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Dolphins vs Melbourne Storm Tips - Melbourne edge out the Dolphins in an entertaining Friday Night Fight
Listen
- Dolphins vs Melbourne Storm expert predictions for Friday’s Round 16 NRL game
- Kick off is at 8:00 PM at Suncorp Stadium
- Key players missing for both teams due to Origin duties; Ryan Papenhuyzen returns for Melbourne.
- Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
Why you SHOULDN'T back the Dolphins against the Melbourne Storm on Friday.
Dolphins vs Melbourne Storm, Round 16 2024 - Expert Prediction
The Storm will continue their reign at the top of the NRL ladder with another 1-12 win against the Dolphins on Friday night.
- Dolphins vs Melbourne Storm, Round 16 2024 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Dolphins Team News
- Dolphins Team List
- Melbourne Storm Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Melbourne Storm Team News
- Melbourne Storm Team List
- Dolphins vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2024 Round 16 FAQ’s
Both teams will be without a couple of key players due to their Origin responsibilities, however, the Storm get a massive in with fullback Ryan Papenhuysen returning which gives them the slight edge up in Brisbane.
This game is expected to be a blow-for-blow contest with both teams boasting a top-three attack and a mid-table defence this season. The Game Total is a hefty one at 48.5 points, however, we have seen the attack of Melbourne roll on well the past month and the Dolphins are more than capable of staying with them, so the Over is the play.
Melbourne have been a little soft of late on their right edge so look for Euan Aitken to be a good-priced option for an anytime tryscorer.
- 7 of 10 Melbourne wins have been by a margin of 1-12.
- 3 of 5 Dolphins losses have been at Suncorp Stadium this season.
- 4 of the past 5 Melbourne games have gone Over the Game Total.
- Melbourne have conceded 5 tries in their past 3 games to second rowers.
Head to Head
Melbourne got the win in the only meeting with the Dolphins in their first season, beating the East Brisbane club, 24-16.
Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 6-7 | 5-3 | 3-2 |
The Dolphins are hanging in there in the top-four with 8 wins this season, just one win off their total of 9 victories they took in their inaugural season, however, it is also just one win more than they had in round 15 in 2023.
That being said, Redcliff look more settled this season and have had to overcome adversity through injury and suspension and have still managed to get wins on the board.
Skimming through the stats and there is nothing good or bad about the Dolphins really, which is a positive for a team that is in their second season in the NRL. They are a mid-range club in all of the key numbers and have an attack that is electrifying when it is on, averaging 26.2 points a game, which is third-best in the league.
Dolphins Team News
The fullback position will be trusted to the more than capable Trai Fuller with Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow out with Origin duty.
Felise Kaufusi will also play for Queensland and will be replaced by Jesse Bromwich who returns from injury.
Tevita Pangai Junior will play his first game for the Dolphins with Kurt Donoghoe dropping off the bench.
Dolphins Team List
1. Trai Fuller
2. Jamayne Isaako
3. Jake Averillo
4. Herbie Farnworth
5. Jack Bostock
6. Kodi Nikorima
7. Isaiya Katoa
8. Jesse Bromwich
9. Jeremy Marshall-King
10. Kenny Bromwich
11. Connelly Lemuelu
12. Euan Aitken
13. Max Plath
Interchange
14. Josh Kerr
15. Mark Nicholls
16. Ray Stone
17. Tevita Pangai Junior
Reserves
18. Oryn Keeley
19. Sean O'Sullivan
20. Mason Teague
21. Tesi Niu
22. Anthony Milford
Melbourne Storm Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.82 | 7-6 | 7-3 | 3-0 |
For me, Melbourne have quietly achieved this season and now all of a sudden they are sitting at the top of the NRL ladder. The talk has been calm about the Storm as they have struggled heavily with injuries to Ryan Papenhuyzen and Cameron Munster with Jahrome Hughes also in and out of the squad but their depth has past the test so far.
7 of the Storm’s 10 wins have been by 1-12 so I guess it may be the fact they haven’t blasted teams out of the water and have been simply going about their way and getting W’s not drawing any attention to themselves as they fight through this tough injury period.
Despite the third lowest average winning margin in the top eight, the Storm still have the third best differential in the league at +97 due to their attack mostly which scores an average of 27.2 points per game which is good for second-best in the NRL.
Melbourne Storm Team News
Ryan Papenhuyzen returns from injury to take the No. 1 jersey with Sua Fa’alogo moving to the wing to cover for Xavier Coates who is on Origin duty.
Harry Grant will also be missing due to representative duties and will be covered by Bronson Garlick.
Will Warbrick returns from injury with Dean Ieremia missing selection.
Melbourne Storm Team List
1. Ryan Papenhuyzen
2. Will Warbrick
3. Grant Anderson
4. Nick Meaney
5. Sua Fa'alogo
6. Tyran Wishart
7. Jahrome Hughes
8. Tui Kamikamica
9. Bronson Garlick
10. Josh King
11. Shawn Blore
12. Eli Katoa
13. Trent Loiero
Interchange
14. Jack Howarth
15. Christian Welch
16. Nelson Asofa-Solomona
17. Joe Chan
Reserves
18. Reimis Smith
19. Dean Ieremia
20. Lazarus Vaalepu
21. Chris Lewis
22. Kane Bradley
Dolphins vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2024 Round 16 FAQ’s
How to watch Dolphins vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2024 Round 16?
You can watch the Dolphins vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2024 Round 16 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Dolphins vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2024 Round 16?
To buy tickets to the Dolphins vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2024 Round 16 game check the NRL website or the official Dolphins site.
Verdict
This game is likely to be a shootout with the Game Total getting surpassed as Melbourne get the victory by a margin of 1-12.
Euan Aitkin is priced well as an anytime tryscorer considering Melbourne’s woes defending their right side.
Euan Aitkin is priced well as an anytime tryscorer considering Melbourne’s woes defending their right side.
Melbourne Storm
1-12 Winning Margin
$3.30 - 2 Units
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