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Melbourne Storm vs Penrith Panthers Tips - Panthers dynasty to continue with a 4th consecutive Grand Final win
Listen
- Melbourne Storm vs Penrith Panthers expert predictions for Sunday’s Round Grand Final NRL game
- Kick off is at 7:30 PM at Accor Stadium
- Penrith and Melbourne meet in the 2024 NRL Grand Final.
- Experts predict Penrith will win their fourth consecutive title.
- Key factors: Penrith's defense and stronger back 3.
Ryan dives into the 2024 NRL Grand Final giving his best tips for the game.
Melbourne Storm vs Penrith Panthers, Grand Final 2024 - Expert Prediction
The two best teams all year rightfully meet in the 2024 NRL Grand Final with Penrith expected to extend their streak to 4 consecutive wins
- Melbourne Storm vs Penrith Panthers, Grand Final 2024 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Melbourne Storm Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Melbourne Storm Team News
- Melbourne Storm Team List
- Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Penrith Panthers Team News
- Penrith Panthers Team List
- Melbourne Storm vs Penrith Panthers NRL 2024 Grand Final FAQ’s
There are two distinct reasons why Penrith will once again take the victory despite not having beaten Melbourne in their two games this year. Number one is defence - across the length of a season defence is a better indicator of a successful team than attack. Penrith topped the league in defensive scoring this season and will turn up a notch coming into the Grand Final. The second factor is the back 3 - whilst Ryan Papenhuyzen is probably one of the slipperiest and most dynamic runners of the football, Will Warbrick and Xavier Coates do not offer the same ball running out of their own end that Brian To’o and Sunia Turuva provide for Penrith. With Dylan Edwards also having a career year at fullback you can expect the Panthers to be rolling on the front foot no matter where they get the ball on the park.
Melbourne have a couple of strike weapons in their halves with Jahrome Hughes and Cam Munster one of the best duos this decade. If they are to win it will be off Hughes’ kicking game and Munsters mongrel running at the line, putting the team on his back, just like he has done at Origin level for Queensland.
In my opinion though, Penrith will have the answers to the Storm questions and wrap this up in a game that will go Under the Total.
- Penrith have scored 20 points or more in 3 of their last 4 Grand Finals.
- This is the highest Game Total set by bookmakers since before 2019.
- The Panthers were the best regular season defensive team allowing only 15.8 points per game.
- Brian To’o has scored 10 tries in his last 8 finals matches at Accor Stadium
Head to Head
There is a lot of history between these two teams since the beginning of the 2019 season. They have clashed 13 times with 10 games being during the regular season and 3 being finals.
In 2020 the Storm and Panthers met in the Grand Final with Melbourne winning 26-20, this sparked what now has been total dominance from the Panthers who went on to win the next 3 Grand Finals in a row, sending Melbourne packing in the 2021 and 2023 finals series.
Melbourne did though win both matchups this season, an 8-0 victory in Round 1 as well as a 24-22 win in Round 24
2 of 3 Finals games have gone Over the Game Total whilst the 10 regular season games have been split 5-5. The last 4 Panther victories as well as 7 of the last 13 games have finished with Winning Margins of 13+ points.
Melbourne Storm Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| $58.82 | 15-11 | 12-5 | 9-0 |
The Storm took the 2024 Minor Premiership after finishing first on 19 wins for the season. They were the first team to book their spot in the Grand Final after dismantling the Sydney Roosters in the Prelim a week ago.
Melbourne have been the pinnacle of consistency for the majority of the season despite going through multiple periods without their first choice fullback, five-eighth, halfback or hooker. A combined 25 games were missed by Papenhuyzen, Munster, Hughes and Grant through the regular season. Even with time missed the Storm finished 2nd in Points Scored, 1st in Linebreaks, 5th in Tackle Busts and 3rd in Scoring Defence.
They scored 37 and 48 points in their two finals games this year, dominating Possession and Territory in both matches.
Melbourne Storm Team News
Nelson Asofa-Solomona failed in his bid at the judiciary to have his high tackle ban reduced. He will therefore miss this game as well as a few games to start next season.
His spot in the front row is taken by Tui Kamikamica with Lazarus Vaalepu coming onto the bench.
Melbourne Storm Team List
1. Ryan Papenhuyzen
2. Will Warbrick
3. Jack Howarth
4. Nick Meaney
5. Xavier Coates
6. Cameron Munster
7. Jahrome Hughes
8. Tui Kamikamica
9. Harry Grant
10. Josh King
11. Shawn Blore
12. Eli Katoa
13. Trent Loiero
Interchange
14. Tyran Wishart
15. Christian Welch
16. Lazarus Vaalepu
17. Alec MacDonald
Reserves
18. Grant Anderson
19. Joe Chan
20. Kane Bradley
21. Tepai Moeroa
22. Sualauvi Faalogo
Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| $3.23 | 11-15 | 11-6 | 8-1 |
The Panthers put away the Sharks in the Prelim last weekend to book their spot in their 5th consecutive Grand Final.
Penrith won 17 of 24 games during the regular season which saw them finish 2nd in the Minor Premiership. They were the best defensive team in the league throughout the year, allowing only 15.8 points per game to their opposition. On the attacking end the Panthers accrued the most Run Metres per game at 1582m, finishing 6th in Points Scored, 2nd in Tackle Busts and 4th in Linebreaks.
They won their last two games of the regular season before going 2 from 2 in Finals with strong showings over the Syndey Roosters and Cronulla Sharks, those games never in doubt.
Penrith Panthers Team News
The Panthers are unchanged from the team that took them through the Prelim over the Sharks. Scott Sorensen is named in the reserves but there is still no word on his injury or chances to play.
Penrith Panthers Team List
1. Dylan Edwards
2. Sunia Turuva
3. Izack Tago
4. Paul Alamoti
5. Brian To'o
6. Jarome Luai
7. Nathan Cleary
8. Moses Leota
9. Mitch Kenny
10. James Fisher-Harris
11. Luke Garner
12. Liam Martin
13. Isaah Yeo
Interchange
14. Brad Schneider
15. Lindsay Smith
16. Liam Henry
17. Matt Eisenhuth
Reserves
18. Casey McLean
19. Scott Sorensen
20. Trent Toelau
21. Daine Laurie
22. Luke Sommerton
Melbourne Storm vs Penrith Panthers NRL 2024 Grand Final FAQ’s
How to watch Melbourne Storm vs Penrith Panthers NRL 2024 Grand Final?
You can watch the Melbourne Storm vs Penrith Panthers NRL 2024 Grand Final game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Melbourne Storm vs Penrith Panthers NRL 2024 Grand Final?
To buy tickets to the Melbourne Storm vs Penrith Panthers NRL 2024 Grand Final game check the NRL website or the official Melbourne Storm site.
Verdict
Penrith will win off the back of their defence with the total and margin staying close.
Penrith Panthers
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