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Parramatta Eels vs Brisbane Broncos Tips - Brisbane back on the horse with win over the Eels

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 07 May 2024
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Jeremy Darke 07 May 2024
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  • Parramatta Eels vs Brisbane Broncos expert predictions for Friday’s Round 10 NRL game
  • Kick off is at 8:00 PM at CommBank Stadium
  • Both teams coming in with injury troubles, who will handle it better?
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
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Josh Rogers
Josh Rogers to take the reins in the absence of Adam Reynolds and Jock Madden. (Photo by Bradley Kanaris/Getty Images)

Parramatta Eels vs Brisbane Broncos, Round 10 2024 - Expert Prediction


Both Parramatta and Brisbane will be missing their starting halfbacks for this match but it will be Brisbane and their defence that will guide them to victory, covering a 9.5-point line as the favourites.
  • Parramatta Eels vs Brisbane Broncos, Round 10 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Parramatta Eels Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Parramatta Eels Team News
  • Parramatta Eels Team List
  • Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Brisbane Broncos Team News
  • Brisbane Broncos Team List
  • Parramatta Eels vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 10 FAQ’s

Brisbane blasted Parramatta 54-10 last time they played and although their may not be that many points in them with Adam Reynolds being sidelined, the Broncos defence will bounce back from their poor performance last week and will hand Parra a comfortable loss by keeping the Eels under 18.5 points, as they lack the chemistry in their new-look spine. 

Reece Walsh was really quiet last weekend against the Roosters and with the absence of Reynolds I expect the Brisbane fullback to be much more hands on and will slice through the defence once or twice and get a four-pointer. 

  • Brisbane have beaten Parramatta by 10 points or more in their past 3 victories over the Eels. 
  • Parramatta have averaged just 17 points per game since Mitch Moses has been sidelined. 
  • Brisbane have held their opponents to less than 18 points in 3 of their past 4 matches.
  • The Eels have conceded a try to opposing fullbacks in their last 3 consecutive matches. 

Head to Head 


Brisbane won both games against the Eels in 2023 at two alternate stadiums. The Broncs got up in bad weather at TIO Stadium in Darwin in Round 8, beating Parra 26-10. They then faced each weather at The Gabba, with Brisbane putting up a halftime AFL score of 54-10 in round 24.

Brisbane have won 3 of the past 4 games against Parramatta, however, it is the Eels that hold a 7-4 lead in the head to head record. 

Parramatta Eels Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
1-41-44-1

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+
-25.76-22-21-3

The injury to Mitch Moses has hit the Eels hard with Parra winning just one of five matches without their star halfback. They now face a new crisis with the King of the West Clint Gutherson now spending an extended time on the sideline with injury. 

The Eels have averaged just 17 points per game since the Moses injury as they stuggle to find creative combinations through their spine that can spark them inside their opponents 20m.

Attack is not the only problem for the Eels, allowing an average of 34.35 points per game in their previous 4 matches. They also concede 6.9 Linebreaks per game, which is the most of any team in the NRL. 

Parramatta Eels Team News


Blaize Talagi will play his third position in 2024 for the Eels slotting in to fill the boots of Clint Gutherson at fullback after having slotted in in the centres and also having a short stint at five-eight. 

Sean Russell comes back into the side in the centres, replacing Morgan Harper. Bryce Cartwright also returns, taking a spot on the bench with Brendan Hands dropping off. 

Parramatta Eels Team List


1. Blaize Talagi
2. Maika Sivo
3. Will Penisini
4.  Sean Russell
5. Bailey Simonsson
6. Ethan Sanders
7. Dylan Brown
8. Reagan Campbell-Gillard
9. Joey Lussick
10. Junior Paulo
11. Shaun Lane
12. Ryan Matterson
13. J’maine Hopgood

Interchange
14. Bryce Cartwright
15. Makahesi Makatoa
16. Joe Ofahengaue
17. Kelma Tuilagi

Reserves
18. Luca Moretti
19. Morgan Haper
20. Daejarn Asi
21. Wiremu Greig
22. Brendan Hands

Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-24-13-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+
-17.26-31-24-2

Brisbane were embarrassed by the Roosters last week at Suncorp, going down to Easts 40-18, conceding 30+ points to a top four team for the third time this season. The loss also came at huge cost with Adam Reynolds coming out of the game and also losing Jesse Arthurs. 

Despite having the majority of the territory, Brisbane’s defensive line was in tatters with the Roosters breaking their line 10 times in the match and putting on 7 tries despite only having 22 tackles inside the Brisbane 20m.

Brisbane are going to have to fight through this period without their main weapon in the territory battle and attacking 20m with Adam Reynolds sidelined for a while. The Broncos will need to correct their defensive lapses quickly as I cannot see them putting up the same amount of points each game and may also find themselves under more pressure in the absence of the little general’s kicking game. 

Brisbane Broncos Team News


Josh Rogers will play his second game of first grade in the halfback position covering for Adam Reynolds and likely filling in until Jock Madden also overcomes injury. 

Corey Oates will take over on the wing for Jesse Arthurs who is out with a broken jaw. 

Jack Gosiewski will debut for Brisbane with the ex-Cowboys taking a spot on the bench in place of Fletcher Baker.

Brisbane Broncos Team List


1. Reece Walsh
2. Corey Oates
3. Kotoni Staggs
4. Selwyn Cobbo
5. Deine Mariner
6. Ezra Mam
7. Josh Rogers
8. Corey Jensen
9. Billy Walters
10. Payne Haas
11. Brendan Piakura
12. Jordan Riki
13. Patrick Carrigan

Interchange
14. Tyson Smoothy
15. Xavier Willison
16. Kobe Hetherington
17. Jack Gosiewski

Reserves
18. Tristan Sailor
19. Fletcher Baker
20. Benjamin Te Kura
21. Jordan Pereira
22. Blake Mozer

Parramatta Eels vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 10 FAQ’s

How to watch Parramatta Eels vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 10?

You can watch the Parramatta Eels vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 10 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Parramatta Eels vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 10?

To buy tickets to the Parramatta Eels vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 10 game check the NRL website or the official Parramatta Eels site.

Verdict

Brisbane will overcome their injury woes and get a 10+ point win over the Eels who have their own injury crisis.
 
The eels are lacking chemistry in attack and will score less than 18.5 points in the match.

Reec Walsh will have his hands on the ball a lot in this game and will slide through for a try.
Best Bet1: Brisbane -9.5 Handicap/Line @10/11 at PlayUP - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Parramatta Under 18.5 Team Total @8/11 at Topsport - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Reece Walsh Anytime Tryscorer @23/20 at Neds - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Reece Walsh First Tryscorer @10/1 at Boombet - 1 Unit
Brisbane -9.5
Handicap/Line
@10/11 - 2 Units
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Parramatta Under 18.5
Team Total
@8/11 - 3 Units
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Reece Walsh
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Reece Walsh
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Betting Slip | 10 May 2024

Parramatta Eels v Brisbane Broncos