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Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders Tips - Top 4 place up for grabs

Last updated: 12 Aug 2023
Jeremy Darke 12 Aug 2023
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  • Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders predictions for Sunday's NRL game
  • 18 of 24 wins recorded by the Storm and the Raiders combined in 2023 have been by a margin of 1-12
  • Who will be in the top 4 by the end of round 24?
  • Preview, stats, team news & more
Canberra Raiders, Melbourne Storm, Xavier Coates
Xavier Coates had a blinder last time out against the Raiders (Photo by Daniel Pockett/Getty Images)

Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders Tips

There is a lot on the line between Melbourne and Canberra when two Raiders greats go head-to-head in the coach's box. The winner will stay intact with the NRL leaders occupying 4th place and take command in the race for a second life in the finals.
  • Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • Melbourne Storm Form
  • Melbourne Storm Team News
  • Melbourne Storm Team List
  • Canberra Raiders Form
  • Canberra Raiders Team News
  • Canberra Raiders Team List

I am predicting that this game will hold to the trends between these two clubs with the result to either team by a margin of 1-12. Both coaches will be expecting better defensive performances from their teams which will result in the UNDER hitting in regards to the Total Points in the match. 

Xavier Coates scored a hat-trick in Melbourne's loss to Canberra in the prelim last year, which will be exploited again by Craig Bellamy.

  • 3 of the last 4 games between the Storm and the Raiders has resulted in a margin of 1-12. 
  • 75% of all wins by the Storm and the Raiders have been by a margin of 1-12 in 2023.
  • 8 of 11 games between the Storm and the Raiders have gone UNDER 43.5 points.
  • Xavier Coates scored 3 tries against Canberra last time they met.

Head to Head 

The Canberra Raiders proved to be a real bogey for the Melbourne Storm in 2022. Canberra defeated Melbourne 20-16 in round 18 and then again in the finals 28-12, to send Melbourne home in the first week of the finals for the first time since 2014.

The Storm and the Raiders have met 11 times since 2019, with the Storm edging out the Raiders six wins to five in the head-to-head record.

Melbourne Storm Form

Melbourne has been a little out of sorts lately with two wins and three losses in their last five games. To be fair two of those losses have been to the Penrith Panthers, however, the Storm have gone down heavily in those matchups by 18 points or more, which has some alarm bells ringing. 

The Panthers once again suffocated the Storm as they did in round 18, winning the possession and the territory comfortably. 

The Panthers kicking game was superb and they ran for over 500 more Run Metres than the Storm. It once again raised the question of how the Storm’s depth in their forward pack stands up against the top sides.

Melbourne Storm Team News

Big names Jahrome Hughes and Xavier Coates return for the Storm with Jonah Pezet moving back to the reserves and George Jennings out with a knee injury.

Melbourne Storm Team List

1. Nick Meaney
2. Will Warbrick
3. Marion Seve
4. Young Tonumaipea
5. Xavier Coates
6. Cameron Munster
7. Jahrome Hughes 
8. Tui Kamikamica
9. Harry Grant
10. Christian Welch
11. Trent Loiero
12. Tom Eisenhuth
13. Josh King


14. Bronson Garlick
15. Eli Katoa
16. Tepai Moeroa
17. Nelson Asofa-Solomona


18. Alec MacDonald
19. Reimis Smith
20. Jonah Pezet
21. Tariq Sims
​​​​​​​22. Tyran Wishart 

Canberra Raiders Form

Canberra scraped by with a four-point victory against wooden spooners the Wests Tigers, in their third unconvincing performance in as many weeks. 

The two points were vital for the Raiders who remain in fifth spot on the ladder.

Canberra Raiders Team News

Ethan Strange will make the jump from U19’s to make his NRL debut in the centres, replacing Sebastian Kris who is likely out for the rest of the year with a hamstring injury.

Canberra Raiders Team List

1. Jordan Rapana
2. Albert Hopoate
3. Ethan Strange
4. Matthew Timoko
5. Nick Cotric
6. Jack Wighton
7. Jamal Fogarty
8. Josh Papali'i
9. Zac Woolford
10. Joe Tapine
11. Hudson Young
12. Elliott Whitehead
13. Corey Horsburgh


14. Adrian Trevilyan
15. Emre Guler
16. Pasami Saulo
17. Ata Mariota


18. Brad Morkos
19. Matt Frawley
20. Tom Starling
21. Trey Mooney
​​​​​​​22. Utuloa Asomua


This game will be a defensive battle between 4th and 5th on the ladder so don’t expect too many points. The tight contest will ensure that an end result of a margin of 1-12 will pay dividends, along with the Under 43.5 Game Points. Xavier Coates will get a try against Canberra continuing his good run against the Raiders.
Best Bet: Either Team Margin 1-12 @48/49 at Topsport - 3 Units
Value Bet: Under 43.5 Total Points @10/11 at Unibet Australia - 2 Units
Anytime Tryscorer Tip: Xavier Coates Anytime Tryscorer @10/11 at Elitebet - 2 Units
First Tryscorer Tip: Xavier Coates First Tryscorer @31/4 at dabble - 1 Unit
Either Team
Margin 1-12
@48/49 - 3 Units
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Under 43.5
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@10/11 - 2 Units
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Xavier Coates
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Betting Slip | 13 Aug 2023

Melbourne Storm v Canberra Raiders