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Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins Tips - Phins up on the way to Finals
Listen
- Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 27 NRL game
- Kick off is at 4:05 PM at McDonald Jones Stadium
- Round 27 matchup between Newcastle Knights and Dolphins will decide a finals spot.
- Expert prediction favors Dolphins securing a historic win despite Knights' strong defense.
- Key factors: Dolphins' superior attack and lineup changes for both teams.
Ryan gives his best tips for the last game of the regular season.
Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins, Round 27 2024 - Expert Prediction
Whoever wins this game will play finals. In my opinion it will be the Dolphins who will make it for the first time in club history with a tough win at McDonald Jones Stadium
- Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins, Round 27 2024 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Newcastle Knights Team News
- Newcastle Knights Team List
- Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Dolphins Team News
- Dolphins Team List
- Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins NRL 2024 Round 27 FAQ’s
This game is all about Attack vs Defence. The Dolphins come into the weekend as the 6th best Scoring team after being top 4 for most of the season. The Knights are way down at 15th with the chopping and changing of their lineup meaning they have struggled to gain consistency in scoring.
Defensively though it is the Knights with the upperhand. They sit at 7th in the league on the season but have taken their average way down in the last 4 games. The Dolphins are 11th in Scoring Defence with their average going up in their most recent stint.
Normally i would side with the defence and my computer models but fairytales sometimes need to come true. Dolphins to make finals with a short margin of victory over the Knights here.
- The Dolphins average 24.8pts per game this season, 6th most in the NRL.
- 6 of the 7 most recent Dolphins wins have been by 1-12.
- Newcastle allow the 7th fewest points but the 2nd most Run Metres per game to their opposition.
- The Dolphins allow 41% of opposition tries down their right side.
Head to Head
This is the 4th matchup of these two teams, Newcastle won earlier this season 18-14 at Suncorp with the teams splitting the difference 1-1 last season.
2 of the 3 games have gone Over the Game Total with the Dolphins covering the line in 2 of 3.
The Winning Margin has been between 1-12 in the 2 most recent matchups with the very first meeting last season finishing with 13+.
Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| -$34.1 | 9-14 | 7-7 | 4-5 |
Newcastle have won 3 of their last 4 games with the 1 point loss against the Sharks in Round 24 coming in Golden Point overtime. Momentum has played a key part in the success and demise of the Knights this season with clear periods of form dictating their record.
Coming into the last round of the regular season their defence has been holding strong averaging only 16.75 points to their opponents over the last 4 games.
A win against the Phins would almost guarantee a finals berth save for a 70 point Dragons win against Canberra.
Newcastle Knights Team News
Brodie Jones reverts back to the bench to allow Tyson Frizell to return to the edge backrow. Thomas Cant goes back to 18th man.
Will Pryce has been edged off the bench with Tyson Gamble being given the utility spot. Kai Pearce-Paul could be a late inclusion after being named in the reserves.
Newcastle Knights Team List
1. Kalyn Ponga
2. Fletcher Sharpe
3. Dane Gagai
4. Bradman Best
5. Greg Marzhew
6. Jack Cogger
7. Phoenix Crossland
8. Daniel Saifiti
9. Jayden Brailey
10. Leo Thompson
11. Tyson Frizell
12. Dylan Lucas
13. Adam Elliott
Interchange
14. Tyson Gamble
15. Mat Croker
16. Jack Hetherington
17. Brodie Jones
Reserves
18. Thomas Cant
19. Will Pryce
20. Jackson Hastings
21. Sebastian Su'a
22. Kai Pearce-Paul
Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| $4.4 | 12-11 | 7-7 | 4-5 |
The Dolphins hit back at their haters last week putting the sword to the Broncos at Suncorp 40-6. It was only their 2nd win in 7 games and also the first game since Round 11 that they have held an opponent to less than 20 points.
The Dolphins hold the upper hand in the battle for the last top 8 spot with a superior differential, they need only win this game to secure a spot in the finals and make club history.
Dolphins Team News
Some of the changes made last week have stuck with Jake Averilla once again named at five-eighth. Kodi Nikorima returns from concussion and is named on the bench with Jesse Bromwich also returning to the front row.
Felise Kaufusi managed to get a suspension overturned at the judiciary and is right to go this weekend.
Dolphins Team List
1. Trai Fuller
2. Jamayne Isaako
3. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow
4. Herbie Farnworth
5. Jack Bostock
6. Jake Averillo
7. Sean O'Sullivan
8. Jesse Bromwich
9. Max Plath
10. Tevita Pangai Junior
11. Felise Kaufusi
12. Connelly Lemuelu
13. Kenny Bromwich
Interchange
14. Jeremy Marshall-King
15. Ray Stone
16. Mark Nicholls
17. Kodi Nikorima
Reserves
18. Lachlan Hubner
19. Isaiya Katoa
20. Oryn Keeley
21. Kurt Donoghoe
22. Tesi Niu
Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins NRL 2024 Round 27 FAQ’s
How to watch Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins NRL 2024 Round 27?
You can watch the Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins NRL 2024 Round 27 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins NRL 2024 Round 27?
To buy tickets to the Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins NRL 2024 Round 27 game check the NRL website or the official Newcastle Knights site.
Verdict
Whoever is not riding the Phins wave into finals is a cop out! 1-12 baby, lets goooo
Dolphins 1-12
Winning Margin
$3.60 - 3 Units
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