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Cronulla Sharks vs North QLD Cowboys Tips - Cowboys add to Sharkies finals woes
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- Cronulla Sharks vs North QLD Cowboys expert predictions for Friday’s Semi Final NRL game
- Kick off is at 7:50 PM at Allianz Stadium
- Cowboys have strong recent form, winning 7 of their last 8 games; expected to control territory and score over 20 points.
- Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
Jez's 2024 NRL Finals Preview: Cronulla vs North Queensland
Cronulla Sharks vs North QLD Cowboys, Semi Final 2024 - Expert Prediction
Cronulla’s finals hoodoo will live on after Friday night when they bow out in straight sets for the third straight season with North Queensland beating them in the finals for the second time in 3 seasons.
- Cronulla Sharks vs North QLD Cowboys, Semi Final 2024 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Cronulla Sharks Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Cronulla Sharks Team News
- Cronulla Sharks Team List
- North QLD Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- North QLD Cowboys Team News
- North QLD Cowboys Team List
- Cronulla Sharks vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2024 Semi Final FAQ’s
You are only as good as your last performance and for Cronulla the outlook is gloomy, losing heavily to Melbourne last week and also losing the last time against North Queensland in both the regular season and their most recent final against the Cowboys.
The Cowboys come into this match high on confidence, winning 7 of their past 8 games and putting in a momentum-building come from behind performance against Newcastle last weekend.
Kicking and territory is going to be key in this match and the Cowboys have that edge. Expect the Cows to score 20+ points in the match on the back of controlling the territory.
If one thing is for sure in this match it is that Kyle Feldt will score a try for the eighth consecutive game.
- The Sharks haven’t won a finals game since the 2018 season, losing 7 consecutive finals matches.
- North Queensland won their past 3 matches of the season when starting as the underdog.
- North Queensland won 6 of 8 games outside of Queensland in 2024.
- North Queensland have scored 20 points or more in 8 of their past 9 matches.
- Kyle Feldt has scored 12 tries in his past 7 games.
Head to Head
Cronulla and North Queensland played each other twice in 2024 with the home team getting the victory in both matches.
In round 7, the Sharks put up 42-6 at PointsBet Stadium, while the Cowboys replied in round 21 with a 30-22 victory at QCB Stadium.
Cronulla have dominated the Cowboys over the past 6 seasons, winning 10 of 12 matches. However, the last time the pair played in the finals it was the Cowboys who got up 32-30 against the favoured Sharks.
Cronulla and North Queensland have played each other 3 times in the finals with the Cowboys holding the edge 2-1. Also to note, all three finals games have been decided by 2 points or less.
Cronulla Sharks Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43.73 | 14-11 | 7-6 | 9-3 |
The Sharks suffered the biggest defeat of any team in week 1 of the finals, going down to Melbourne 37-10, despite trailing by just 4 points at the half.
Cronulla suffered from the weight of possession but more so the weight of territory in the match, playing 66% of the first half in their end and 75% in the second half with the Storm controlling 59% of the ball in the match.
Cronulla ran for 824 metres less than Melbourne and 142 more tackles which is 58% more than than the Storm made.
The positive for the Sharks is that they scored 2 tries despite having just 10 tackles inside the Storms 20m.
Cronulla Sharks Team News
Craig Fitzgibbon has named an identical side to week 1 of the finals, despite the big loss.
Jesse Ramien may be an inclusion after being ruled out late with an ankle injury last week. Sione Katoa is carrying an injury and could be a late scratch.
Cronulla Sharks Team List
1. Will Kennedy
2. Sione Katoa
3. Sifa Talakai
4. Kayal Iro
5. Ronaldo Mulitalo
6. Braydon Trindall
7. Nicho Hynes
8. Toby Rudolf
9. Blayke Brailey
10. Oregon Kaufusi
11. Briton Nikora
12. Teig Wilton
13. Cameron McInnes
Interchange
14. Daniel Atkinson
15. Jack Williams
16. Royce Hunt
17. Thomas Hazelton
Reserves
18. Braden Hamlin-Uele
19. Tuku Hau Tapuha
20. Jayden Berrell
21. Samuel Stonestreet
22. Jesse Ramien
North QLD Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49.6 | 16-9 | 8-5 | 8-4 |
Despite going into the sheds 12-4 down, the Cowboys rallied against the Newcastle Knights through some unexpected try scorers. Jordan McLean put the Cowboys in front in 51st minute and Reuben Cotter broke the tie in the 72nd minute after the response from Newcastle which proved to be the match winner in a 28-16 victory.
The Cowboys were the deserving winners in what was a tight match, they controlled the ball with 65% of the territory, had 380 more run metres, double the amount of linebreaks (6-3) and were tackled 33 times inside Newcastle 20m while the Knights had just 3 inside their defending 20m.
The important stat for Todd Payton and his men is the most crucial and that is that the Knights scored just 4 points in the second half, which has been the North Queensland vice in 2024, allowing their opponents back into the game after the break.
North QLD Cowboys Team News
Todd Payton and the Cowboys came out unscathed from their match against Newcastle and have named an unchanged side.
North QLD Cowboys Team List
1. Scott Drinkwater
2. Kyle Feldt
3. Valentine Holmes
4. Villiami Vailea
5. Murray Taulagi
6. Tom Dearden
7. Jake Clifford
8. Jordan McLean
9. Reece Robson
10. Jason Taumalolo
11. Heilum Luki
12. Jeremiah Nanai
13. Reuben Cotter
Interchange
14. Sam McIntyre
15. Harrison Edwards
16. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki
17. Griffin Neame
Reserves
18. Jaxon Purdue
19. Chad Townsend
20. Thomas Mikaele
21. Braidon Burns
Cronulla Sharks vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2024 Semi Final FAQ’s
How to watch Cronulla Sharks vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2024 Semi Final?
You can watch the Cronulla Sharks vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2024 Semi Final game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Cronulla Sharks vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2024 Semi Final?
To buy tickets to the Cronulla Sharks vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2024 Semi Final game check the NRL website or the official Cronulla Sharks site.
Verdict
Kyle Feldt will score his 13th try in 8 games and lift the Cowboys over 19 points in the game as they go onto victory and stay alive in the 2024 NRL Finals.
North Queensland
Money Line
$2.40 - 2 Units
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