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Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders Tips - Raiders to say good Knight in NRL Finals

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 08 Sep 2023
Jeremy Darke 08 Sep 2023
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  • Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders predictions for Sunday’s NRL game
  • The Knights have averaged less than 12 points against during their 9-game win streak
  • Can Canberra do anything to stop the Knights?
  • Preview, stats, team news & more
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Newcastle Knights, Canberra Raiders, NRL
Knights flying-high on a nine-game win streak heading into the 2023 NRL Finals (Getty Images)
  • Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • Newcastle Knights Form
  • Newcastle Knights Team News
  • Newcastle Knights Team List
  • Canberra Raiders Form
  • Canberra Raiders Team News
  • Canberra Raiders Team List

Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders Tips


This matchup between the Newcastle Knights and Canberra Raiders is 5th v 8th, but it feels more like 1st vs 8th when you compare the form trajectory. The Knights look like the smokey to win the comp while the Raiders are quite frankly lucky to be still playing footy.

The Raiders have played in 17 matches in 2023 that have been decided by a margin of 1-12, this is not one of them. The Knights cover the line 75% of the time at home and they will add to that statistic in the first week of the finals. 

The team total for the Knights is also a little low considering how clinical Newcastle’s attack has been over the past nine games, so I am expecting them to score over 27.5 points on Sunday. 

Bradman Best presents the best value on the left side of Newcastle's attack at 2.30 odds, so the NSW centre is my pick for an ATS.

  • The Knights have covered the line in 75% of their games played at home in 2023.
  • The Knights have averaged 33 points in attack in their last 5 games.
  • The Knights have scored more than 27.5 points in their last 6 matches.
  • Bradman best has 3 tries in his last 3 games.

Head to Head 


With almost an even amount of possession, Newcastle managed to rack up 549 more run metres than Canberra in their 28-6 victory in round 22. 

The win reiterated the Knights' 24-14 victory they had over the Raiders in round 4, to complete the 2023 whitewash.

Newcastle Knights Form


I don’t think there was a single person in the country who would have predicted that the Newcastle Knights would be the in-form team of the NRL heading into the 2023 NRL Finals. 

Obviously, the form of fullback Kalyn Ponga has plenty to do with it, but the Knights's 32-12 victory against the Dragons, without Ponga, must have also turned plenty of heads last week. 

Newcastle are scintillating in attack but they have also only allowed two tries or less against in six of their games during their nine-game win streak.

Newcastle Knights Team News


Kalyn Ponga, Jackson Hastings and Lachlan Fitzgibbon all return to the Knights starting 13.

Newcastle Knights Team List


1. Kalyn Ponga
2. Dominic Young
3. Dane Gagai
4. Bradman Best
5. Greg Marzhew
6. Tyson Gamble
7. Jackson Hastings
8. Jacob Saifiti
9. Phoenix Crossland
10. Leo Thompson
11. Tyson Frizell
12. Lachlan Fitzgibbon
13. Adam Elliott

Interchange

14. Kurt Mann
15. Daniel Saifiti
16. Jack Hetherington 
17. Mat Croker

Reserves

18. Adam Clune
19. Lachlan Miller
20. Dylan Lucas
21. Enari Tuala
​​​​​​​22. Brodie Jones

Canberra Raiders Form


Canberra haven’t been good in the last two months, that is plain and simple. The Raiders have only recorded two wins in their last seven games, which was against the two of league’s three worst. 

The Raiders' -137 differential speaks a thousand words. Teams are putting points on Canberra, while they are failing to cross the line, nothing more needs to be said. 

Canberra Raiders Team News


James Schiller will replace Sebastian Kris on the wing after being suspended for his dangerous tackle in round 27.

Canberra Raiders Team List


1. Jordan Rapana
2. James Schiller
3. Jack Wighton
4. Matthew Timoko
5. Nick Cotric
6. Matt Frawley
7. Jamal Fogarty
8. Ata Mariota
9. Zac Woolford
10. Joe Tapine
11. Hudson Young
12. Elliott Whitehead
13. Hohepa Puru

Interchange

14. Tom Starling
15. Emre Guler
16. Pasami Saulo 
17. Trey Mooney

Reserves

18. Jarrod Croker
19. Albert Hopoate
20. Danny Levi
21. Ethan Strange
​​​​​​​22. Xavier Savage

Verdict

The Knights will run away with this one putting the Raiders out of the misery in 2023. Newcastle’s attack will run wild scoring more than 27.5 points, with Bradman Best one of the try scorers.
Best Bet: Newcastle -12.5 Handicap Line @20/21 at BlueBet - 3 Units
Value Bet: Newcastle Over 27.5 Team Total @17/20 at Unibet Australia - 2 Units
Tryscoring Tips: Bradman Best Anytime Tryscorer @13/10 at Neds - 1 Unit
Tryscoring Tips: Bradman Best First Tryscorer @21/2 at dabble - 1 Unit
Newcastle -12.5
Handicap Line
@20/21 - 3 Units
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Newcastle Knights v Canberra Raiders