2024 NRL Round 25

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Melbourne Storm vs Dolphins Tips - Melbourne seal the minor premiership in a close encounter

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: 20 Aug 2024

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Jeremy Darke 20 Aug 2024

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Melbourne Storm vs Dolphins expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 25 NRL game
Kick off is at 5:30 PM at AAMI Park
Melbourne Storm are favourites to win the minor premiership
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet

The best three tips for Round 25 NRL Super Saturday

Melbourne Storm vs Dolphins, Round 25 2024 - Expert Prediction

The Storm will likely wrap up the minor premiership on Saturday, however, the line at 15.5 in favour of Melbourne is a little large with the two mastermind coaches of Craig Bellamy and Wayne Bennett going head to head.

Melbourne Storm vs Dolphins, Round 25 2024 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Melbourne Storm Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Melbourne Storm Team News
Melbourne Storm Team List
Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Dolphins Team News
Dolphins Team List
Melbourne Storm vs Dolphins NRL 2024 Round 25 FAQ’s

The Storm and the Dolphins played two very tight matches last season and I expect it to be a similar story this weekend as well. All of the numbers are little inflated in favour of the Storm including their team total of 32.5 which they haven't reached 5 matches and only 6 times this season.

Melbourne are back playing more percentage footy and are not taking the risks they were earlier in the season. Expect them to pin the ball in the Dolphins end and make them work it out. The Dolphins have been able to put up points themselves this year and that will help close the gap on the line, keeping the margin around the 10-point mark.

Jamayne Isaako has a good tryscoring record against Melbourne and will be matched up against Tyran Wishart who does not often play on the wing, so expect the Dolphin flyer to cross.

Melbourne’s largest winning margin against the Dolphins was 8 points in their two matches last season.
The Dolphins average losing margin is just 9.9 points this season.
The Dolphins have conceded over 30 points just 3 times this season.
Jamayne Isaako has scored 3 tries in his past 2 games against Melbourne.

Head to Head

Melbourne won both matches against the Dolphins in their inaugural season, getting a 24-16 victory in Magic round followed by another 30-24 win also played at Suncorp Stadium.

Melbourne Storm Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	2-3	1-4

2024 Betting Trends

$10 ML	Over/Under	1-12	13+
59.92	10-11	12-4	5-0

After edging out the Penrith Panthers in a 24-22 victory at BlueBet Stadium the Melbourne Storm can wrap up the minor Premiership with a win this week over the Dolphins.

Getting their second win over the three-peat champions Penrith was a real confidence building performance. Cameron Munster played his best footy of the season with a strong running game which saw the Storm get the early lead and put all the pressure on the Panthers.

The Storm have now won 9 of their past 10 matches and have been very strong on the defensive front over the past 7 weeks, averaging just 16 points a game against. With their spine finally getting some gametime together the Melbourne Storm are easily favourites in my opinion heading into September.

Melbourne Storm Team News

Grant Anderson has been ruled out with concussion and will be replaced on the wing by Tyran Wishart and Sua Faalogo coming back onto the bench

Melbourne Storm Team List

1. Ryan Papenhuyzen

2. Will Warbrick

3. Jack Howarth

4. Nick Meaney

5. Tyran Wishart

6. Cameron Munster

7. Jahrome Hughes

8. Nelson Asofa-Solomona

9. Harry Grant

10. Josh King

11. Shawn Blore

12. Eli Katoa

13. Trent Loiero

Interchange

14. Sualauvi Faalogo

15. Lazarus Vaalepu

16. Tui Kamikamica

17. Alec MacDonald

Reserves

18. Marion Seve

19. Kane Bradley

20. Dean Ieremia

21. Chris Lewis

22. Christian Welch

Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	2-3	3-2

2024 Betting Trends

$10 ML	Over/Under	1-12	13+
-3.1	11-10	7-7	3-4

The Dolphins hung in with Canterbury for as long as they could but eventually ran out of gas with the Bulldogs running in a couple of late tries to put the match out of reach 30-10 with just under 15 minutes left.

The Dolphins played 66% of the match in their own half and were constantly moving the ball out of their own end which eventually hurt them later in the game.

The loss adds to a poor second half of the season for the Dolphins who have lost 8 of their past 11 matches and now have them sitting in ninth on the ladder, two points out of the eight.

The Dolphins are a top six attacking side, however, they have a scoring differential of exactly 0 conceding 25 points per game and scoring just as many on average.

Dolphins Team News

Mark Nicholls returns to the bench after clearing concussion protocols with Lachlan Hauber coming out of the side.

Dolphins Team List

1. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow

2. Jamayne Isaako

3. Jake Averillo

4. Herbie Farnworth

5. Jack Bostock

6. Kodi Nikorima

7. Isaiya Katoa

8. Jesse Bromwich

9. Max Plath

10. Tevita Pangai Junior

11. Felise Kaufusi

12. Connelly Lemuelu

13. Kenny Bromwich

Interchange

14. Oryn Keeley

15. Mark Nicholls

16. Ray Stone

17. Sean O'Sullivan

Reserves

18. Mason Teague

19. Tesi Niu

20. Trai Fuller

21. Kurt Donoghoe

22. Josh Kerr

Melbourne Storm vs Dolphins NRL 2024 Round 25 FAQ’s

How to watch Melbourne Storm vs Dolphins NRL 2024 Round 25?

You can watch the Melbourne Storm vs Dolphins NRL 2024 Round 25 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Melbourne Storm vs Dolphins NRL 2024 Round 25?

To buy tickets to the Melbourne Storm vs Dolphins NRL 2024 Round 25 game check the NRL website or the official Melbourne Storm site.

Verdict

Melbourne Storm v Dolphins

The numbers are a little large in favour of the Storm so back the Dolphins to cover and for Melbourne to score under 32.5, despite them likely winning the game.

Jamayne Isaako has 3 tries in 2 games against the Storm and will get a fourth.

Dolphins +15.5

Handicap/Line

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Melbourne Under 32.5

Team Total

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Jamayne Isaako

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