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Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers Tips - Knights to tame the Tigers

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 13 Jul 2023
Jeremy Darke 13 Jul 2023
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  • Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers predictions for Friday’s NRL game (20:00 AEST)
  • The Knights are 3 from 4 as favourites in 2023
  • Can the Knights blow-out another cellar dweller?
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Newcastle Knights (Getty Images)

Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers Tips


Newcastle have been one of the hardest teams to tip in 2023, playing as unpredictable as the amount of times grandma drops the f-bomb at Christmas lunch. The Knights put on 66 points on the Dogs last time out, while the Tigers have lost by at least 16 points in their last four matches.
  • Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • Newcastle Knights Form
  • Newcastle Knights Team News
  • Newcastle Knights Team List
  • Wests Tigers Form
  • Wests Tigers Team News
  • Wests Tigers Team List

Although I have been burnt by Newcastle all year, I am going to take an alternative margin of -9.5 and cross my fingers it gets me home. Newcastle’s defence has been solid since round 8 against bottom 8 sides, while The Tigers have struggled to score points since they drove over the Cowboys in round 12. 

That being said, I like Newcastle as the only team to score 20+ points in the match. Bradman Best will be coming off Origin, but the Tigers have had problems on their right-edge defending their tryline, so a 4-pointer from the Knight’s left centre is inevitable.

  • The Knights have won 3 of 4 games when starting as favourites in 2023, all 3 victories were by double-digits.
  • Wests have not scored over 20 points in their last 5 matches, since scoring 66 against the Cowboys in round 12.
  • Newcastle have conceded under 20 points in 4 of their last 5 matches against bottom 8 teams.
  • Wests have conceded 4 tries in their last 2 games to left centres

Head to Head 


The Knights and Tigers have already met once this season in round 2 with Newcastle getting up by two points at Leichhardt Oval.

The Knights have also won five of the last seven against the Tigers, including the last three straight.

Newcastle Knights Form


The Knights are coming off their biggest win and second-biggest score in the club’s history after giving it to the Bulldogs 66-0 before their bye in round 19.

Before that though things were looking pretty gloomy for the gang on the Coal River, only winning once in their previous five games before their victory against the Dogs.

Their form has been extremely hard to track this season, however, it does look like the club is finding a bit of rhythm since Kalyn Ponga has now settled into the fullback role again.

Newcastle Knights Team News


Dane Gagai is making a comeback in the centres after recovering from a foot injury. He'll be replacing Enari Tuala, which is the only change in Adam O'Brien's side since their massive victory against the Bulldogs.

NSW Origin stars Jacob Saifiti and Bradman Best have been named to back up.

Newcastle Knights Team List


1. Kalyn Ponga
2. Dominic Young
3. Dane Gagai
4. Bradman Best
5. Greg Marzhew
6. Tyson Gamble
7. Jackson Hastings
8. Daniel Saifiti
9. Phoenix Crossland
10. Leo Thompson
11. Tyson Frizell
12. Lachlan Fitzgibbon
13. Adam Elliott

Interchange

14. Kurt Mann
15. Jacob Saifiti
16. Jack Hetherington
17. Mathew Croker

Reserves

18. Dylan Lucas
19. Enari Tuala
20. Brodie Jones
21. Hymel Hunt
22. Adam Clune

Wests Tigers Form


The poor old Tigers have not had it easy in 2023 and have certainly been copping it since round 15, losing their last four games by at least 16 points, including a 74-0 hiding from the Cows in round 18, followed by 24 point defeat to Cronulla last week.

The return of Api Koroisau will help this week, getting them up the field, but their lack of creators in attack is going to be a problem for the rest of 2023.

Wests Tigers Team News


In big news for the Tigers, captain Api Koroisau is making a massive comeback, returning early from a broken jaw he copped in Round 15.

With Api's return, Jake Simpkin shifts to the bench, making way for him. Tallyn Da Silva has dropped out of the 17.

Alex Twal is back in action after serving his suspension, and he'll be taking his spot on the bench. Brent Naden (shoulder) and Daine Laurie (quad) are listed in the reserves.

Wests Tigers Team List


1. Jahream Bula
2. Asu Kepaoa
3. Starford To'a
4. Tommy Talau 
5. Junior Tupou
6. Will Smith
7. Brandon Wakeham
8. Stefano Utoikamanu
9. Api Koroisau
10. David Klemmer
11. Isaiah Papali’i
12. John Bateman
13. Fonua Pole

Interchange

14. Jake Simpkin
15. Shawn Blore
16. Alex Twal
17. Alex Seyfarth

Reserves

18. Daine Laurie
19. Aitasi James
20. Tallyn De Silva
21. Justin Matamua
22. Brent Naden

Verdict

With any luck the fiery Knights will show up again this week and put this game to bed early. I like Newcastle by at least 10 points, while denying the Tigers any opportunity for victory by holding them under 20 points. Bradman Best will back up from his Origin debut with a try.

Best Bet: Knights -9.5 Handicap Line @8/11 at Boombet - 3 Units
Value Bet: Knights Only Team To Score 20+ @17/20 at Ladbrokes Australia - 2 Units
Anytime Tryscorer Tip: Bradman Best Anytime Tryscorer @8/5 at picklebet - 1 Unit
First Tryscorer Tip: Bradman Best First Tryscorer @10/1 at bet365 Australia - 1 Unit
Knights -9.5
Handicap Line
@8/11 - 3 Units
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Newcastle Knights v Wests Tigers