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Dolphins vs Wests Tigers Tips - Dolphins to retain first spot on the NRL ladder

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Last updated: 05 Apr 2024
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Ryan Tucker 05 Apr 2024
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  • Dolphins vs Wests Tigers expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 5 NRL game
  • Kick off is at 7:35 PM at Suncorp Stadium
  • Dolphins tipped to win against Wests Tigers in a close game with a low total score
  • Both teams are in great form having secured recent victories
Expired
Hammer Time
Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow of the Dolphins (Getty Images)

Dolphins vs Wests Tigers Tips


The Saturday primetime match-up for round 5 will see the Dolphins win outright but with a relatively low total predicted.
  • Dolphins vs Wests Tigers Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Dolphins Team News
  • Dolphins Team List
  • Wests Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Wests Tigers Team News
  • Wests Tigers Team List
  • Dolphins vs Wests Tigers NRL 2024 Round 5 FAQ’s

The Dolphins are one of the only teams that Wests Tigers have a winning record over in recent years. But that is because they have only played one game against each other. The Tigers though are on a roll winning two in a row to sit 6th on the NRL ladder including their early season Bye. 

Over the past few seasons the Tigers have had one back to back win but not much else has gone right for them, so it will be interesting to see if history repeats itself or if they manage to break the trend.

The Dolphins have also started the 2024 season 2-1 with a Bye and thanks to their solid defensive efforts (or Oppositions lack of being able to score) they are sitting pretty in 1st position on the NRL ladder. 

They are the expansion team that has had the quickest rise to top spot on the ladder excluding round 1 victories, another feather in the cap of coaching supremo Wayne Bennett. 

The two wins these teams have had have come against wildly different opponents. Wests have won against two teams tipped to make the 8 whilst the Dolphins have put away two teams tipped to battle it out for the wooden spoon. That information is important in our data modelling and a component to why my prediction is that the score is kept relatively close and low. 

With that said though the Dolphins will come away with the victory at home consolidating top spot in the league. The Hammer didn’t play against the Tigers last year but has scored 4 tries in 3 games so far this season and will cross here.

  • The Dolphins are 5th in the league in average Run Metres with 1477m per game
  • The Tigers concede the 9th most Run Metres in the NRL on average at 1419 m/gm
  • The Dolphins average the most Linebreaks per game in the league at 6.
  • The Tigers have conceded 63% of their Opponent tries down their right side

Head to Head 


The lone meeting of these two teams in round 25 last year ended with a one point win to the Tigers 24-23 following an Api Koroisau penalty goal with 4 minutes remaining on the clock. 

The Dolphins had 1863 Run Metres in that game but allowed the Tigers 6 Linebreaks and 47 Tackle Breaks which ultimately led to their demise. The Total went Under in that game and the Dolphins covered as 6.5 point Underdogs.

Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-12-11-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+
$71-20-02-1

The Dolphins have had two convincing wins against two inferior opponents in the Dragons and Titans. 

After getting thumped by North Queensland in the first round they regathered their composure to keep the Dragons to 0 in Round 2 before their Bye.

Last weekend started slowly with the Titans getting out to an early lead 10-0 but the Dolphins went on to score 30 unanswered points in a game where they once again notched over 1700 run metres. 

Dolphins Team News


With Max Plath suspended Ray Stone moves to starting lock with Kenny Bromwich earning a recall to the interchange bench

Dolphins Team List


1. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow
2. Jamayne Isaako
3. Jake Averillo
4. Herbie Farnworth
5. Jack Bostock
6. Kodi Nikorima
7. Isaiya Katoa
8. Jesse Bromwich
9. Jeremy Marshall-King
10. Tom Flegler
11. Felise Kaufusi
12. Euan Aitken
13. Ray Stone

Interchange
14. Josh Kerr
15. Kurt Donoghoe
16. Mark Nicholls
17. Kenny Bromwich

Reserves
18. Oryn Keeley
19. Sean O'Sullivan
20. Jarrod Wallace
21. Tesi Niu
​​​​​​​22. Mason Teague

Wests Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-12-10-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+
$380-31-01-1

The Tigers had an exhilarating victory over the Eels in the last game of Round 4 on Monday night. 

Justin Olam was once again a menace close to the line crossing for a double with an Aidan Sezer 79th minute field goal ending up the difference at Commbank Stadium. 

The Eels had 36 tackles in the Tigers 20m zone coming away with only 2 tries, a performance which would impress coach Benji Marshall. 

Wests Tigers Team News


With young gun Lachlan Galvin suspended Jayden Sullivan returns to the starting side at five-eighth. Latu Fainu will make his debut off the bench in the utlitiy role while Alex Twal returns from concussion. 

Wests Tigers Team List


1. Jahream Bula
2. Charlie Staines
3. Solomona Faataape
4. Justin Olam
5. Junior Tupou
6. Jayden Sullivan
7. Aidan Sezer
8. Stefano Utoikamanu
9. Api Koroisau
10. David Klemmer
11. Isaiah Papali’i 
12. John Bateman
13. Fonua Pole

Interchange
14. Latu Fainu
15. Alex Seyfarth 
16. Alex Twal
17. Samuela Fainu

Reserves
18. Brent Naden
19. Asu Kepaoa
20. Justin Matamua
21. Solomon Alaimalo
​​​​​​​22. Jake Simpkin

Dolphins vs Wests Tigers NRL 2024 Round 5 FAQs

How to watch Dolphins vs Wests Tigers NRL 2024 Round 5?

You can watch the Dolphins vs Wests Tigers NRL 2024 Round 5 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Dolphins vs Wests Tigers NRL 2024 Round 5?

To buy tickets to the Dolphins vs Wests Tigers NRL 2024 Round 5 game check the NRL website or the official Dolphins site.

Verdict

This game could end up closer than many think but the prediction is that the Dolphins will win outright and also cover the 4.5. The Total will go Under with both teams playing solid defence to start the year. 

Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow will cross for a 4 pointer continuing his scoring run.
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