDER 23.5 Game Points in 6 of their last 7 games.
  • Manly have conceded UNDER 23.5 points in 3 of their last 4 games.
  • Roosters concede 41% of their tries on the right side of their defence.

Head to Head 


Manly held on for a two-point victory against the Roosters so recently as round 18. It was Sydney’s defence that kept them in the game, facing a whopping 13 more sets than Manly and 37 tackles inside their own 20 metres.

The Roosters have a slight edge against the Sea Eagles in recent head-to-head, winning four of the last seven, since 2019.

Sydney Roosters Form


The Roosters are now in dire straits after another loss last week to Brisbane, which has them 2 wins outside of the top 8. 

Their attack has struggled to find any form and hasn't really troubled any team recently, besides the Titans in one half of football.

Another loss this season will almost ensure that the Roosters miss the finals for the first time since 2016.

Sydney Roosters Team News


Egan Butcher will miss the game due to a head knock suffered during Thursday's loss to Brisbane, resulting in Siua Wong taking his place in the backrow. 

Drew Hutchison has been included on the interchange, while Jake Turpin moves to the reserves.

Sydney Roosters Team List


1. James Tedesco
2. Daniel Tupou
3. Billy Smith
4. Joseph Manu
5. Joseph Suaalii
6. Luke Keary
7. Sandon Smith
8. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves
9. Brandon Smith
10. Lindsay Collins
11. Siua Wong
12. Nat Butcher
13. Victor Radley

Interchange

14. Drew Hutchison
15. Nathan Brown
16. Terrell May
17. Fletcher Baker

Reserves

18. Corey Allan
19. Elie El-Zakhem
20. Jake Turpin
21. Fetalaiga Pauga
22. Dylan Napa

Manly Sea Eagles Form


Manly have won three of their last four matches, including wins against the Roosters, Sharks and Dragons. 

With the loss of Tom Trbojevic the Sea Eagles were not going to score as many points, so an adjustment to their defence has seen them win more games, keeping 3 of their last 4 opponents under 20 points.

Manly Sea Eagles Team News


Christian Tuipolotu will be replaced by Raymond Tuaimalo Vaega on the wing

Ben Trbojevic has recuperated from his injury and will join the team on the bench, resulting in Sean Keppie being dropped.

Manly Sea Eagles Team List


1. Reuben Garrick
2. Jason Saab
3. Brad Parker
4. Tolutau Koula
5. Raymond Vaega
6. Josh Schuster
7. Daly Cherry-Evans
8. Toafofoa Sipley
9. Lachlan Croker
10. Matt Lodge
11. Haumole Olakau’atu
12. Kelma Tuilagi
13. Jake Trbojevic

Interchange

14. Ben Trbojevic
15. Aaron Woods
16. Dean Matterson
17. Ethan Bullemor

Reserves

18. Ben Condon
19. Jake Arthur
20. Kaeo Weekes
21. Morgan Harper
22. Gordon Chan Kum Tong

Verdict

Manly will be too good for Sydney and the win as the underdog gives a good return. The Sea Eagles have stepped up in defence recently so keeping the Roosters UNDER 23.5 points will not be an issue. 

There are great odds on Brad Parker to be a try scorer in this match going up against a weak right side defence of the Roosters.

Best Bet: Under 23.5 Roosters Total Points $1.90 at Boombet - 3 Units
Value Bet: Manly Win Match Result $2.30 at picklebet - 1 Unit
Anytime Tryscorer Tip: Brad Parker Anytime Tryscorer $3.60 at bet365 Australia - 1 Unit
First Tryscorer Tip: Brad Parker First Tryscorer $21.00 at bet365 Australia - 1 Unit
Under 23.5
Roosters Total Points
$1.90 - 3 Units
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Brad Parker
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First Tryscorer
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Betting Slip | 03 Aug 2023

Sydney Roosters v Manly Sea Eagles