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North QLD Cowboys vs Canterbury Bulldogs Tips - Bulldogs defence expected to throttle Cowboys attack

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Last updated: 17 Jul 2024
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Ryan Tucker 17 Jul 2024
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  • North QLD Cowboys vs Canterbury Bulldogs expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 20 NRL game
  • Kick off is at 6:15 PM at Queensland Country Bank Stadium
  • Canterbury Bulldogs aim for top 8 spot with a victory over North QLD Cowboys.
  • Bulldogs' strong defensive play has kept them competitive despite poor away record.
  • Cowboys may struggle without 5 Origin players, favoring the Bulldogs for the win.
Ryan dives into the three Sunday NRL games.

North QLD Cowboys vs Canterbury Bulldogs, Round 20 2024 - Expert Prediction


Canterbury will take a big step in cementing a top 8 spot with a victory as the underdog in North Queensland this Sunday.
  • North QLD Cowboys vs Canterbury Bulldogs, Round 20 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • North QLD Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • North QLD Cowboys Team News
  • North QLD Cowboys Team List
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Team News
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Team List
  • North QLD Cowboys vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL 2024 Round 20 FAQ’s

Whilst it is common knowledge that the Bulldogs have won only 1 game as the away team this year it is not through lack of trying. In 4 of those away losses the Margin has been a converted try or less and through all their away games they have restricted opponents to an average score of 19.3 points. 

It is the defensive prescence of this team that has lifted them up the ladder much higher and quicker than anyone had really expected. Now that Origin is over and they feel they are a real shot at finals, expect the scoring to start clicking at a higher rate as the combinations continue to build.

The Cowboys have had flashes of brilliance at times this season but it has not come against top defensive teams. Their win over the Panthers was I believe more down to the Panthers not being able to put it together rather than North Queensland being good. Their goal line defence has been soft at times aswell and that will be tested heavily by a team that loves the crash play. 

  • North Queensland average only 15 points in 4 games played against top 5 defensive teams
  • The Bulldogs are ranked 2nd in NRL for Opposition Points Scored giving up only 16.4 pts per game to their opposition
  • Canterbury average 32.1 Tackles Inside 20m of their opponents, 4th most in the league.
  • Viliame Kikau is a great chance to score coming up against a new centre in Purdue. Kikau has scored a try in each of his last two games.

Head to Head 


These two teams have met on 7 occasions since the beginning of the 2019 season. North Queensland hold a 4-3 advantage in the head to head but it was the Bulldogs who tasted success most recently with a Golden Point victory in their lone match up last season. 

5 of the last 7 have gone Under the Game Total with the Winning Margin being 1-12 points in 6 of the last 7 matchups.

North Queensland hold a 5-2 ATS record across the same period.

North QLD Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/L
Last 5 ATS
Last 5 O/U
3-23-22-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 ML
Over/Under
1-12
13+
$23.211-64-55-3

The Cowboys had a two game win streak broken by Manly in their last game before the bye. A Scott Drinkwater 2-point field goal leveled the scores with 4 minutes remaining then in Golden Point it was Cherry-Evans who sealed the deal for the opposition. 

North Queensland monstered the Territory on the day holding a 65% advantage over their opponent. They also had more Run Metres and Tackles Inside 20m but a few extra errors was the difference in the end in a close game.

The Cowboys have not scored over 20 points in 4 of their last 5 games calling into question their ability with the ball against strong defensive teams.

North QLD Cowboys Team News


All 5 of the Cowboys Origin players are named in the reserves and will be given until the weekend to prove their fitness. 

In their absence, Jaxon Purdue, Jake Clifford, Jake Granville, Jason Taumalolo and Kulikefu Finefeuiaki are all named to start. 

North QLD Cowboys Team List


1. Scott Drinkwater
2. Kyle Feldt
3. Jaxon Purdue
4. Villiami Vailea
5. Braidon Burns
6. Jake Clifford
7. Chad Townsend
8. Jordan McLean
9. Jake Granville
10. Jason Taumalolo
11. Heilum Luki
12. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki
13. Sam McIntyre

Interchange
14. Harrison Edwards
15. Thomas Mikaele
16. Jamal Shibasaki
17. Griffin Neame

Reserves
18. Thomas Duffy
19. Semi Valemei
20. Valentine Holmes
21. Tom Dearden
​​​​​​​22. Jeremiah Nanai
23. Reece Robson
24. Reuben Cotter


Canterbury Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
4-13-20-5

2024 Betting Trends
$10 ML
Over/Under
1-12
13+
$30.34-125-44-3

Leading into last week’s bye the Bulldogs were pushed to their limits in two consecutive Golden Point games. A Matt Burton field goal was the difference in both clashes, lifting the Dogs up to 5th on the NRL ladder heading into this weekend.

The biggest take away for Canterbury this season and in their most recent games has been their defence. They rank 2nd in the league for Opposition Scoring and are locking teams down with crushing defensive strategies effectively wearing their opponents down.

In the most recent game against the Warriors, Canterbury allowed only 2 tries for 39 New Zealand Tackles Inside 20m. 

Canterbury Bulldogs Team News


Stephen Crichton has been named to back up from Origin and looked to get through the game unscathed. There are multiple options in the reserves if he doesn’t pass his fitness test.

Josh Curran moves to the front row to cover for Max King who is expected to be out for period of time with a wrist injury. 

Jaeman Salmon not only broke his jaw affecting an illegal tackle last weekend but was also suspended. Jacob Preston takes his spot in the backrow with Poasa Faamausili joining the bench.

Canterbury Bulldogs Team List


1. Connor Tracey
2. Jacob Kiraz
3. Bronson Xerri
4. Stephen Crichton
5. Blake Wilson
6. Matt Burton
7. Toby Sexton
8. Josh Curran
9. Reed Mahoney
10. Sam Hughes
11. Viliame Kikau
12. Jacob Preston
13. Kurt Mann

Interchange
14. Bailey Hayward
15. Poasa Faamausili
16. Kurtis Morrin
17. Lipoi Hopoi

Reserves
19. Harry Hayes
20. Drew Hutchison
21. Hayze Perham
​​​​​​​22. Jeral Skelton
23. Chris Patolo
25. Kitione Kautoga

North QLD Cowboys vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL 2024 Round 20 FAQ’s

How to watch North QLD Cowboys vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL 2024 Round 20?

You can watch the North QLD Cowboys vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL 2024 Round 20 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to North QLD Cowboys vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL 2024 Round 20?

To buy tickets to the North QLD Cowboys vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL 2024 Round 20 game check the NRL website or the official North QLD Cowboys site.

Verdict

In my opinion it will be defence that wins out in this one and Canterbury have a much better defensive structure. Add to that the Cowboys could possibly be without 5 of their Origin stars and it looks like a tough uphill battle for them.
Best Bet1: Canterbury Moneyline $2.10 at PlayUP - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Under 47.5 Game Total $1.90 at bet365 Australia - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Viliame Kikau Anytime Tryscorer $3.90 at Neds - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Viliame Kikau First Tryscorer $26.00 at Neds - 1 Unit
Canterbury
Moneyline
$2.10 - 3 Units
Bet at PlayUp
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Bet at PlayUP
Under 47.5
Game Total
$1.90 - 2 Units
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Viliame Kikau
Anytime Tryscorer
$3.90 - 1 Unit
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Viliame Kikau
First Tryscorer
$26.00 - 1 Unit
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North Queensland Cowboys v Canterbury Bulldogs