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Sydney Roosters vs Canterbury Bulldogs Tips - A tight defensive outcome in Gosford

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 20 Jun 2024
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Jeremy Darke 20 Jun 2024
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  • Sydney Roosters vs Canterbury Bulldogs expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 16 NRL game
  • Kick off is at 5:30 PM at Industree Group Stadium
  • Both teams boast top-three defences in the league.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
The things you need to know before you have a punt on the NRL on Saturday.

Sydney Roosters vs Canterbury Bulldogs, Round 16 2024 - Expert Prediction


The Roosters and Bulldogs have played in some highly contested matches over the past few years and this round 16 match will be no different as two of the best defences in the league keep it close with the winning margin being 12 points or under to either team. 
  • Sydney Roosters vs Canterbury Bulldogs, Round 16 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Sydney Roosters Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Sydney Roosters Team News
  • Sydney Roosters Team List
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Team News
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Team List
  • Sydney Roosters vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL 2024 Round 16 FAQ’s

Canterbury have been a very surprising team this season and are ranked in the top-three in most key defensive stats this season. For the Roosters, they have gotten back to their best defending their own line which saw them have a long premiership reign. 

With the Rooster looking for revenge, but missing some of their key forwards for the match, I expect this one to be close and can’t pick who will win and don’t need to with either team 1-12 giving $1.91 odds. 

Defence will be the forefront of this match and given a total of just less than 50 points, the Under has to be taken. 

  • The past 4 matches between Sydney and Canterbury have been decided by a margin of 1-12.
  • Sydney (3rd) and Canterbury (2nd) are top-three defences in regards to points conceded this season. 
  • Canterbury lead the NRL in opposition linebreaks (3.6/G) and opposition run metres (1292.9/G)
  • Canterbury concedes 59% of their tries on the right side of their defence.

Head to Head 


Canterbury weathered the storm literally against the Roosters earlier this season, beating Sydney 30-26, almost giving up a 22-0 lead. 

The Bulldogs have won 2 of their last 3 games against Sydney. Although, the Roosters lead the head to head tally 5-2 since 2019. 

Sydney Roosters Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-23-23-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+
5.98-63-65-0

The Roosters have begun to cool down after a blistering run of games where their attack was averaging 42.4 points over a 5-game period. Origin obviously disrupted things for Sydney and missing four important pieces to their forward pack this week will also make things challenging.

The impressive part of the Roosters this season has been the return of their premiership-calbre defence that has allowed over 18 points just once in the past 8 matches and that was to a red-hot Cronulla side. Sydney are averaging just a smidge over that at 19.35 for the season, which is third-best in the league.

Sydney Roosters Team News


Dom Young was a late withdrawal from the Roosters side last week but has been named on the wing with Michael Jennings dropping out.

Connor Watson, Angus Crichton and Spencer Leniu will represent NSW and Lindsay Collins will play for QLD and will miss the match. 

Nat Butcher moves into the starting side. Sandon Smith, Siua Wong, Blake Steep and Sitili Tupouniua will make up the bench for the Roosters.

Sydney Roosters Team List


1. James Tedesco
2. Daniel Tupou
3. Fetalaiga Pauga
4. Joey Manu
5. Dom Young
6. Luke Keary
7. Sam Walker
8. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves
9. Brandon Smith
10. Terrell May
11. Nat Butcher
12. Victor Radley
13. Naufahu Whyte

Interchange
14. Sandon Smith
15. Blake Steep
16. Sitili Tupouniua
17. Siua Wong

Reserves
18. Ethan King
19. Dylan Napa
20. Tyler Moriarty
21. Hugo Savala
22. Salesi Foketi

Canterbury Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-24-12-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+
20.84-93-44-2

The Bulldogs had looked to have returned to their old selves again, however have straightened things up again with three consecutive wins against the Dragons, Knights and Eels.

The Canterbury defence has been almost unfathomably good this season, ranked second in the league by averaging just 16.2 points against per game. There is no team that concedes less linebreaks than the Bulldogs, allowing their opponents to get behind their line 3.6 times per game on average. Canterbury have also been the best team in the NRL at reducing run metres by their opposition, conceding just 1292.9 run metres against per game.

Canterbury Bulldogs Team News


Stephen Crichton is the only Origin selection for the Blues, with Matt Burton free to play this week after missing out. Jacob Kiraz moves to the centres with Jeral Skelton on the wing.

Josh Curren moves into the starting side with the injury to Jacob Preston, who will be out for some time. 

Poasa Faamausili and Jake Turpin are on the bench for the Dogs with Viliame Kikau an outside chance after being named in the reserves.

Canterbury Bulldogs Team List


1. Connor Tracey
2. Jeral Skelton
3. Bronson Xerri
4. Jacob Kiraz
5. Blake Wilson
6. Matt Burton
7. Toby Sexton
8. Max King
9. Reed Mahoney
10. Sam Hughes
11. Josh Curran
12. Jaeman Salmon
13. Bailey Hayward

Interchange
14. Jake Turpin 
15. Poasa Faamausili
16. Kurtis Morrin
17. Lipoi Hopoi

Reserves
19 Drew Hutchison 
20. Blake Taaffe
21. Eli Clark
22. Harry Hayes
23. Viliame Kikau

Sydney Roosters vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL 2024 Round 16 FAQ’s

How to watch Sydney Roosters vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL 2024 Round 16?

You can watch the Sydney Roosters vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL 2024 Round 16 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Sydney Roosters vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL 2024 Round 16?

To buy tickets to the Sydney Roosters vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL 2024 Round 16 game check the NRL website or the official Sydney Roosters site.

Verdict

This game will be tighter than calculated and will go Under the 49.5 Game Total with either team winning by a 1-12 margin.

Canterbury’s right side defence has been their weakness and expect Daniel Tupou to exploit that with a try.
Best Bet1: Either Team Winning Margin 1-12 $1.91 at Neds - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Under 49.5 Game Total $1.91 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Daniel Tupou Anytime Tryscorer $1.80 at Neds - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Daniel Tupou First Tryscorer $9.50 at PlayUP - 1 Unit
Either Team
Winning Margin 1-12
$1.91 - 3 Units
Take it to the Neds Level
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Under 49.5
Game Total
$1.91 - 2 Units
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Bet at Elitebet
Daniel Tupou
Anytime Tryscorer
$1.80 - 2 Units
Take it to the Neds Level
Register with code BLACKBOOK

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Bet at Neds
Daniel Tupou
First Tryscorer
$9.50 - 1 Unit
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Betting Slip | 22 Jun 2024

Sydney Roosters v Canterbury Bulldogs