With New South Wales installed as favoruites (and rightly so on paper), we see both the star 1 and 7 in Nathan Cleary and James Tedesco heading the Man of the Match markets.
It’s understandable that they top the list, but are both a little short, especially now the game is in Queensland.
The Blues are littered with stars this year and if they go on to win it, separating the talent is the challenge.
With the Maroons lineup, it’s a little easier and with a forward pack that is getting underestimated, our thinking is the standout will come from the middle.
State of Origin Tips - Game 1 Man of the Match - Best Bet: Harry Grant
It’s been a long time since the 9 has played 80 mins, but he has declared himself fit to play out the entirety of the game despite a niggling hamstring.
A stunning 2020 season saw the Dally M Rookie of the year gain entry into Wayne Bennett's Queensland team for the Game 3 last year, an important factor as Grant will be well aware of what is coming his way.
Although heavily reliant on his forward pack’s gain on the advantage line, it won’t take much backpedalling to see him darting from dummy half and trying to create something for any supporting players following him through.
State of Origin Tips - Game 1 Man of the Match - Next Best: David Fifita
When looking back at the players who have won this award in the past, the flashbacks of three or four really big plays is generally a key and with Fifita, his tackle busts will be etched into the memory bank straight after the game.
With ball in hand there aren't many as destructive and he will cause many headaches for any defence that he lines up against, add on top of that the scoring ability he has been showcasing this season then you have a serious contender.
With a handful of big runs at key stages, count them down as you watch the game and you could well be counting your cash at the end of it.
State of Origin Tips - Game 1 Man of the Match - Value Bet: Jake Trbojevic
Honest as the day is long, Jake Trbojevic certainly won't disappoint in doing the hard work in the middle for New South Wales.
Named in the front row, we expect him to take on a lot of the workload, but given his engine, it wouldn't be a surprise if we see him handle it and then start to do some ball playing. especially over in his brother's direction.
Much like in the second game of 2019 when Tom grabbed the headlines for his three tries, Jake Trbojevic’s work saw him pick up the Man of the Match award and we may see history repeat at a big price.