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Queensland Maroons vs New South Wales Blues Tips - Blues send the series to Queensland for the decider

Last updated: 26 Jun 2024
Ryan Tucker 26 Jun 2024
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  • Queensland Maroons vs New South Wales Blues predictions for Wednesday’s State of Origin game
  • Can NSW tie the series?
  • Latrell Mitchell predicted to break the game for New South Wales
  • Preview, stats, team news & more
Here are the resons why the 2024 State of Origin series is going to a decider.

Queensland Maroons vs New South Wales Blues Tips

The MCG will host Game 2 of the 2024 State of Origin series and the trends suggest that NSW will win and tie the series with Queensland and sending it to Brisbane for the decider.
  • Queensland Maroons vs New South Wales Blues Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • Queensland Maroons Form
  • Queensland Maroons Team News
  • Queensland Maroons Team List
  • New South Wales Blues Form
  • New South Wales Blues Team News
  • New South Wales Blues Team List

Game One was what it was and in all fairness NSW did not have a chance after losing Joseph Sua’ali’i in the 8th minute of the match, eventually falling 38-10. The surprise is that the Blues have made some considerable changes to the team that lost the opener, with players like Mitch Moses and and Cam Murray returning from injury and coming straight into the side. Latrell Mitchell is another big in for the Blues as coach Michael Maguire also bringing in Rooster Connor Watson as the No. 14. 

For Queensland, it is steady as she goes with Billy Slater making two changes that were due to injury as Selwyn Cobbo and J’Maine Hopgood miss the match with Felise Kaufusi and Kurt Capewell coming into the 17.

Best Bets for First Tryscorer and Man of the Match here.

With Latrell Mitchell in the side, NSW are another beast and also the addition of Cam Murray will lift the Blues in this contest. With NSW Game Two experts and having the better record at the MCG, they are tipped to beat QLD as the slight underdog.

It is expected that we are going to see a more electrifying attack in this contest with the desperation of NSW sparking a more free-flowing style of footy that will push the score over the Game Total of 37.5 points.

In this occasion, Blues centre Latrell Mitchell will have expectation on his shoulders and seeing how the Bunnies centre has performed since being suspend has me backing him as an anytime try scorer, expecting him to break the game open at some stage.

  • NSW have won 7 of the past 10 Game Two’s
  • NSW have won both games played at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, with the latest a 22-12 win in 2018.
  • 4 of the past 5 Game Two’s have gone over the Game Total of 37.5 points.
  • Latrell Mitchell has scored 5 tries in his past 5 games for South Sydney. 

Head to Head 

The 2023 series was won 2-1 by Queensland clinching games 1 & 2 in a dominant fashion. NSW went on to win Game 3 in Sydney to avoid a sweep.

Queensland lead the overall series head to head 24-16 with 2 series being drawn. Queensland also hold an advantage in overall games won 70-58 with 2 drawn games.

New South Wales have won the 7 of the past 10 Game Two’s.

Queensland hold a 3-2 record over the Blues in Melbourne, however NSW have won the past two games at the MCG.

Queensland Maroons Form

Winning the opener was important for the Queenslanders, but if you ask coach Billy Slater there where a lot of things he would have liked his team to do better.

The game plan for both teams goes out the window often when something dramatic like a send off happens in the first 8 minutes of the match. The Queenlanders attack well down the right side where Joseph Sua’ali’i would have been defending, but what Queensland great would be referring to is the lack of dominance the QLD’ers had over the Blues despite being a man up. 

Expect a more traditional possession and territory game for the Maroons in game two, as they look to control the game in a more dominant fashion. 

Queensland Maroons Team News

The most ‘controversial’ change for Billy Slater after his team’s Game One victory is that Selwyn Cobbo has been dropped from the bench with Kurt Capewell coming into the side. The Brisbane centre is carrying an injury that he is taking injections for so Slater is being cautious.

J’Maine Hopgood will also miss Game Two due to an injury he sustained backing up for the Eels after the opener.

Reece Walsh has been named at fullback despite not being available to play a game before the second match of the series. Dane Gagai is named at 18th man and would likely come into the centres with Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow moving to fullback if Walsh was unable to play.

Queensland Maroons Team List

1. Reece Walsh
2. Xavier Coates
3. Valentine Holmes
4. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow
5. Murray Taulagi
6. Tom Dearden
7. Daly Cherry-Evans
8. Reuben Cotter
9. Ben Hunt
10. Lindsay Collins
11. Jaydn Su'A
12. Jeremiah Nanai
13. Patrick Carrigan

14. Harry Grant
15. Moeaki Fotuaika
16. Felise Kaufusi
17. Kurt Capewell

18. Dane Gagai
19. Heilum Luki 
20. Trent Loiero 

New South Wales Blues Form

The first game was an obvious shambles for the Blues with Joseph Sua’ali’i getting sent off in the opening stages. What you want to take out of the rest of the game is difficult to dissect. The Blues put in a good enough effort and kept the game within reach for a while.

They gave themselves good field position and had some chances, however, they failed to score and lacked direction and creativity in attack. With 13 guys on the field this can be different and with Madge bringing in more new/old faces into the squad, it will be a different NSW team in Game Two.

New South Wales Blues Team News

Despite the unpredictable and peculiar situation of New South Wales Game One loss Michael Maguire has swung the axe on the Blues side that lost the opener.

Both Sharks Nicho Hynes and Cam McInnes have been dropped, being replaced by Mitch Moses and Cam Murray, who were injured for Game One, but have returned for their clubs over the past couple of weeks.

Joseph Suaalii was obviously suspended for his hit on Reece Walsh and is replaced by danger man Latrell Mitchell. Connor Watson has also been named on the bench with Hudson Young dropping out. 

New South Wales Blues Team List

1. Dylan Edwards
2. Brian To’o
3. Stephen Crichton
4. Latrell Mitchell
5. Zac Lomax
6. Jarome Luai
7. Mitchell Moses
8. Jake Trbojevic (c)
9. Reece Robson
10. Payne Haas
11. Liam Martin
12. Angus Crichton
13. Cameron Murray

14. Connor Watson
15. Isaah Yeo
16. Haumole Olakau’atu
17. Spencer Leniu

18. Mitch Barnett
19. Cameron McInnes
20. Luke Keary


The Blues will tie the series with Latrell Mitchell breaking the game open and scoring a try. Expect a free-flowing game that goes over the 37.5-point Game Total.

Best Bet1: New South Wales Money Line @1/1 at PlayUP - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 37.5 Game Total @17/20 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Latrell Mitchell Anytime Tryscorer @19/10 at Topsport - 2 Units
New South Wales
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Betting Slip | 26 Jun 2024

2024 State of Origin Game 2 - NSW Blues v QLD Maroons