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Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights Tips - Panthers defence expected to keep Knights from troubling the scoreboard
Listen
- Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 22 NRL game
- Kick off is at 2:00 PM at BlueBet Stadium
- Panthers' strong defense and recent form give them the upper hand.
- Newcastle's poor scoring record and constant changes in halves combinations are major disadvantages.
Expired
Brian To'o of the Panthers celebrates his try. (Photo by Scott Gardiner/Getty Images)
Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights, Round 22 2024 - Expert Prediction
The Panthers will win this one without much trouble from the Knights.
- Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights, Round 22 2024 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Penrith Panthers Team News
- Penrith Panthers Team List
- Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Newcastle Knights Team News
- Newcastle Knights Team List
- Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2024 Round 22 FAQ’s
The main reason behind my prediction is the inability for Newcastle to score points, across their last 7 games they are averaging only 16.8 points and managed only 18 points against Penrith back in Round 15.
The constant moving in and out of different halves combinations will also play it’s part with the Knights again having to adjust to a new style of play on the fly. Phoenix Crossland has played a good chunk of games at halfback but not with Tyson Gamble outside of him and neither are especially good creators when it comes to the thick of things.
The Panthers defence will get them through in this one but you would also expect them to put a few points on the board!
- Penrith have conceded an average of only 15.2 points across their last 5 games and only 12.7 in their last 9 against Newcastle
- Newcastle have scored an average of only 16.8 points in their last 7 games.
- The Knights average only 15.6 points against top 5 defensive teams.
- Penrith fullbacks have a good tryscoring record against the Knights scoring in two of the last three games.
Head to Head
Since the beginning of the 2019 season Penrith and Newcastle have clashed a total of 10 times with Penrith winning all but one game which ended in a draw.
Newcastle though have managed to cover the line on 4 occasions, 3 of those as double digit underdogs.
The Game Total has gone Under in 6 of 9 games with the Win Margin staying between 1-12 for the last 3 games straight. Prior to that the 13+ ruled supreme hitting in 4 of 6 games.
Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| $12.83 | 9-9 | 8-4 | 5-1 |
The Panthers are on a 3 game win streak with their demolition of the St George Dragons last weekend consolidating their spot of 2nd on the ladder.
Nathan Cleary was at the top of his game against the Dragons scoring 3 tries, kicking 7 goals as well as notching up 119 Run Metres, 1 Linebreak, 2 Linebreak Assists and 2 Try Assists. The Panthers dominated Possession (58%) and Territory (72%) while restricting their opponent to only 1125 Run Metres for the game.
Penrith Panthers Team News
With Daine Laurie sustaining a head-knock, the Panthers depth will be tested as Isaiah Iongi is named as the new fullback.
James Fisher-Harris is expected to miss some time with a groin injury picked up last week. Lindsay Smith moves from the bench to the front row while Matt Eisenhuth is elevated to the interchange.
Penrith Panthers Team List
1. Isaiah Iongi
2. Sunia Turuva
3. Izack Tago
4. Casey McLean
5. Brian To'o
6. Jarome Luai
7. Nathan Cleary
8. Moses Leota
9. Mitch Kenny
10. Lindsay Smith
11. Scott Sorensen
12. Liam Martin
13. Isaah Yeo
Interchange
14. Trent Toelau
15. Matthew Eisenhuth
16. Liam Henry
17. Mavrik Geyer
Reserves
18. Luron Patea
19. Jack Cole
20. Brad Schneider
21. Asu Kepaoa
22. Luke Sommerton
Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| -$25.5 | 7-11 | 7-5 | 1-5 |
Newcastle enjoyed their third and final bye last weekend in a much needed rest for the playing group who have lost 2 in a row. Their opponents in both games have been able to rack up big scores (44 and 30) way above the season average of 21.3 points that the Knights have otherwise restricted teams to.
62 Missed Tackles against the Broncos in Round 20 didn’t help their cause with all but one of their opponents 5 tries coming off the back of poor goal line defence.
Newcastle Knights Team News
Poor old Bradman Best can’t cop a trick and is expected to be out for a considerable amount of time with a hamstring tear. Dylan Lucas is his replacement at centre. Fletcher Sharpe is the first choice winger in this one ahead of Krystian Mapapalangi.
Jackson Hastings has once again been dropped with Phoenix Crossland given the 7 jersey. Jack Cogger takes over at 14.
Adam Elliot will make his comeback this weekend at lock.
Newcastle Knights Team List
1. Kalyn Ponga
2. Fletcher Sharpe
3. Dane Gagai
4. Dylan Lucas
5. Greg Marzhew
6. Tyson Gamble
7. Phoenix Crossland
8. Daniel Saifiti
9. Jayden Brailey
10. Leo Thompson
11. Tyson Frizell
12. Kai Pearce-Paul
13. Adam Elliott
Interchange
14. Jack Cogger
15. Jacob Saifiti
16. Jack Hetherington
17. Mat Croker
Reserves
18. Thomas Cant
19. Brodie Jones
20. Jackson Hastings
21. Will Pryce
22. Krystian Mapapalangi
Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2024 Round 22 FAQ’s
How to watch Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2024 Round 22?
You can watch the Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2024 Round 22 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2024 Round 22?
To buy tickets to the Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2024 Round 22 game check the NRL website or the official Penrith Panthers site.
Verdict
The Panthers are starting to hit their straps and should put on a clinic against the Knights in this one. Expect their defence to be as stingy as ever and with few opportunities it is difficult seeing the Knights putting any points up.
Penrith -17.5
Line
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