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Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos Tips - Brisbane find life against the Knights

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: 17 Jul 2024

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Jeremy Darke 17 Jul 2024

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Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 20 NRL game
Kick off is at 5:30 PM at McDonald Jones Stadium
Ezra Mam's running game expected to be a key factor against the Knights
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet

Best Tryscoring tips for NRL Round 20 Super Saturday.

Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos, Round 20 2024 - Expert Prediction

Player availability is going to affect this game a lot, but either way you look at it Brisbane need this victory just that little bit more and will continue their current dominance over the Knights and make it five in a row to break their six-game losing streak.

Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos, Round 20 2024 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Newcastle Knights Team News
Newcastle Knights Team List
Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Brisbane Broncos Team News
Brisbane Broncos Team List
Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 20 FAQ’s

Brisbane are getting desperate and they need something to get their season back on track and that will be with a hard win against the Knights, who they have had success against over the past few seasons.

The trends also point towards a game that goes under 50 points and I tend to agree with the sore bodies that are likely to be out there and no team having that clinical ability at the moment to run away with a result.

The Knights have had a hard time stopping opposing halves recently and the running game of Ezra mam and his ability to pop up around a kick will cause some problems for Newcastle.

Brisbane have won their past 4 games against Newcastle.
Newcastle have a 50% record at McDonald Jones Stadium this season
6 of the past 7 games between Newcastle and Brisbane has ended with a game total of less than 49.5 points.
Newcastle have conceded 6 tries to opposing halves in their past 5 games.

Head to Head

Round 15, 2023 saw the Broncos get a 24-20 victory over the Knights on the back of a 76th minute converted try by Adam Reynolds.

The win for Brisbane at Suncorp in 2023 was the club’s fourth consecutive win over Newcastle which includes a 24-point victory at McDonald Jones Stadium in 2022.

Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	3-2	3-2

2024 Betting Trends

$10 ML	Over/Under	1-12	13+
-15.5	7-10	7-5	1-4

Newcastle took a hiding last week at 4 Pines Parke against Manly, going down 44-6, which was their biggest defeat of the 2024 season.

Lazy and soft defence in the line was the catalyst to the substantial defeat with Manly scoring multiple long-range tries, only having 8 tackles inside the Knights 20m throughout the whole game and basically sharing the territory 50/50.

Newcastle allowed the Sea Eagles to break their line nine times in the match and rack up 309 more run metres.

The loss was the Knights fourth in six games with their defence letting them down compared to earlier in their season, averaging 29.33 points against in their last six, which is more than any team’s season average.

Newcastle Knights Team News

Kalyn Ponga, Dane Gagai and Bradman Best have all been named to back up from Origin played three days before. Fletcher Sharpe is on standby to cover for Ponga and Thomas Cunt ready if another outside back is unavailable.

Dylan Lucas moves to the bench and joins Jack Hethrington who will cover for Mat Croker who is under concussion protocols.

Newcastle Knights Team List

1. Kalyn Ponga

2. Krystian Mapapalangi

3. Dane Gagai

4. Bradman Best

5. Greg Marzhew

6. Will Pryce

7. Jackson Hastings

8. Daniel Saifiti

9. Phoenix Crossland

10. Leo Thompson

11. Tyson Frizell

12. Kai Pearce-Paul

13. Adam Elliott

Interchange

14. Jayden Brailey

15. Jacob Saifiti

16. Jack Hetherington

17. Dylan Lucas

Reserves

18. Tyson Gamble

19. Mat Croker

20. Thomas Cant

21. Fletcher Sharpe

22. Thomas Jenkins

Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
0-5	0-5	2-3

2024 Betting Trends

$10 ML	Over/Under	1-12	13+
-69.4	9-8	2-7	5-3

The Brisbane season is in jeopardy and has been well documented after they fell to their sixth straight defeat, this time at the hands of St George 30-26 in round 19.

Everything will get better after the Origin period for the Broncos, especially with Adam Reynolds nearing a return. They have missed their halfback’s playmaking and game control, scoring over 16 points for the first time in 5 games against the Dragons.

Brisbane have often been on the back foot, trailing in possession and territory in their matches, a key aspect of Reynold’s game that gives his team the advantage on the back of his flawless kicking game and organisational skills.

Brisbane are two wins out of the eight and dropping any further back is going to put their season on a thread.

Brisbane Broncos Team News

None of Kevin Walters Origin players have been named with Reece Walsh, Selwyn Cobbo, Payne Haas and Pat Carrigan all named in the reserves and will be assessed.

Blake Mozer had an impressive game last week and holds his spot on the bench.

Brisbane Broncos Team List

1. Tristan Sailor

2. Corey Oates

3. Kotoni Staggs

4. Deine Mariner

5. Jesse Arthars

6. Ezra Mam

7. Josh Rogers

8. Corey Jensen

9. Billy Walters

10. Xavier Willison

11. Brendan Piakura

12. Jordan Riki

13. Kobe Hetherington

Interchange

14. Blake Mozer

15. Tyson Smoothy

16. Josiah Karapani

17. Martin Taupau

Reserves

18. Va'a Semu

19. Cory Paix

20. Reece Walsh

21. Selwyn Cobbo

22. Patrick Carrigan

23. Payne Haas

24. Adam Reynolds

Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 20 FAQ’s

How to watch Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 20?

You can watch the Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 20 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.