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North QLD Cowboys vs Brisbane Broncos Tips - Brisbane lose another derby

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: 07 Aug 2024

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Jeremy Darke 07 Aug 2024

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North QLD Cowboys vs Brisbane Broncos expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 23 NRL game
Kick off is at 5:30 PM at Queensland Country Bank Stadium
Cowboys expected to exploit Broncos' poor right-side defense, with Val Holmes and Murray Taulagi likely to score
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet

Best Overs and Unders for NRL Saturday

North QLD Cowboys vs Brisbane Broncos, Round 23 2024 - Expert Prediction

Little brother will prevail again with Brisbane losing their second Queensland derby in as many weeks, this time going down to the Cowboys who will cover the line as favourites and put on 30+ points against the Broncos.

North QLD Cowboys vs Brisbane Broncos, Round 23 2024 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
North QLD Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends
North QLD Cowboys Team News
North QLD Cowboys Team List
Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Brisbane Broncos Team News
Brisbane Broncos Team List
North QLD Cowboys vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 23 FAQ’s

The fall of Brisbane since the Origin period has been hard and it tends to fill up a lot of media space which makes it difficult to avoid. To make things worse they will be missing Payne Haas and Ezra Mam this week as they take on the Cowboys who are hitting form at the right time of the year.

The Cowboys attack will be what leads them past Brisbane as they will continue to cross the line at an incredible rate, going over their team total of 29.5. Brisbane’s right defence is going to have even more problems this week when they face one of the best centre-wing combinations in the NRL with Val Holmes and Murray Taulagi coming at them with both players a good chance for a try this week.

The Cowboys have won 8 of their past 10 matches.
Brisbane have an average losing margin of 12.8 in their past 8 losses.
Brisbane have conceded 30+ points in 3 of their past 4 games.
Brisbane concede the second-most tries down their right side than any other team in the NRL.

Head to Head

Brisbane have won the past 3 matches against North Queensland with their latest back in round 4 this season, getting up 38-12 in torrential rain with the boot of Adam Reynolds causing all sorts of problems for Scott Drinkwater at the back.

Brisbane lead the head to head count 8-4 since 2019.

North QLD Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-13-2	3-2	2-3

2024 Betting Trends

$10 ML	Over/Under	1-12	13+
39.2	13-7	6-5	6-3

Despite putting up 48 points against a 12-man Tigers team, coach Todd Payten will not be happy with his side’s performance conceding 30 points to Wests and allowing them to score 3 tries while they were a man down.

This has been a little bit of the story for the Cowboys this season, whose 89 tries this season is the second-most in the league, but on the flip side, the 81 they have conceded is the eight-most.

Despite putting on so many points, they are certainly not running away with games. The Cowboys have had an impressive form swing winning 8 of their past 10, however, 5 of those 8 wins have been by a 1-12 margin.

North QLD Cowboys Team News

Reuben Cotter returns to lock after missing last week with injury. Harrison Edwards moves to the bench as Jake Granville misses the match with injury.

North QLD Cowboys Team List

1. Scott Drinkwater

2. Kyle Feldt

3. Valentine Holmes

4. Villiami Vailea

5. Murray Taulagi

6. Tom Dearden

7. Chad Townsend

8. Jordan McLean-

9. Reece Robson

10. Sam McIntyre

11. Heilum Luki

24. Jeremiah Nanai

13. Reuben Cotter

Interchange

14. Harrison Edwards

15. Thomas Mikaele

16. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki

17. Griffin Neame

Reserves

18. Jaxon Purdue

19. Jake Clifford

20. Tom Chester

21. Semi Valemei

22. Marly Bitungane

Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	1-4	3-2

2024 Betting Trends

$10 ML	Over/Under	1-12	13+
-84.2	11-9	2-7	6-5

Brisbane are still a mathematical chance but their 46-18 loss to the Gold Coast Titans last weekend has all but ruled them out of finals footy in September.

Origin and injury were too much for Brisbane to handle in 2024, winning just one of nine games since round 12. Stability and leadership has been their problem and their lack of intent in defence has been raised.

Brisbane concede the third-most run metres (1,516.1) of any team in the NRL and also the seventh-most tries. The Broncos have also conceded 40+ points in their past two matches.

Brisbane Broncos Team News

Ezra Mam and Payne Haas are big losses for the Broncos this week. Josh Rogers will come into the halves and Xavier Willison will start and Tristan Sailor will come off the bench.

Josiah Karapani comes onto the wing with Corey Oates getting dropped.

Brisbane Broncos Team List

1. Reece Walsh

2. Josiah Karapani

3. Kotoni Staggs

4. Deine Mariner

5. Jesse Arthars

6. Josh Rogers

7. Adam Reynolds

8. Corey Jensen

9. Billy Walters

10. Xavier Willison

11. Brendan Piakura

12. Jordan Riki

13. Patrick Carrigan

Interchange

14. Blake Mozer

15. Kobe Hetherington

16. Tristan Sailor

17. Martin Taupau

Reserves

18. Cory Paix

19. Benjamin Te Kura

20. Jaiyden Hunt

21. Corey Oates

22. Va'a Semu

North QLD Cowboys vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 23 FAQ’s

How to watch North QLD Cowboys vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 23?

You can watch the North QLD Cowboys vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 23 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.