2024 NRL Round 24

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Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm Tips - Panthers can take first place with win over Storm

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: 15 Aug 2024

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Ryan Tucker 15 Aug 2024

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Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 24 NRL game
Kick off is at 7:50 PM at BlueBet Stadium
Defence and kicking game expected to play a role in Panthers victory
Melbourne left side defence allows most tries to opposition

Ryan runs through his two key areas where the Panthers will triumph over the Storm.

Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm, Round 24 2024 - Expert Prediction

Man this is hard, Penrith are hitting their straps at just the right time but Melbourne have been a beacon of consistency all season long. I am going to side with the Panthers and it’s because of two key areas.

Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm, Round 24 2024 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Penrith Panthers Team News
Penrith Panthers Team List
Melbourne Storm Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Melbourne Storm Team News
Melbourne Storm Team List
Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2024 Round 24 FAQ’s

Defence - the stats and the eye test confirm to me that Penrith are a better defensive team. They have allowed fewer points to top 5 attacking teams and have fewer opposition Linebreaks and Run Metres than the Storm.

Kicking - Jahrome Hughes and Cam Munster are great, fantastic even, but they aren’t Nathan Cleary. Cleary’s ability to put the ball on a string is not often talked about when comparing teams for betting purposes. Penrith rarely need to kick themselves out of their own end because of their metre churning back 3. But with Melbourne pressuring there is every chance Cleary will be called upon in this one, to not only get them out of trouble but then at the other end of the park pierce the opposition line with precision kicks to the in-goal.

Penrith have allowed only 17.3 pts per game in 6 clashes with top 5 attacking teams.
The Panthers allow the fewest Run Metres (1313m) and the 4th fewest Linebreaks (4.2) per game in the NRL.
Melbourne concede the most Offloads of any team in the league at 10.7 per game.
The Panthers left side attack scores 33% of their tries with the Storm only having the 3rd worst defence in the NRL on that side.

Head to Head

The Panthers and Storm have a storied history having played each other in 9 regular season games and 3 finals since the beginning of the 2019 season. Penrith have won the two most recent Prelim matchups in 2021 and 2023 but it was the Storm who took Grand Final honours in 2020, the year before the Panthers dynasty began.

In the 9 regular season matchups the Panthers hold a narrow 5-4 lead in the head to head with Melbourne holding the 5-4 advantage ATS.

The most recent clash was in Round 1 this season with Melbourne taking an 8-0 victory at AAMI Park.

The Under has hit in 5 of 9 games whilst the Winning Margin has been 13+ in 6 of 9 matchups.

Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
5-0	2-3	3-2

2024 Betting Trends

$10 ML	Over/Under	1-12	13+
$15.53	10-10	10-4	5-1

The Panthers were able to snatch the win from the jaws of defeat last weekend against their bogey team Parramatta. The Eels led 34-16 with 7 minutes remaining on the clock but the defending premiers never gave up running in 3 tries in 3 minutes to level up the scores. The final conversion from Nathan Cleary breaking the hearts of opposition supporters as they saw their team throw away another win.

Penrith completed only 26/35 sets in the game managing 1295 Run Metres in one of their least convincing wins of the year. With only 19 Tackles Inside 20m of their opponents they were somewhat lucky the poor outside defence fell apart, opening up scoring opportunities.

Penrith Panthers Team News

Dylan Edwards and James Fisher-Harris are both named in the reserves as they aim for a return to play.

Liam Martin is suspended which sees Liam Henry slot into the backrow. Scott Sorensen picked up a hammy last weekend and is replaced by Mavrik Geyer.

Penrith Panthers Team List

1. Daine Laurie

2. Sunia Turuva

3. Izack Tago

4. Casey McLean

5. Brian To'o

6. Jarome Luai

7. Nathan Cleary

8. Moses Leota

9. Mitch Kenny

10. Lindsay Smith

11. Mavrik Geyer

12. Liam Henry

13. Isaah Yeo

Interchange

14. Trent Toelau

15. Matthew Eisenhuth

16. Luron Patea

17. Jack Cole

Reserves

18. Brad Schneider

19. James Fisher-Harris

20. Dylan Edwards

21. Austin Dias

22. Luke Sommerton

Melbourne Storm Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	1-4	1-4

2024 Betting Trends

$10 ML	Over/Under	1-12	13+
$44.92	9-11	11-4	5-0

The Storm sit atop the NRL ladder and are back in the winners circle after a comfortable 28-16 victory over the Rabbitohs last weekend. With 8 wins across their last 9 games they are one of the most in-form teams in the NRL and the stats back it up.

Over those 9 games Melbourne average 28.8 points per game whilst restricting their opponents to only 18.4 points on average. The Storm also top the league in Linebreaks taking 6 of them last weekend against the Bunnies.

Melbourne Storm Team News

Eli Katoa returns from injury in the second row pushing Trent Loiero to lock. Nelson Asofa-Solomona lines up in the front row with Tui Kamikamica reverting to the bench. Chris Lewis is the man that drops out.

Melbourne Storm Team List

1. Ryan Papenhuyzen

2. Will Warbrick

3. Jack Howarth

4. Nick Meaney

5. Grant Anderson

6. Cameron Munster

7. Jahrome Hughes

8. Nelson Asofa-Solomona

9. Harry Grant

10. Josh King

11. Shawn Blore

12. Eli Katoa

13. Trent Loiero

Interchange

14. Tyran Wishart

15. Lazarus Vaalepu

16. Tui Kamikamica

17. Alec MacDonald

Reserves

18. Kane Bradley

19. Sua Fa'alogo

20. Tepai Moeroa

21. Dean Ieremia

22. Chris Lewis

Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2024 Round 24 FAQ’s

How to watch Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2024 Round 24?

You can watch the Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2024 Round 24 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2024 Round 24?

To buy tickets to the Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2024 Round 24 game check the NRL website or the official Penrith Panthers site.

Verdict

Penrith Panthers v Melbourne Storm

Panthers defence and Nathan Cleary are the difference here, Panthers to get up and make a push for another minor premiership.

Penrith -3.5

Line

$1.83 - 3 Units

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Under 44.5

Game Total

$1.85 - 2 Units

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Sunia Turuva

Anytime Tryscorer

$1.87 - 1 Unit

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Sunia Turuva

First Tryscorer

$9.00 - 1 Unit

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