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Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos Tips - Broncos continue Manly’s dismal run at Magic Round

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Last updated: 14 May 2024
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Ryan Tucker 14 May 2024
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  • Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos expert predictions for Friday’s Round 11 NRL game
  • Kick off is at 8:05 PM at Suncorp Stadium
  • Absence of Tom Trbojevic could significantly impact Manly's performance.
  • Brisbane Broncos have historically dominated in this matchup.
  • This match could be a decisive turning point in Manly’s season.
Expired
Selwyn Cobbo
Selwyn Cobbo expected to cross the line against Manly. (Photo by Bradley Kanaris/Getty Images)

Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos, Round 11 2024 - Expert Prediction


Manly’s season may rest on this game and unfortunately for their fans the expectation is that the Broncos will set Suncorp alight with another drubbing of their opponents.
  • Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos, Round 11 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Manly Sea Eagles Team News
  • Manly Sea Eagles Team List
  • Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Brisbane Broncos Team News
  • Brisbane Broncos Team List
  • Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 11 FAQ’s

The Sea Eagles have not enjoyed Magic Round having lost 3 of the 4 games played at Suncorp since the concept started in 2019. They have scored only 6 points total in their past two games against the Broncos and history tells us that they are a completely different team without Tom Trbojevic in the line up. The Manly defence is becoming unstuck and they currently sit 6th in Opposition Points and 7th in Opposition Run Metres.

Brisbane will look to capitalise on their good home record which currently stands at 4-1 this season adding to their recent tally of wins over the Sea Eagles. They average the 4th most Tries per game of any team in the league and have shown on numerous occasions they can compete without Adam Reynolds.

  • Manly are 27-54 (33%) without Tom Trbojevic in the lineup since his debut in 2015 compared to 72-63 (52%) with him on the park
  • The Sea Eagles average only 13.8 points in their last 6 games at Suncorp Stadium
  • Brisbane have won 6 of their last 7 games at Suncorp averaging over 30 points in the span
  • Selwyn Cobbo has scored 6 tries in his last 2 games against Manly

Head to Head 


Manly and Brisbane have met once per year since the start of 2019 with the Broncos holding a 3-2 advantage in the Head to Head. 

This particular matchup has been the Friday Night blockbuster at Magic Round since its inception with the Sea Eagles only winning one of the 4 games played at Suncorp being kept to 0 points last year and only 6 points in 2022. In their lone win in 2021 Manly racked up 50 points and kept the Broncos to 6 in one of their biggest ever defeats at home.

Brisbane are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 with the Over/Under sitting at 2-3 over the same period.

Only 1 of the last 5 games has finished with a margin of less than 13 points. 

Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-32-35-0

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+
-$9.828-23-42-0

Manly, Manly, Manly… So much promise yet so much disappointment. Once again Tommy Turbo crashes and burns with injury and the Sea Eagles slump to their fourth loss of the season. The point gained from the draw keeps them in the 8 but they have one of the toughest schedules of any team over the next few games having to play the Broncos this week at Suncorp followed by Melbourne and then the Panthers in Round 14 following their first bye.

The Sea Eagles are a complete shell of themselves without Tom Trbojevic in the lineup and with the possibility of Daly Cherry-Evans and possibly even Luke Brooks going to Origin the season might just come crashing down around them. 

Manly Sea Eagles Team News


Tolu Koula wins the vacant fullback spot following Tom Trbojevic’s injury. Ray Vaega and Jaxson Paulo are the new wingers in the re-shuffle with Jason Saab also out injured. Tommy Talau moves to centre.

Haumole Olakau’atu returns from suspension with Corey Waddell reverting to the bench and Toafofoa Sipley to the reserves.

Manly Sea Eagles Team List


1. Tolu Koula
2. Raymond Tuaimalo Vaega
3. Tommy Talau
4. Reuben Garrick
5. Jaxson Paulo
6. Luke Brooks
7. Daly Cherry-Evans
8. Taniela Paseka
9. Karl Lawton
10. Josh Aloiai
11. Haumole Olakau'atu
12. Ben Trbojevic
13. Jake Trbojevic

Interchange
14. Gordon Chan Kum Tong
15. Corey Waddell
16. Ethan Bullemor
17. Matthew Lodge

Reserves
18. Aaron Woods
19. Jake Arthur
20. Dean Matterson
21. Brandon Wakeham
22. Toafofoa Sipley


Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
4-14-12-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+
-$13.96-41-25-2

The Broncs got out to an early lead in their last clash against the Eels and never looked back finishing with a 16 point victory putting them at 6-4 on the season and 6th on the NRL ladder. 

Surprisingly Brisbane were able to enjoy their win despite having only 40% Territory and 47% Possession in the game while also giving up 1638 Run Metres to their opposition. Parramatta also had 41 Tackles Inside 20m which puts into question their ability to convert compared to the Brisbane line defence. 

Brisbane Broncos Team News


Jock Madden comes in at half back after recovering from injury, Josh Rogers makes way. Billy Walters has himself succumbed to injury which sees Tyson Smoothy start at hooker and Blake Mozer grab the 14 jumper.

Brisbane Broncos Team List


1. Reece Walsh
2. Corey Oates
3. Kotoni Staggs
4. Selwyn Cobbo
5. Deine Mariner
6. Ezra Mam
7. Jock Madden
8. Corey Jensen
9. Tyson Smoothy
10. Payne Haas
11. Brendan Piakura
12. Jordan Riki
13. Patrick Carrigan

Interchange
14. Blake Mozer
15. Xavier Willison
16. Kobe Hetherington
17. Jack Gosiewski

Reserves
18. Josh Rogers
19. Martin Taupau
20. Jaiyden Hunt
21. Josiah Karapani
22. Cory Paix

Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 11 FAQ’s

How to watch Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 11?

You can watch the Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 11 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 11?

To buy tickets to the Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2024 Round 11 game check the NRL website or the official Manly Sea Eagles site.

Verdict

This matchup at Magic Round is historically dominated by the Broncos and without Turbo in the team Manly don’t stand a chance. Broncos to win big and even though Cobbo has score the majority of his tries against Manly from the wing position we think he is every chance of grabbing a 4 pointer in this one.
Best Bet1: Brisbane 13+ Winning Margin @1/1 at bet365 Australia - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 47.5 Game Total @17/20 at Bet Right - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Selwyn Cobbo Anytime Tryscorer @22/15 at Topsport - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Selwyn Cobbo First Tryscorer @14/1 at Topsport - 1 Unit
Brisbane 13+
Winning Margin
@1/1 - 3 Units
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Selwyn Cobbo
Anytime Tryscorer
@22/15 - 1 Unit
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Manly Sea Eagles v Brisbane Broncos