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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs North QLD Cowboys Tips - Biggest Over of the season to hit

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 15 May 2024
Jeremy Darke 15 May 2024
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  • South Sydney Rabbitohs vs North QLD Cowboys expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 11 NRL game
  • Kick off is at 7:45 PM at Suncorp Stadium
  • Anticipated Game Total to hit over 50.5 with both teams showing poor defence.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
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Murray Taulagi, Valentine Holmes
Murray Taulagi of the Cowboys and Valentine Holmes reunite to lift the Cowboys out of their slump. (Photo by Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs North QLD Cowboys, Round 11 2024 - Expert Prediction


The tied largest Game Total of the year will hit the Over when South Sydney take on North Queensland at Suncorp Stadium to end the action on Saturday night at Magic Round. 
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs vs North QLD Cowboys, Round 11 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs Team News
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs Team List
  • North QLD Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • North QLD Cowboys Team News
  • North QLD Cowboys Team List
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2024 Round 11 FAQ’s

Souths have the worst defence in the league and North Queensland get a key in in Murray Taulagi returning on the wing to link up with his partner in crime Valentine Holmes. The Cowboys winger will get straight into form with a meat pie on the left side of the field. 

The Cows defensive line has been lacking conjinuity also so we can expect the points to flow in this game. South will do their bit for the total but North Queensland will get the win in Brisbane and cover the 7.5-point start.

  • The Cowboys have won 5 of their past 7 games at Suncorp Stadium.
  • 8 of 10 Cowboys games have gone over the Game Total in 2024.
  • The Rabbitohs average 35.6 points against per game in 2024.
  • Murray Taulagi has scored 5 tries in his past 6 games for the Cowboys at Suncorp Stadium.

Head to Head 


The Cowboys got a 31-6 victory over the Rabbitohs in Round 17 last season with Val Holmes getting a haul of 18 points in the match, scoring 2 tries and kicking 5 goals. 

The win in 2023 was the only victory the Cowboys have taken over the Rabbitohs since 2019, with South Sydney leading the head to head battle 5-1.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form


2024 Betting Trends


Things are bleak in Redfern with the Bunnies holding firm at the bottom of the ladder with just one win this season. 

The only positive coming out of the Rabbitohs camp in their 28-14 loss to the Dragons was the performance of Latrell Mitchell, who scored two tries in his return from a three week suspension. The Bunnies fullback also set up  the third try for Izaac Thompson, which overall has been his best statistical performance of the season.

South Sydney still could not do anything about their defence though with the Dragons running in four tries including a couple of soft ones on tired, uncommitted legs. 

South Sydney Rabbitohs Team News


Gehamat Shibasaki makes way for the return of Alex Johnston on the wing. Izaac Thompson moves into the centres and Jacob Gagai will occupy the opposite wing.

Taane Milne is an interesting choice on the bench for Ben Hornby as Michael Chee Kam and Matt French drop out of the side.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Team List


1. Latrell Mitchell
2. Alex Johnston
3. Jack Wighton
4. Izaac Thompson
5. Jacob Gagai
6. Cody Walker
7. Dion Teaupa
8. Davvy Moale
9. Damien Cook
10. Sean Keppie
11. Keaon Koloamatangi
12. Jai Arrow
13. Siliva Havili

Interchange
14. Peter Mamouzelos
15. Tallis Duncan
16. Tom Burgess
17. Taane Milne

Reserves
18. Gehamat Shibasaki
19. Matthew French
20. Adam Christensen
21. Bayleigh Bentley-Hape
​​​​​​​22. Liam Le Blanc

North QLD Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
0-51-44-1

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+
-44.38-21-43-2

After starting 4-1 this season the Cows have now lost five straight games and have now become the fourth worst defensive team in the NRL, allowing their opposition to score an average of 26.5 points per game. 

North Queensland relied on their attack heavily early in the season and it has become slightly more stagnant over the past five games, averaging just 18 points. It is only a matter of time before it sparks up again, however, North Queensland will need to fix their play on the defensive side of the ball if they are going to avoid missing the finals for a second year running.

North QLD Cowboys Team News


Murray Taulagi returns from his hamstring injury with Semi Valemi dropping out of the side. 

Jordan McLean will return from a hamstring injury that saw him become a late withdrawal against the Titans last week. Thomas Mikaele moves to the bench and Harrison Edwards.

North QLD Cowboys Team List


1. Scott Drinkwater
2. Kyle Feldt
3. Valentine Holmes
4. Villiami Vailea
5. Murray Taulagi
6. Tom Dearden
7. Chad Townsend
8. Jordan McLean
9. Reece Robson
10. Griffin Neame
11. Heilum Luki
12. Jeremiah Nanai
13. Reuben Cotter

Interchange
14. Sam McIntyre
15. Thomas Mikaele
16. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki
17. Jason Taumalolo

Reserves
18. Jake Granville
19. Jake Clifford
20. Harrison Edwards
21. Braidon Burns
​​​​​​​22. Jaxon Purdue

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2024 Round 11 FAQ’s

How to watch South Sydney Rabbitohs vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2024 Round 11?

You can watch the South Sydney Rabbitohs vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2024 Round 11 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to South Sydney Rabbitohs vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2024 Round 11?

To buy tickets to the South Sydney Rabbitohs vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2024 Round 11 game check the NRL website or the official South Sydney Rabbitohs site.

Verdict

Points will be on offer in this contest that will see the 50.5-point Game Total hit the Over. The Cowboys will be able to do enough against the Bunnies defensive line to cover the 7.5 points as the favourite and Murray Taulagi will score in his return.
Best Bet1: North Queensland -7.5 Handicap/Line @5/6 at Boombet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 50.5 Game Total @13/14 at PlayUP - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Murray Taulagi Anytime Tryscorer @21/20 at Justbet - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Murray Taulagi First Tryscorer @9/1 at Topsport - 1 Unit
North Queensland -7.5
Handicap/Line
@5/6 - 2 Units
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Over 50.5
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Murray Taulagi
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South Sydney Rabbitohs v North QLD Cowboys