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Penrith Panthers vs Parramatta Eels Tips - Panthers put Eels out of misery

Last updated: 23 Aug 2023
Jeremy Darke 23 Aug 2023
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  • Penrith Panthers vs Parramatta Eels predictions for Thursday's NRL game
  • Penrith have won 8 in a row
  • Will the Eels put up a fight?
Penrith Panthers, Parramatta Eels
Eels miss the finals in 2023 after playing in the 2022 Grand Final. (Getty Images)
  • Penrith Panthers vs Parramatta Eels Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • Penrith Panthers Form
  • Penrith Panthers Team News
  • Penrith Panthers Team List
  • Parramatta Eels Form
  • Parramatta Eels Team News
  • Parramatta Eels Team List

Penrith Panthers vs Parramatta Eels Tips

Round 26 kicks off with a grand final replay from 2022, however, this time around the Parramatta Eels have already let their finals hopes slip away, while the reigning premiers are sitting on top of the ladder once again. 

Oddly enough, our models are predicting a similar scoreline to the 2022 Grand Final, however, I am going to take on a few more points due to the fact the Eels are missing Mitch Moses and have nothing left to play for in reality. 

I like the line of 19.5 as favourites for Penrith because I don't see much happening offensively for the Eels. The trends suggest that this game will not go over the 43.5-point margin, and I believe the Eels will have some pride at stake and will do their best to defend for 80 mins. 

Brian To’o has been unstoppable lately and the Eels have had some problems containing right-wingers, so a couple of units on the Samoan won’t let you down.

  • 4 of the last 5 Eels losses have been by more than 20 points.
  • 4 of the last 5 Penrith wins have been by more than 20 points.
  • 10 of the last 12 games between Penrith and Parramatta have had a Game Total of UNDER 43.5 points.
  • Brian To’o has scored a try in his last 7 games, crossing the line 10 times in total. 

Head to Head 

The Panthers and Eels have played each other an incredible 12 times over the past five seasons, including three finals matchups against each other and nine regular season games. 

The Eels have actually won three of their last five against the Panthers, including a one-point victory in round 4 this season, with Mitch Moses kicking the game-winning field goal in the first minute of golden point.

Penrith Panthers Form

The Penrith Panthers are on an 8-0 run heading into the final fortnight of footy before the finals. 

Their last victory against the Titans wasn’t pretty at times, especially with the Gold Coast coming out of the sheds at halftime with much more energy than the Panthers. 

With all that said, Penrith were clinical when they needed to be and took their chances in the end, winning 40-14

It looks as though coach Ivan Cleary will be resting his players sporadically during the final weeks of the season, so if a performance is not as polished as it should be, it is nothing to worry about heading into September.

Penrith Panthers Team News

Brian To’o comes back onto the wing after being rested last week, moving Tom Jenkins back to the reserves.

Don’t be surprised if there is once again a couple of late scratches from Ivan Cleary’s side.

Penrith Panthers Team List

1. Dylan Edwards
2. Sunia Turuva
3. Tyrone Peachey
4. Stephen Crichton
5. Brian To'o
6. Jarome Luai
7. Nathan Cleary
8. Moses Leota
9. Jack Cogger
10. James Fisher-Harris
11. Zac Hosking
12. Liam Martin
13. Isaah Yeo


14. Soni Luke
15. Lindsay Smith
16. Spncer Leniu
17. Luke Garner


18. Jaeman Salmon
19. Luke Sommerton
20. Jesse McLean
21. Tom Jenkins
22. Matt Eisenhuth 

Parramatta Eels Form

With their 34-12 loss to the Sydney Roosters last weekend, the Eels' season is now officially over unless all three teams above them on the ladder go winless over the next two weeks and Parramatta win both of their games.

It has been a disappointing campaign for the Eels who were backing up from a grand final appearance in 2022. Their year has been filled with injury, suspension and controversy which is never a good mix. 

Parramatta Eels Team News

Shaun Lane comes back into the side via the interchange with Brendan Hands moving back to the reserves.

Parramatta Eels Team List

1. Clint Gutherson
2. Maika Sivo
3. Will Penisini
4. Bailey Simonsson
5. Sean Russell
6. Daejarn Asi
7. Dylan Brown 
8. Reagan Campbell-Gillard
9. Joey Lussick
10. Junior Paulo
11. Ryan Matterson
12. Bryce Cartwright
13. J'maine Hopgood


14. Luca Moretti
15. Shaun Lane
16. Wiremu Greig
17. Joe Ofahengaue 


18. Makahesi Makatoa
19. Brendan Hands
20. Waqa Blake
21. Ky Rodwell
22. Ofahiki Ogden


Penrith will say goodnight to Parramatta once and for all with a 20 point victory that stays UNDER the Game Total of 43.5 points. Brian To’o was rested last week and will come out where he left off extending his tryscorer streak to 8 games.
Best Bet: Penrith -19.5 Handicap Line @9/10 at Boombet - 3 Units
Value Bet: Under 43.5 Game Total @20/21 at Unibet Australia - 2 Units
Tryscoring Tips: Brian To'o Anytime Tryscorer @3/5 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Tryscoring Tips: Brian To'o First Tryscorer @6/1 at dabble - 1 Unit
Penrith -19.5
Handicap Line
@9/10 - 3 Units
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Penrith Panthers v Parramatta Eels