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Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers Tips - Knights expected to lockdown the Tigers and take the victory

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: 08 Aug 2024
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Ryan Tucker 08 Aug 2024
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  • Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 23 NRL game
  • Kick off is at 4:05 PM at McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Newcastle Knights expected to maintain strong defense against Wests Tigers.
  • Wests Tigers struggling with a six-game losing streak, averaging only 19 points per game.
  • History favors Newcastle, with a dominant head-to-head record and effective defensive plays.
Ryan's top tips from both NRL matchups this Sunday.

Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers, Round 23 2024 - Expert Prediction


Newcastle’s defence will keep the Tigers at bay in this one with a low total expected.
  • Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers, Round 23 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Newcastle Knights Team News
  • Newcastle Knights Team List
  • Wests Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Wests Tigers Team News
  • Wests Tigers Team List
  • Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers NRL 2024 Round 23 FAQ’s

Wests are on a 6 game losing streak scoring an average of only 19 pts per game through the losing run. The Knights are the 8th best Scoring Defence in the league allowing only 19.5 points to current bottom 8 ranked teams over this season.

They hold a commanding lead in the head to head against Wests having kept them to low scores in all games in the current 5 game winning streak.

  • Wests average only 11.6 pts against Newcastle in their last 5 matchups
  • The Tigers concede the most Linebreaks in the NRL at 6.9 per game and are 4th last in creating at 4.5 per game
  • Newcastle are 4th in the league in Tackle Busts averaging 36.5 per game
  • Greg Marzhew has scored a try in his last two games against the Tigers

Head to Head 


These teams have played 11 times since the beginning of the 2019 season with Newcastle holding a 7-4 advantage in the head to head including the 20-14 win in Round 10 earlier this season.

Both teams have covered in their respective wins with the Knights holding a 7-4 ATS record.

The Over has hit in 6 of 11 games but the Under has come through in 4 of the last 5. 

The Winning Margin has been 13+ in 6 of the last 11 but in 3 of the last 4 it has been 1-12.

Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-32-32-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+
-$35.57-127-61-5

Newcastle were unable to come away with the win against the defending premiers last weekend losing 22-14. 

As predicted it was a tight game all the way through with each team only having 20 Tackles Inside 20m of their opponent and Linebreaks being kept to a minimum. 

The Knights still need to figure out how to score points with the team they have, the defence is there but without being able to score more than 2-3 tries they will continue to lose these tight contests against quality opponents.

Newcastle Knights Team News


Tyson Gamble and Phoenix Crossland continue as the halves for this Knights team despite scoring only 14 points against the Panthers last weekend.

Brodie Jones is named on the bench with Jacob Saifiti out with a calf injury.

Newcastle Knights Team List


1. Kalyn Ponga
2. Fletcher Sharpe
3. Dane Gagai
4. Dylan Lucas
5. Greg Marzhew
6. Tyson Gamble
7. Phoenix Crossland
8. Daniel Saifiti
9. Jayden Brailey
10. Leo Thompson
11. Tyson Frizell
12. Kai Pearce-Paul
13. Adam Elliott

Interchange
14. Jack Cogger
15. Mat Croker
16. Jack Hetherington
17. Brodie Jones

Reserves
18. Thomas Cant
19. Sebastian Su'a
20. Jackson Hastings
21. Will Pryce
​​​​​​​22. Krystian Mapapalangi


Wests Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
0-52-34-1

2024 Betting Trends
$10 ML
Over/Under
1-12
13+
-$837-132-72-9

The Tigers went down in a gallant effort against the Cowboys last weekend 48-30. The game was within reach for the Tigers for the majority of the time but again their defence around the edges let them down giving up 10 Linebreaks to their opponent. 

They will though take solace in the fact they were able to score 30 points for only the third time this season.

Wests Tigers Team News


Justin Olam will undergo surgery for a knee injury, ruling him out for the remainder of the season. Adam Doueihi comes back into the team after missing a couple with rest.

Aidan Sezer returns from suspension taking the halfback role from Latu Fainu who had sustained a head knock anyway.

Fonua Pole replaces Tim Johannssen on the interchange.

Wests Tigers Team List


1. Jahream Bula
2. Solomon Alaimalo
3. Solomona Faataape
4. Adam Doueihi
5. Charlie Staines
6. Lachlan Galvin
7. Aidan Sezer
8. Stefano Utoikamanu
9. Api Koroisau
10. David Klemmer
11. Reuben Porter
12. Samuela Fainu
13. Isaiah Papali'i

Interchange
14. Tallyn Da Silva
15. Alex Seyfarth
16. Fonua Pole
17. Alex Twal

Reserves
18. Heath Mason
19. Tim Johannssen
20. Josh Feledy
21. Declan Casey
​​​​​​​22. Tony Sukkar

Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers NRL 2024 Round 23 FAQ’s

How to watch Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers NRL 2024 Round 23?

You can watch the Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers NRL 2024 Round 23 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers NRL 2024 Round 23?

To buy tickets to the Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers NRL 2024 Round 23 game check the NRL website or the official Newcastle Knights site.

Verdict

The Tigers not only have problems scoring points this year, they have had problems against the Knights for a number of years. Expect that trend to continue with Newcastle's defence limiting the Tigers to a low total.
Best Bet1: Wests Under 19.5 Team Total $1.95 at dabble - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Newcastle 13+ Winning Margin $2.05 at bet365 Australia - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Greg Marzhew Anytime Tryscorer $1.51 at Topsport - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Greg Marzhew First Tryscorer $6.50 at dabble - 1 Unit
Wests Under 19.5
Team Total
$1.95 - 3 Units
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