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St George Illawarra Dragons vs South Sydney Rabbitohs Tips - Rabbits to continue Charity Shield domination
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- St George Illawarra Dragons vs South Sydney Rabbitohs expert predictions for Saturday’s Charity Shield NRL game
- Kick off is at 3:00 PM at Glen Willow Oval
- South Sydney Rabbitohs moneyline, best bet.
- Rabbitohs have dominated Charity Shield in the past decade.
- St George Illawarra Dragons show vulnerabilities in recent form.
St George Illawarra Dragons vs South Sydney Rabbitohs, 2025 Charity Shield - Expert Prediction
South Sydney are still expected to win the upcoming Charity Shield this Saturday despite Cam Murray and Latrell Mitchell earlier this week being ruled out for significant portions of the upcoming season.
The Rabbitohs have a commanding record over the past 12 years of Charity Shield events having lost only 1 matchup (2022) since the 2013 edition. Whilst Cam Murray and Latrell Mitchell are seen as important pieces to the overall success of this team, they are still a capable side without them in the lineup as was seen on many occasions last season.
St George were far from impressive with more or less their top 17 on the park in the 1st half against the Roosters last weekend with a ton of weaknesses on show which i believe supercoach Wayne Bennett will look to exploit this weekend to secure another Shield victory.
Take the Rabbitohs on the moneyline as the Underdogs for the best value or on the line if you are cautious. A high total has been set likely because of the high scoring in Week 2 of the Pre-Season competition. 3 of the last 5 Shield games have gone Under this number so that is the best play. Tyrone Munro has scored 6 tries in his 7 NRL games at the Rabbits get him to cross for a meat pie.
- St George Illawarra have lost 5 of their last 6 games at Glen Willow Oval.
- South Sydney have lost only 1 of their last 12 Charity Shield games.
- 3 of the last 5 Charity Shield games have gone Under this Game Total.
- The Rabbitohs left winger scored the most tries for the team in 2024 while the Dragons conceded the most tries to left wingers of any position last season.
Head to Head
Since the inception of the Charity Shield event in 1982, the Rabbitohs hold a 19-17 record over the Dragons (St George & St George Illawarra combined) with 5 games having ended in a draw.
South Sydney won 28-6 in 2024 and have won or drawn in 11 of the last 12 years.
St George Illawarra Dragons Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
The Dragons had the majority of their top line squad on the field in the first half against the Roosters last week but were far from convincing. Two of the three tries that were scored were in broken play off kick ricochets and they completed just 16/21 sets while allowing the Roosters second string team 54% of Territory and 19 tackles inside 20m.
Given the mediocre strength of their opponent the expectation was that St George should have been able to perform better in both attack and defence. In that first half they amassed 754 run metres but only 10 tackles in their attacking 20m zone.
With the high turnover of players the Dragons had this off-season there will still be moments of discourse which could be telling in close matchups.
2024 Season Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11-13 | 10-14 | 5-3 | 6-10 |
St George Illawarra Dragons Team News
Shane Flanagan has once again opted to name a full strength side as he aims to get his new faces to gel together before the season proper begins. Jacob Liddle did not play last week and is named on the bench. Tyrell Sloan is in jumper 18 and is expected to see game time.
St George Illawarra Dragons Team List
1. Clint Gutherson
2. Sione Finau
3. Moses Suli
4. Val Holmes
5. Mathew Feagai
6. Kyle Flanagan
7. Lachlan Ilias
8. Toby Couchman
9. Damien Cook
10. Emre Guler
11. Luciano Leilua
12. Jaydn Su'A
13. Jack de Belin
Interchange
14. Jacob Liddle
15. Raymond Faitala-Mariner
16. Ryan Couchman
17. Hamish Stewart
Reserves
18. Tyrell Sloan
19. Hame Sele
20. Jonah Glover
21. Kade Reed
22. Loko Pasifiki Tonga
23. Dylan Egan
24. Nathan Lawson
25. Hayden Buchanan
South Sydney Rabbitohs Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
The Rabbitohs went down in their first pre-season hitout last weekend against the Sea Eagles but played only a few of their top 17 and not for the entire game. Manly also had their reserves on the field for the majority of the matchup which gives little insight as to what to expect from a more experience team that will line up this weekend.
Jye Gray was one of the players that did play last weekend and is now likely to play fullback for the first two months of the season with Latrell Mitchell expected to out until at least round 7. Gray had 82 run metres off 11 runs with a try in the game against Manly.
Souths have welcomed back Wayne Bennett to the coaching ranks in what is likely to be his last tenure as head coach in the NRL. Bennett had a 53-24 record as coach of the Rabbitohs from 2019-2021, the best percentage of his coaching career which dates back to 1977.
2024 Season Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9-15 | 12-12 | 2-8 | 5-9 |
South Sydney Rabbitohs Team News
Latrell Mitchell has suffered a hamstring injury at training and is set to miss up to 7 weeks. Jye Gray is his likely replacement.
Jack Wighton, Tyrone Munro, Tallis Duncan and Keaon Koloamatangi all sat out last weekend’s game but have been named to play here.
Lewis Dodd will start in the halves as he did last weekend with new Bunnie, Jayden Sullivan coming in at five-eighth. Jamie Humphreys was pulled out just before the game last weekend but is named on the interchange for this one.
Cody Walker, Josh Schuster and Tevita Tatola have not been named with Cameron Murray also out after rupturing his achilles during the week.
South Sydney Rabbitohs Team List
15. Jye Gray
2. Isaiah Tass
3. Declan Casey
4. Jack Wighton
5. Tyrone Munro
6. Jayden Sullivan
7. Lewis Dodd
8. Sean Keppie
9. Peter Mamouzelos
10. Davvy Moale
11. Keaon Koloamatangi
12. Tallis Duncan
13. Lachlan Hubner
Interchange
14. Jamie Humphreys
16. Thomas Fletcher
17. Liam Le Blanc
18. Salesi Ataata
Reserves
19. Ashton Ward
20. Fletcher Myers
21. Bailey Biondi-Odo
22. Luke Webley
St George Illawarra Dragons vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2025 Charity Shield FAQ’s
How to watch St George Illawarra Dragons vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2025 Charity Shield?
You can watch the St George Illawarra Dragons vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2025 Charity Shield game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to St George Illawarra Dragons vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2025 Charity Shield?
To buy tickets to the St George Illawarra Dragons vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2025 Charity Shield game check the NRL website or the official St George Illawarra Dragons site.
Verdict
Take the Rabbitohs on the moneyline as the Underdogs for the best value or on the line if you are cautious. A high total has been set likely because of the high scoring in Week 2 of the Pre-Season competition. 3 of the last 5 Shield games have gone Under this number so that is the best play. Tyrone Munro has scored 6 tries in his 7 NRL games at the Rabbits get him to cross for a meat pie.
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