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Melbourne Storm vs South Sydney Rabbitohs Tips - South put in a battler’s performance on Anzac Day

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 23 Apr 2024
Jeremy Darke 23 Apr 2024
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  • Melbourne Storm vs South Sydney Rabbitohs expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 8 NRL game
  • Kick off is at 7:50 PM at AAMI Park
  • Defence-focused match expected to lead to a game total Under
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
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Jack Wighton
Can Jack Wighton lift the Rabbits after the bye? (Photo by Matt King/Getty Images)

  • Melbourne Storm vs South Sydney Rabbitohs, Round 8 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Melbourne Storm Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Melbourne Storm Team News
  • Melbourne Storm Team List
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs Team News
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs Team List
  • Melbourne Storm vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2024 Round 8 FAQ’s
Melbourne Storm vs South Sydney Rabbitohs, Round 8 2024 - Expert Prediction


Anzac Day will have a new look with the Storm’s usual opponent the New Zealand Warriors hosting their own game this season with Melbourne taking on the South Sydney Rabbitohs in 2024. The Storm have been winning nail biters this season and I am suspecting another with the Rabbitohs to cover the 12.5-point line as the underdog. 

The Rabbitohs are coming off the bye and I believe the week off is going to have a real positive effect on the club, who have been able to dodge the limelight for a couple of weeks heading into this contest with the Storm. I am far from calling it a Rabbits win, with their record at AAMI Park as bad as it can be at 0-11, but I do expect them to make a game of it at least, especially considering the current form of Melbourne’s attack.

The South defence has been under question since halfway through last season, but the Storm attack has not been firing as well as we have come accustomed to which should mean that this game will stay close and the trend of 1-12 margins in Melbourne’s games this season will likely continue. 

I think we can expect a more of a grinding battle between these two clubs, who will have defence as their main focus in this one and playing percentage footy and focusing on controlling the field position which will slow down the scoring and follow the trend of the Under on the Game Total. 

Xavier coates has gone to another level for the Storm this season and has been involved in all the clutch moments for Melbourne this season. His record is incredible for the the Storm at AAMI Park and he will cross for a try against Souths.

  • 5 of the past 7 matches between the Storm and the Rabbitohs has ended by a margin of 1-12. 
  • Both the Storm (19.7) and the Rabbits (15.7) are averaging less than 20 points per game this season. 
  • The past 4 games between Melbourne and South Sydney has gone Under the Game Total.
  • Xavier Coates has scored 13 tries in his last 13 regular season games at AAMI Park.

Head to Head 


After a seven-game dominance of Melbourne from 2018 to 2022, South Sydney have now won two of the past three matches against the Storm, with the teams trading blows last season. 

The Storm got an 18-10 victory in round 5 with the Rabbits biting back 28-12 in Magic Round last season. 

Melbourne Storm Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
4-11-42-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+
26.022-45-10-0

The Storm are becoming the masters of close finishes with another 6-point victory over the Roosters which takes their record to 5-1 with every game being decided by a 1-12 margin this season. 

That stat really highlights how Melbourne are going this season and for me it is a negative trend on their form from last year. The Storm won 16 games last season with exactly half of them being by 1-12. We have come to expect more from the Storm, especially in attack, which has not been as clinical this season, averaging just 19.66 points per game compared with the 26.12 points per game in 2023. 

Melbourne Storm Team News


An unchanged 17 for the Storm but Nelson Asofa-Solomona has been named to start with Christian Welch coming off the bench.

Melbourne Storm Team List


1. Ryan Papenhuyzen
2. Will Warbrick
3. Reimis Smith
4. Nick Meaney
5. Xavier Coates
6. Cameron Munster
7. Jahrome Hughes
8. Nelson Asofa-Solomona
9. Harry Grant
10. Josh King
11. Shawn Blore
12. Eli Katoa
13. Trent Loiero

Interchange
14. Tyran Wishart
15. Christian Welch
16. Joe Chan
17. Alec MacDonald

Reserves
18. Jack Howarth
19. Grant Anderson
20. Marion Seve
21. Jonah Pezet
22. Tristan Powell

South Sydney Rabbitohs Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
1-40-53-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+
-44.74-21-30-2

What can we expect from Souths after their bye week? Their start to the season has been one of their worst and were lucky to even have a win on the board after 7 rounds of footy. 

Fingers are getting pointed all over the place but each and every member of the organisation needs to look at all the fingers pointing back at themselves and it is going to take individual efforts to bring this group back together. 

Defensive effort is obviously at the top of the list for South, who concede the most points per game than any other club in the NRL, allowing their opposition to score 32.7 points per game. 

South Sydney Rabbitohs Team News


In major news for Supercoaches Jacob Gagai returns to the wing in place of Tyrone Munro who is out through injury. Tevita Tatola is also missing from this game with Shaw Mitchell coming into the run-on side. Damien Cook has earned a recall with Peter Mamouzelos reverting to the bench. 

Jai Arrow also makes his return via the interchange after an injury layoff. 

South Sydney Rabbitohs Team List


1. Jye Gray 
2. Jacob Gagai
3. Jack Wighton
4. Isaiah Tass
5. Taane Milne
6. Cody Walker
7. Dean Hawkins
8. Shaq Mitchell
9. Damien Cook
10. Tom Burgess
11. Keaon Koloamatangi
12. Jacob Host
13. Cam Murray

Interchange
14. Peter Mamouzelos
15. Siliva Havili
16. Davvy Moale
17. Jai Arrow

Reserves
18. Michael Chee Kam
19. Izaac Tu'itupou Thompson
20. Tallis Duncan
21. Sean Keppie
22. Deion Teaupa

Melbourne Storm vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2024 Round 8 FAQ’s

How to watch Melbourne Storm vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2024 Round 8?

You can watch the Melbourne Storm vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2024 Round 8 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Melbourne Storm vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2024 Round 8?

To buy tickets to the Melbourne Storm vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2024 Round 8 game check the NRL website or the official Melbourne Storm site.

Verdict

Souths will have benefit from the bye week and will put in a much improved performance against the the Storm and cover the 12.5-point line as underdogs.
 
This game will be the usual grind between these two clubs and will hit the Under on the Game Total.
 
Xavier Coastes will keep his AAMI Park record alive at a try a game and will cross the line for Melbourne.
Best Bet1: South Sydney +12.5 Handicap/Line @9/10 at PlayUP - 12 Units
Best Bet2: Under 43.5 Game Total @9/10 at Justbet - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Xavier Coates Anytime Tryscorer @21/20 at Puntnow - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Xavier Coates First Tryscorer @7/1 at Topsport - 1 Unit
South Sydney +12.5
Handicap/Line
@9/10 - 12 Units
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Under 43.5
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Xavier Coates
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