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Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm Odds - Latest Betting Odds & Preliminary Final Markets

ben-darvill
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Last updated: 21 Sep 2023
Ben Darvill 21 Sep 2023
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  • Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm will do battle in the NRL Preliminary Final on Friday
  • Latest odds and Preliminary Final markets
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Penrith Panthers and Melbourne Storm (Getty Images)
Penrith Panthers and Melbourne Storm (Getty Images)

The Penrith Panthers arrive for the Preliminary Finals as the favourites to move into the Grand Final, but are things as straightforward as the odds suggest?

The Melbourne Storm arrive in good form, and they know that they have all of the tools they need to beat the reigning champions. Friday's Preliminary Final is shaping up to be one of the most intriguing matches for some time now, and we have brought together the most popular betting markets and best odds ahead of Friday's massive clash. 

Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm Match Result Odds


Match Result
Odds
Penrith Panthers Win $1.18
Melbourne Storm Win$4.90
Note: Odds from TopSport. Correct on 21/9/2023

While the Penrith Panthers ($1.18) arrive as the favourites, they will know that anything could happen in this one. 18 wins came alongside six defeats in the regular season before a brilliant 32-6 win in the post season saw them move straight into the Prelims. However, will two weeks off the pitch ultimately hurt them?

For the Melbourne Storm ($4.90) it is do or die, as is has been for the last few weeks. Despite finishing in third on the ladder, the Storm were just four points shy of the Panthers at the summit, with their defeat to the Broncos (26-0) followed by a much-improved performance against the Roosters (18-13). A win in this one would be a stunning result, although it would not be massively surprising. 

Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm Winning Margin Odds


Winning Margin
Odds
Panthers by 19+ Points$2.52
Panthers by 13-18 Points$5.10
Panthers by 7-12 Points$5.20
Panthers by 1-6 Points$5.80
Storm by 1-6 Points$8.50
Storm by 7-12 Points$16.00
Storm by 13-18 Points$29.00
Storm by 19+ Points$41.00
Note: Odds from TopSport. Correct on 21/9/2023

The Panthers are fancied to win this one, shown both in the outright odds and in the winning margins. All of the Panthers winning by 1-6 ($5.80), 7-12 ($5.20), 13-18 ($5.10) and 19+ ($2.52) are more likely than the Storm squeezing to a win by 1-6 ($8.50). With the most likely result a win for the Panthers by 19 points or more, it shows the side that finished at the top of the ladder should run away with this one.

Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm First Try Scorer Odds


First Try Scorer
Odds
Brian Too (Panthers)$6.75
Sunia Turuva (Panthers)$9.00
Stephen Crichton (Panthers)$10.00
Dylan Edwards (Panthers)$11.00
Izack Tago (Panthers)$11.00
Luke Garner (Panthers)$13.00
Tyrone Peachey (Panthers)$13.00
Reimis Smith (Storm)$15.00
Rest of the field$16.00+
Note: Odds from EliteBet. Correct on 21/9/2023

The first try scorer betting market is usually a very popular option when it comes to wagering on a bit event, and the bookies do not disappoint with the markets they offer. Ahead of the match, Brian Too of the Penrith Panthers is the current favourite to cross the line first at $6.75, while Reimis Smith is the most likely Storm player to score first at $15.00. 

Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm Anytime Tryscorer Odds


First Try Scorer
Odds
Brian Too (Panthers)$1.76
Sunia Turuva (Panthers)$2.07
Stephen Crichton (Panthers)$2.26
Izack Tago (Panthers)$2.38
Dylan Edwards (Panthers)$2.41
Luke Garner (Panthers)$2.63
Tyrone Peachey (Panthers)$2.75
Reimis Smith (Storm)$2.96
Rest of the field$3.05+
Note: Odds from EliteBet. Correct on 21/9/2023

With the Preliminary Finals looming, the anytime try scorer market is dominated by Penrith Panthers players who will fancy their chances of opening the Storm up. Brian Too as as the head of the betting at $1.76, while Sunia Turuva is next at $2.07. You would have to go all the way down to the eighth player in the market to find the first Storm player, with Reimis Smith available at $2.96. 

Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm Total Points Odds


Total Points Bands
Odds
31-40$2.98
41-50$3.25
21-30$4.15
51-60$5.50
11-20$9.10
61+$10.00
10 or less$46.00
Note: Odds from PuntNow. Correct on 21/9/2023

The bookies clearly see this as a game that will see points scored. Many Prelims are adorned with points and stunning efforts that get the crowd out of their seats. However, there are also some terrible matches that see the nerves of the occasion get the better of the teams. While PuntNow clearly expect points, it would not be surprising to see few points scored, especially if the two sides are cagey and do their best not to lose, rather than trying to win the game outright. However, with the Panthers in scoring mood this season, it is no wonder why the higher points bands are the favourites in the betting. 

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