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Parramatta Eels vs Sydney Roosters Tips - Chooks stay alive in finals race?

Last updated: 17 Aug 2023
Jeremy Darke 17 Aug 2023
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  • Parramatta Eels vs Sydney Roosters predictions for Friday's NRL game
  • The Eels have averaged 10 Linebreaks against in their last 3 games
  • Who will keep their finals chances alive?
Parramatta Eels vs Sydney Roosters
Daniel Tupou of the Roosters (Getty Images)

Parramatta Eels vs Sydney Roosters Tips

The Roosters and Eels will cap off Friday night footy in what is potentially a sudden-death matchup, with the loser taking an early mark in 2023 and can start booking their tickets to Bali. 

The momentum shift in the Roosters' 2023 season has me backing them to cover the 3.5-point line as favourites against the Eels, especially after the news about Mitch Moses being out for the year. 

The Eels have been busted open with 30 linebreaks in their last 3 games so I expect Sydney to score over 23 points this week, continuing with their current attacking form. Daniel Tupou has five tries in five games so we can expect him to cross the line against the Eels.

  • 2011 was the last time the Roosters won a match against the Eels by less than 4 points.
  • Sydney have scored over 23.5 points in their last 11 victories against the Parramatta
  • Parramatta have conceded over 23.5 points in 9 of their 10 losses in 2023.
  • Daniel Tupou has scored 5 tries in his last 5 games.

Head to Head 

The Roosters have won five of their last seven games against the Parramatta Eels including a 28-20 victory in round 5 at Allianz.

The Eels have won two of three games played against the Roosters at Commbank Stadium.

Parramatta Eels Form

After winning five in a row, the Eels have now won just two of their last six and have slipped out of form with their finals chances starting to look very miniscule, especially now with the loss of Mitch Moses for the rest of the year. 

The Eels conceded 12 Linebreaks to the Broncos in their 54-10 defeat, resulting in nine tries to Brisbane. 

The Eels also conceded seven Linebreaks to the Dragons the week before and the Melbourne Storm broke their line 11 times three games ago.

Parramatta Eels Team News

There is plenty of movement in the Eels lineup, topped off by losing Mitchell Moses for the season. He will be replaced by Daejarn Asi moving to the 6 and Dylan Brown taking over in 7.

Reagan Campbell-Gillard moves back into the front row. Joe Ofahengaue will take over at lock and J’Maine Hopgood will play on the edge.

Maika Sivo also returns on the wing for the Eels.

Parramatta Eels Team List

1. Clint Gutherson
2. Maika Sivo
3. Will Penisini
4. Bailey Simonsson
5. Sean Russell
6. Daejarn Asi
7. Dylan Brown 
8. Reagan Campbell-Gillard
9. Joey Lussick
10. Junior Paulo
11. J'maine Hopgood
12. Bryce Cartwright
13. Joe Ofahengaue


14. Luca Moretti
15. Ryan Matterson
16. Wiremu Greig
17. Brendan Hands


18. Makahesi Makatoa
19. Waqa Blake
20. Ofahiki Ogden
21. Ky Rodwell
​​​​​​​22. Jack Murchie

Sydney Roosters Form

The Roosters have left their run late, but with three wins from their last four matches they are still in with a fighting chance of making the finals in 2023.

With wins over fellow bottom-eighters the Titans, Sea Eagles and Dolphins in the last month, Sydney have started to find a little attacking form scoring an average of 30 points in their three victories, which is 12 points more than their season average of just 18 points per game.

Sydney Roosters Team News

Angus Crichton comes back into the side on the interchange bench, replacing cult hero Dylan Napa.

Sydney Roosters Team List

1. James Tedesco
2. Daniel Tupou
3. Billy Smith
4. Joseph Manu
5. Joseph Suaalii
6. Luke Keary
7. Drew Hutchison
8. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves
9. Brandon Smith
10. Lindsay Collins
11. Siua Wong
12. Nat Butcher
13. Victor Radley


14. Sandon Smith 
15. Fletcher Baker
16. Terrell May
17. Angus Crichton


18. Sam Walker
19. Dylan Napa
20. Corey Allan
21. Fetalaiga Pauga
​​​​​​​22. Nathan Brown


The Roosters will keep their finals hopes alive by covering the line against the Eels and scoring over 23 points on Friday. Daniel Tupou has found his legs again in 2023 and will cross for his sixth try in six games.

Best Bet: Sydney Over 23.5 Home Team Points @17/20 at Crossbet - 3 Units
Value Bet: Sydney -3.5 Handicap Line @9/10 at Betr - 1 Unit
Anytime Tryscorer Tip: Daniel Tupou Anytime Tryscorer @15/16 at Colossalbet - 1 Unit
First Tryscorer Tip: Daniel Tupou First Tryscorer @33/4 at Boombet - 1 Unit
Sydney Over 23.5
Home Team Points
@17/20 - 3 Units
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Sydney -3.5
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Parramatta Eels v Sydney Roosters