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Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights Tips - 4 Pines fizzer with Origin taking the attack out of the contest

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 11 Jul 2024
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Jeremy Darke 11 Jul 2024
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  • Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 19 NRL game
  • Kick off is at 4:05 PM at 4 Pines Park
  • Key players are missing due to Origin duty
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
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Manly Sea Eagles
Can Manly get a win without their Origin stars? (Photo by Jeremy Ng/Getty Images)

Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights, Round 19 2024 - Expert Prediction


A lot of sting will be taken out of this game with key attackers out on Origin duty for both teams. This will result in a low-scoring game that hits the under on the game total and the boring option of either team winning by a 1-12 margin.
  • Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights, Round 19 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Manly Sea Eagles Team News
  • Manly Sea Eagles Team List
  • Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Newcastle Knights Team News
  • Newcastle Knights Team List
  • Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2024 Round 19 FAQ’s

Newcastle will be missing both of their starting centres and Kalyn Ponga, while veterans Cherry-Evan and Jurbo will be out for Many. 

The Sea Eagles have been strong defensively at home which gives more of a reason to suspect that they will contain the Newcastle attack, which scores the second-least points of any team in the comp. 

The Manly attack will struggle without Cherry-Evans guiding them around the park and winning the field position battle with his kicking game, which also raises warning signs for the under and a tight winning margin either way. 

  • 7 of 8 Newcastle away games have been decided by a 1-12 margin 
  • 5 of the past 7 games between Manly and Newcastle have been decided by a 1-12 margin.
  • 5 of the past 6 Manly games have gone under the game total.
  • Reuben Garrick has scored 4 tries in his past 4 games at 4 Pines Park

Head to Head 


Newcastle have the slight edge at the moment in the head to head battle, getting a 28-18 win at McDonald Jones Stadium in round 13 last season and the pair playing a 32-all draw in round 5.

Both the Knights and the Sea Eagles have 4 wins and a draw since 2019.

Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-23-21-4

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+
-8.029-75-63-1

It has been lose one, win one for Manly over their past 6 games and due to the tightness of the competition in 2024 they are still in seventh spot despite their inconsistent form.

Daly Cherry-Evans slotted a golden-point field goal to get them past North Queensland last weekend after the Cowboys rallied from 12 points down to tie things up late. 

Manly are a mid-pack team in most key statistical categories, they play like it and they get these type of results, where you are just not sure which team will show up on the day. However, the one consistency that they do have is they defend much better at home and have a decent 5-1 record at 4 Pines Park this season, conceding just 18.3 points per game at home this season. 

Manly Sea Eagles Team News


Jamie Humphreys takes Daly Cherry-Evans place at halfback and Nathan Brown moves to lock for Jake Trbojevic with the veteran pair out on Origin duty.

Tom Trbojevic will move back to fullback with Tolu Koula out with a knee injury. Tommy Talau will play in the centres and Lehi Hopoate moves to the wing.

Karl Lawton will start on the edge with Ben Trbojevic out on concussion protocol.

Clayton Faulalo Gordon, Chan Kum Tong and Corey Waddell all join the bench.

Manly Sea Eagles Team List


1. Tom Trbojevic
2. Jason Saab
3. Tommy Talau
4. Reuben Garrick
5. Lehi Hopoate
6. Luke Brooks
7. Jamie Humphreys
8. Toafofoa Sipley
9. Jake Simpkin
10. Josh Aloiai
11. Haumole Olakau’atu
12. Karl Lawton
13. Nathan Brown

Interchange
14. Clayton Faulalo
15. Gordon Chan Kum Tong
16. Ethan Bullemor
17. Corey Waddell

Reserves
18. Caleb Navale
19. Aaron Schoupp
20. Dean Matterson
21. Ben Condon
​​​​​​​22. Aitasi James

Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-33-22-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+
-5.56-107-51-3

Despite not faring well against top-eight sides this season going 2-6 against teams currently in finals contention, the Knights have one in patches when they have åplayed lesser teams and are just on the outskirts in ninth. 

Injury has been a concern and the halves combination has had more changes than the oil in my HG Holden, but Will Pryce has looked good since coming in at No.6 with Jackson Hastings in the No.7 and the Knights are back on a two-game win streak, beating Parra and Canberra.

With Ponga eventually returning after Origin duties, Newcastle will be hoping that their attack lifts as they currently rank 16th in the league, scoring just 18.6 points per game and also in the same position with just 4.1 linebreaks per game. The Knights complete the fourth-least amount of tackles in their oppositions 20m, playing the ball just 26.7 times in their attacking redzone.

Newcastle Knights Team News


Fletcher Sharpe is back in the No. 1 with Kalyn Ponga in the Queensland side. Dane Gagai and Bradman Best both got a call-up for Game 3 and will be replaced by Dylan Lucas and Thomas Cant in the centres. 

Krystian Mapapalangi is named on the wing while Phoenix Crossland will start at hooker and Adam Elliot returns to lock out the scrum.

Newcastle Knights Team List


1. Fletcher Sharpe
2. Krystian Mapapalangi
3. Dylan Lucas
4. Thomas Cant
5. Greg Marzhew
6. Will Pryce
7. Jackson Hastings
8. Daniel Saifiti
9. Phoenix Crossland
10. Leo Thompson
11. Tyson Frizell
12. Kai Pearce-Paul
13. Adam Elliott

Interchange
14. Jayden Brailey
15. Jacob Saifiti
16. Brodie Jones
17. Mat Croker

Reserves
18. Jack Hetherington
19. Jack Cogger
20. Kyle McCarthy
21. Riley Jones
​​​​​​​22. Thomas Jenkins

Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2024 Round 19 FAQ’s

How to watch Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2024 Round 19?

You can watch the Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2024 Round 19 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2024 Round 19?

To buy tickets to the Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2024 Round 19 game check the NRL website or the official Manly Sea Eagles site.

Verdict

Either team will win this match 1-12 with not a lot of scoring expected in this game that will hit the under on the 49.5-point total.
 
With Newcastle naming a new centre pairing, expect Reuben Garrick to cross again at 4 Pines Park.
Best Bet1: Either Team 1-12 Winning Margin @9/10 at Neds - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Under 49.5 Game Total @11/12 at Boombet - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Reuben Garrick Anytime Tryscorer @11/8 at BlueBet - 1 Unit
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Either Team
1-12 Winning Margin
@9/10 - 3 Units
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Betting Slip | 14 Jul 2024

Manly Sea Eagles v Newcastle Knights