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Newcastle Knights vs South Sydney Rabbitohs Tips - Knights to hold strong

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 19 Aug 2023
Jeremy Darke 19 Aug 2023
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  • Newcastle Knights vs South Sydney Rabbitohs predictions for Sunday's NRL game
  • The Knights have averaged 37.5 points in attack in their last 6 games.
  • Will we see the Rabbitohs out of the 8 after Round 25?
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Newcastle Knights, South Sydney Rabbitohs
Top-eight ramifications in big battle at McDonald Jones Stadium (Getty Images)
  • Newcastle Knights vs South Sydney Rabbitohs Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • Newcastle Knights Form
  • Newcastle Knights Team News
  • Newcastle Knights Team List
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs Form
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs Team News
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs Team List

Newcastle Knights vs South Sydney Rabbitohs Tips


The Knights will host the Rabbitohs in what could be the round's most crucial match heading into the final few weeks of the home-and-away season. A win for either team could see them jump as high as 6th on the ladder and go a long way into securing their spot in the finals in 2023.

Our models are giving the Knights a four-point victory and I am not going to argue with the data. The Knights have won their last three at home and have not conceded more than 18 points at McDonald Jones Stadium in their last five. 

Although Souths have had good away form this season I'm going to take the Knights. Considering the defensive woes of Souths, who have conceded plenty of points in the last half of the season, I am taking Newcastle to score over 22.5 points. 

Bradman Best has been in good tryscoring form for the Knights and has a good record against Souths in his career so I like the centre for a try.

  • Newcastle haven’t lost in 6 matches, including their last 3 at home.
  • Souths have conceded over 22.5 points in 8 of their last 11 games.
  • Newcastle haven’t scored less than 26 points in their 6-game unbeaten run.
  • Bradman Best has scored 3 tries in his 4 games against Souths in his career.

Head to Head 


South Sydney have won their last three games against Newcastle by a margin of at least 12 points. 

Their match in 2022 ended with a 40-28 win to the Rabbitohs, at McDonald Jones Stadium, with Cody Walker the star with five try involvements, two Tries and three Try Assists.

Newcastle Knights Form


Besides league leaders the Panthers and the Broncos, the Knights are the inform team of the NRL with six consecutive wins. 

To put their streak into perspective, they have beaten four bottom-eight teams and two top-eight teams during their run.

The fact of the matter is though that they have done it with a fair amount of flair, led by fullback Kalyn Ponga who is in career-best form. 

The Knights have had an average winning margin of 25, including four double-digit victories.

Newcastle Knights Team News


Bradman Best returns in the centres with Enari Tuala dropping back to the reserves. 

Jackson Hastings was cleared of injury and will start at halfback.

Newcastle Knights Team List


1. Kalyn Ponga
2. Dominic Young
3. Dane Gagai
4. Bradman Best
5. Greg Marzhew
6. Tyson Gamble
7. Jackson Hastings
8. Jacob Saifiti
9. Phoenix Crossland
10. Leo Thompson
11. Tyson Frizell
12. Lachlan Fitzgibbon
13. Adam Elliott

Interchange

14. Kurt Mann
15. Daniel Saifiti
16. Jack Hetherington 
17. Mat Croker

Reserves

18. Dylan Lucas
19. Enari Tuala
20. Adam Clune
21. Brodie Jones
​​​​​​​22. Jack Johns

South Sydney Rabbitohs Form


South Sydney’s season is on the edge of collapsing, holding in the top eight by the skin of their teeth. 

Two unconvincing wins against St George last week and Wests two weeks prior have aided in the Rabbitohs occupying eighth spot on for and against ahead of the Cowboys. 

Souths have averaged 26 points against in their last five matches and considering they have played the three lowest-ranked teams in the league during that period, that is not a good sign.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Team News


Michael Chee-Kam replaces Benjamin Lovett on the bench in the only change for Souths.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Team List


1. Latrell Mitchell
2. Alex Johnston
3. Isaiah Tass
4. Campbell Graham
5. Taane Milne
6. Cody Walker
7. Lachlan Ilias
8. Jai Arrow
9. Damien Cook
10. Shaq Mitchell 
11. Keaon Koloamatangi
12. Jacob Host
13. Cameron Murray

Interchange

14. Tallis Duncan
15. Michael Chee Kam
16. Siliva Havili
17. Davvy Moale

Reserves

18. Tyrone Munro
19. Hame Sele 
20. Peter Mamouzelos
21. Tevita Tatola
​​​​​​​22. Dean Hawkins

Verdict

The Knights will get the upset putting Souths finals hopes in jeopardy. They will score over 22.5 points with Bradman Best crossing the line.
Best Bet: Newcastle Knights Moneyline @23/20 at picklebet - 3 Units
Value Bet: Newcastle Over 22.5 Team Total @20/21 at Topsport - 2 Units
Tryscoring Tips: Bradman Best Anytime Tryscorer @2/1 at BlueBet - 1 Unit
Tryscoring Tips: Bradman Best First Tryscorer @16/1 at Puntnow - 1 Unit
Newcastle Knights
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@23/20 - 3 Units
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Bradman Best
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