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Penrith Panthers NRL 2024 Predictions, Projections and Player Movement

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 10 Feb 2024
Jeremy Darke 10 Feb 2024
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  • Predictive models have a slight regression in the Panthers who will finish second
  • The Panthers core will stay together for one last hurrah.
  • How will the Jarome Luai situation effect Penrith?
Nathan Cleary
Can the 'Ice Man' lead the Panthers to a fourth title in a row? (Photo by Matt King/Getty Images)

NRL 2024 Predictions, Projections and Player Movement: Penrith Panthers

  • NRL 2024 Predictions, Projections and Player Movement: Penrith Panthers
  • Where they finish: 2nd
  • What’s to like 
  • What’s NOT to like
  • Penrith Panthers Offseason Player Movement
  • Penrith Panthers Predicted Starting 17

Where they finish: 2nd


The Panthers regressed slightly last season despite winning the Minor Premiership, recording 18 wins in 2023 compared to 19 in 2021 and 21 in 2021. The window for a fourth premiership will close slightly again this season with the cap beginning to squeeze the life out of Penrith. They will still be there but there of course but there will be a new sheriff in town, at least during the regular season.

What’s to like 


Winning back-to-back-to-back titles means that there is more than enough to like about the Penrith Panthers. Everything starts with the man with ice in his veins, Nathan Cleary who almost single-handedly dug them out of a 16-point hole in the Grand final to win their third title in as many years. 

This will be the last year we will see the duo of Cleary and Jarome Luai, so a crack for one more title is definitely a strong possibility. The loss of Stephen Crichton is big, but they do have the depth to cover with both Tyrone Peachey or Sunia Turuva.

What’s NOT to like


The Panthers bench is starting to look a little thin with the loss of Spencer Leniu and Zak Hosking. Virtually untested Liam Henry will take Lenui’s spot on the interchange and is not expected to bring the power that the Samoan international brought to the Panthers.

Jarome Luai’s departure will also come under fire if he doesn’t perform at his best throughout the season, with the five-eight moving to the Tigers in 2025. This has the potential to be a catalyst to the downfall of the Panthers, a year too soon, and there will be calls to bring in Daine Laurie or Brad Schneider who are waiting on the fringes to snatch up Luai’s number 6 jersey.



Penrith Panthers Offseason Player Movement


Ins: Daine Laurie (Wests Tigers), Brad Schneider (Super League), Paul Alamoti (Bulldogs)

Outs: Stephen Crichton (Bulldogs), Spencer Leniu (Roosters), Jaeman Salmon (Bulldogs), Jack Cogger (Knights), Zac Hosking (Raiders)

Penrith Panthers Predicted Starting 17


1. Dylan Edwards
2. Sunia Turuva
3. Izack Tago
4. Tyrone Peachey
5. Brian To’o
6. Jarome Luai
7. Nathan Cleary
8. Moses Leota
9. Mitch Kenny
10. James Fisher-Harris
11. Scott Sorensen
12. Liam Martin
13. Isaah Yeo

14. Soni Luke
15. Lindsay Smith
16. Luke Garner
17. Liam Henry

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