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Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters Tips - Underdog to cover in low scoring game
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- Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters expert predictions for Friday’s NRL Qualifying Final game
- Kick off is at 7:50 PM at BlueBet Stadium
- Expert predicts a narrow victory for Penrith Panthers but Sydney Roosters to cover line.
- Roosters have struggled against top 8 teams, despite strong defense.
- Key player Nathan Cleary returns for Panthers, boosting their attack.
Ryan dives into the Penrith vs Sydney game to pick out the top bets.
Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters, 2024 Qualifying Final - Expert Prediction
Whilst Penrith have not been convincing in their wins this season they have still been a stronger team when coming up against quality opponents. I predict their winning trend against the Roosters will continue but the Roosters will keep it close enough to cover the large line on offer.
- Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters, 2024 Qualifying Final - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Penrith Panthers Team News
- Penrith Panthers Team List
- Sydney Roosters Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Sydney Roosters Team News
- Sydney Roosters Team List
- Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2024 Qualifying Final FAQ’s
The Roosters have struggled against top 8 teams this season. They haven’t been blown out in any of the games but have failed to put enough points past their opponents to compete for victory. This plays right into our hands with the line set at over a converted try with Sydney as the dog. Their defence has for the most part stayed strong which gives enough motivation to get behind them to cover the line in this one.
The Panthers have a number of strike weapons across the park but what has made them successful for so many years is how well they start their sets. The back three are major metre eaters putting the team on the front foot when entering the attacking zone.
There is no doubt in my mind that this game will be a low scoring armwrestle. With such a low total even predicted at the bookies the large line on offer is as juicy as ever.
- Penrith have come away victorious in 8 of 13 games this season when the Total has gone Under.
- Sydney have covered the line in all 3 games as Underdogs this season.
- Both teams are top 5 in Scoring Defence with Penrith allowing 16.4 pts per game and Sydney 19.3 pts per game.
- Sunia Turuva scored a hattrick against the Roosters earlier this year and lines up on the edge where the Roosters allow 45% of opposition scoring.
Head to Head
The Panthers have absolutely dominated the Roosters in recent years, leading the regular season head to head 9-1 since the beginning of the 2019 season. They have also won the lone finals matchup during the same period, a 29-28 victory in Week 1 of finals 2020, which takes their current win streak out to 9 in a row.
The last two regular season matchups have gone Under the Total with the Under also going 6-4 in the last 10 clashes. The qualifying final in 2020 went Over.
The Winning Margin is split down the middle 5-5 for small or large margins of victory across the last 10 regular season hitouts. The most recent finals game finished with only 1 point the difference.
Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| -$2.27 | 11-13 | 11-6 | 6-1 |
The Panthers have been less than convincing this season as they have battled through injuries, suspensions, Origin and contract talks. The result of a dynasty and 3 back to back premierships is always being held to the highest of standards.
The Panthers have nonetheless secured 2nd spot in the Minor Premiership with a narrow victory over the Titans in the final round of competition. As has been the case for a number of games this year they looked clunky in attack without Nathan Cleary steering the ship. They managed only 18 points against the 4th worst Scoring Defence in the league with their Completion Rate finishing at 68% for the game. The Panthers finished the regular season as the number 1 defensive team allowing only 16.4 points per game on average.
Penrith Panthers Team News
A massive boost for the Panthers heading into Week 1 of the finals with Nathan Cleary back on deck. Brad Schneider is relegated to the reserves.
Penrith Panthers Team List
1. Dylan Edwards
2. Sunia Turuva
3. Izack Tago
4. Paul Alamoti
5. Brian To'o
6. Jarome Luai
7. Nathan Cleary
8. Moses Leota
9. Mitch Kenny
10. James Fisher-Harris
11. Scott Sorensen
12. Liam Martin
13. Isaah Yeo
Interchange
14. Trent Toelau
15. Lindsay Smith
16. Liam Henry
17. Luke Garner
Reserves
18. Matthew Eisenhuth
19. Brad Schneider
20. Casey McLean
21. Daine Laurie
22. Luke Sommerton
Sydney Roosters Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| $6.9 | 13-11 | 6-7 | 10-1 |
The Roosters won 13 of 17 games after starting the season 3-4 to lock up 3rd spot on the ladder. In a worrying trend for Roosters supporters 7 of the 8 losses incurred this season were against top 8 opponents. On the other side of the ledger only 3 of their 16 wins came against teams that will play finals.
Despite the numbers above the Roosters roster is one of the strongest on paper even without a host of stars that will miss the rest of the season through injury. They led the league in Scoring this year as well as finishing top 5 in Scoring Defence.
Sydney Roosters Team News
Daniel Tupou and Dom Young both return to the lineup with Feta Pauga and Mark Nawaqanitawase making way. Nat Butcher returns from concussion protocols to the lock forward role. Naufahu Whyte moves to the bench.
Sydney Roosters Team List
1. James Tedesco
2. Daniel Tupou
3. Joseph Suaalii
4. Joey Manu
5. Dom Young
6. Luke Keary
7. Sandon Smith
8. Spencer Leniu
9. Connor Watson
10. Lindsay Collins
11. Angus Crichton
12. Sitili Tupouniua
13. Nat Butcher
Interchange
14. Zach Dockar-Clay
15. Naufahu Whyte
16. Siua Wong
17. Terrell May
Reserves
18. Michael Jennings
19. Blake Steep
20. Mark Nawaqanitawase
21. Jake Elliott
22. Salesi Foketi
Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2024 Qualifying Final FAQ’s
How to watch Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2024 Qualifying Final?
You can watch the Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2024 Qualifying Final game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2024 Qualifying Final?
To buy tickets to the Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2024 Qualifying Final game check the NRL website or the official Penrith Panthers site.
Verdict
The Panthers with Cleary back on board will be too strong for this Roosters outfit missing Sam Walker, JWH and Radley. But with a low scoring affair predicted the +7.5 is too good to not take up.
Sydney Roosters +7.5
Line
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