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New Zealand Warriors vs St George Illawarra Dragons Tips - Wahs win comfortably

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 24 Aug 2023
Jeremy Darke 24 Aug 2023
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  • New Zealand Warriors vs St George Dragons predictions for Friday's NRL game
  • Dallin Watene Zelezniak has scored 7 tries in his last 6 games
  • Can the Dragons cover the line again?
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New Zealand Warriors, St George Dragons, Dallin Watene Zelezniak
Dallin Watene-Zelezniak in the race for the NRL's leading tryscorer in 2023. (Photo by Jason McCawley/Getty Images)

New Zealand Warriors vs St George Illawarra Dragons Tips


New Zealand Warriors attempt to extend their win streak to seven games when they face off against the St George Illawarra Dragons. The Warriors have been a little unpolished in the last few weeks, while the Dragons blew a double-digit lead against Melbourne last week.

The trend of the Dragons covering is where the money should lie this week, but I am expecting a change of fortune for St George and a shift in form from the Warriors. 

The Wahs beat the Dragons comfortably in round 17 and I am predicting a similar story this week with New Zealand covering as 16.5-point favourites. The Dragons will come out with energy though and that is why I am backing them to score over 6.5 points in the first half. 

I am getting on Dallin Watene Zelezniak to score multiple tries again against the weakest left-side defence in the comp.

  • The Warriors have won 6 games from 8 at Go Media Stadium in 2023. 
  • 2 of the last 3 Warriors wins at Go Media have been by a margin larger than 16.5 points.
  • The Dragons have scored more than 6.5 points in the first half in 4 of their last 5 matches..
  • Dallin Watene Zelezniak leads the league with 21 tries and score 4 against the Dragons last time out.

Head to Head 


The Warriors took care of the Dragons easily in round 17, winning by 30 and Dallin Watene-Zelezniak scoring four tries.

The Dragons had won the previous three meetings between themselves and New Zealand, but the round 17 win has given the Warriors the edge head-to-head 4-3 since 2019.

New Zealand Warriors Form


The Warriors have won six straight, grinding out their last three wins against inferior opposition. 

They most recently got the job done against Manly 29-22 in unconvincing fashion once again, as they did against the Tigers and the Titans the previous two weeks. 

The Warriors are starting to be compared to the 2002 minor premiership-winning team, but they have a long way to go before I jump on that bandwagon, needing to get more victories against top contenders before I’m screaming ‘Up the Wahs’!

New Zealand Warriors Team News


Josh Curran has moved into the starting 13, as Jackson Ford starts from the bench in the only change for Andrew Webster.

New Zealand Warriors Team List


1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad
2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak
3. Rocco Berry
4. Adam Pompey
5. Marcelo Montoya
6. Luke Metcalf
7. Shaun Johnson
8. Addin Fonua-Blake
9. Wayde Egan
10. Bunty Afoa 
11. Josh Curran
12. Marata Niukore
13. Tohu Harris

Interchange

14. Dylan Walker
15. Jackson Ford
16. Bayley Sironen
17. Freddy Lussick

Reserves

18. Tom Ale
20. Taine Tuaupiki
21. Edward Kosi
​​​​​​​22. Te Maire Martin
23. Kalani Going

St George Dragons Form


It feels like these form write-ups for the Dragons are on repeat talking about another game where they had the match by the horns and lost grip when it mattered. 

St George had the Melbourne Storm on the ropes in the first half but let a 14-point lead diminish before the break and went down 28-38. 

The only positive is that they covered the 14.5 point line as underdogs, beating the handicap for the fourth game in succession.

St George Dragons Team News


Zac Lomax comes back into the side with Max Feagai moving back to the reserves. 

St George Dragons Team List


1. Tyrell Sloan 
2. Mat Feagai
3. Moses Suli
4. Zac Lomax
5. Mikaele Ravalawa
6. Talatau Amone
7. Ben Hunt
8. Francis Molo
9. Jacob Liddle
10. Blake Lawrie
11. Billy Burns
12. Dan Russell
13. Michael Molo

Interchange

14. Connor Muhleisen
15. Ryan Couchman
16. Ben Murdoch-Masila 
17. Zane Musgrove 

Reserves

18. Toby Couchman
19. Jayden Sullivan
20. Max Feagai
21. Sione Finau
​​​​​​​22. Jaiyden Hunt

Verdict

The Warriors will win comfortably in the end by a margin larger than 16.5 points, however, the Dragons will come out firing scoring more than 6.5 points in the first half. Dallin Watene Zelezniak will be gunning for the try scoring title in 2023 so he will cross for multiple tries.
Best Bet: New Zealand -16.5 Handicap Line @20/21 at Boombet - 3 Units
Value Bet: St George Over 6.5 First Half Team Total @13/10 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Tryscoring Tips: D. Watene Zelezniak 2 or More Tries @23/20 at bet365 Australia - 1 Unit
Tryscoring Tips: D. Watene Zelezniak First Tryscorer @5/1 at dabble - 1 Unit
New Zealand -16.5
Handicap Line
@20/21 - 3 Units
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Betting Slip | 25 Aug 2023

New Zealand Warriors v St George/Illawarra Dragons