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Canterbury Bulldogs vs Sydney Roosters Tips - Game Total kept Under as Bulldogs cover the line

Last updated: 03 Apr 2024
Ryan Tucker 03 Apr 2024
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  • Canterbury Bulldogs vs Sydney Roosters expert predictions for Friday’s Round 5 NRL game
  • Sydney Roosters predicted to extend recent winning form against Bulldogs in NRL 2024 Round 5.
  • The Bulldogs are struggling, their attack was questioned after a weekend loss to the Rabbitohs.
  • History reveals close games between them, predicting a possible tight match with a margin of victory not more than 6 points in previous games.
James Tedesco
James Tedesco of the Roosters (Getty Images)

Canterbury Bulldogs vs Sydney Roosters Tips

The Sydney Roosters will extend their recent winning form against the Bulldogs this Friday evening in a game that is unlikely to see a large total. 

The Roosters have surprisingly had one of their better starts to a season in recent years going 2-2 over the first 4 rounds. Their usual mode of operation is start poorly and build up their form over the second half of the season, peaking around finals time. 

A first game win against the Broncs coupled with a demolition of cross-city rivals the Rabbitohs have been intertwined with losses to the Sea Eagles and Panthers. 

Across the first month of play Sydney’s stats are somewhat skewed due to the big win against Souths but there is an important stat that is continuous throughout and it is defence. 

The Roosters are currently 3rd in the league in Opposition Points allowing an average of only 14.8 points per game. Adding to that the team allows a stingy 2.5 linebreaks to their opposition per game which is currently 1st in the NRL showing how efficient their defence is especially against top opponents. 

The Bulldogs on the other hand are once again destined to a year of trying to avoid the spoon. Their shining performance against the Titans a week ago has quickly been forgotten with a loss to the struggling Rabbitohs over the weekend.

After leading 12-10 at the half the Bulldogs could not carry the momentum through the game with a last minute try making the score look closer than what the game was. It is once again the attack that is being called into question with Canterbury amassing 1582 run metres and being tackled in the Opposition Red Zone 57 times but only coming away with 3 tries.

The previous three games between these two teams have been relatively close on the scoreboard and my computer model has this margin at exactly 9. The best play in the game is the Total to go Under and despite the strong urge to back my own team to cover, all the numbers are saying that the Bulldogs could keep the score within the allotted 9 points and with the double money on offer i am taking that bet. 

  • The margin of victory in the past 3 games between these teams has not been more than 6 points
  • All 4 Bulldogs games and 3 of 4 Roosters games this year have gone Under the Total
  • 9 of the 11 tries the Bulldogs have conceded have been down their right side
  • James Tedesco has scored 3 tries in his last two games against the Bulldogs

Head to Head 

Despite being at two different ends of the Premiership ladder over the past few seasons the Bulldogs have been able to keep games within their grasp, even winning the sole match-up in 2022. Whether it is the Roosters coming into the game with complacency or the Bulldogs getting up for the top tier opponent we need to give adequate weight to the recent trends of close games between these two teams. 

The Roosters have been double digit favourites in the last 6 games straight against Canterbury, covering on only 2 occasions, once in 2019 and again in 2020. 2 of the last 3 games have gone Under the total whilst the number sits at 3-3 since 2019.

Canterbury Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+

The Bulldogs are just not clicking in attack. Following the try-scoring bonanza they had against the Titans in week three it would have been easy to think that they had finally found some connections but reality reared it’s ugly head over the weekend with 57 tackles in the Rabbitohs 20m zone resulting in only 3 tries. Two of which were initiated outside of the Red Zone. 

With as much attacking prowess as they have on their roster (and the money) things will need to and should happen soon, but whether or not it happens against a stingy Roosters defence is a tough question.

Canterbury Bulldogs Team News

Josh Addo-Carr is again sidelined, this time with a head knock. Blake Wilson comes in as cover.

Jacob Preston has a fractured jaw with Josh Curran set to take his place in the starting team for the foreseeable future. 

Liam Knight moves back to the bench with Harrison Edwards and Kitione Kautoga. Bronson Xerri is still in the reserves. 

Canterbury Bulldogs Team List

1. Blake Taaffe
2. Blake Wilson
3. Jacob Kiraz
4. Stephen Crichton
5. Connor Tracey
6. Matt Burton
7. Drew Hutchison
8. Max King
9. Reed Mahoney
10. Sam Hughes
11. Viliame Kikau
12. Josh Curran
13. Jaeman Salmon

14. Kurt Mann
15. Harrison Edwards
16. Liam Knight
17. Kitione Kautoga

19. Bronson Xerri
20. Toby Sexton
21. Bailey Hayward
22. Chris Patolo
23. Poasa Faamausili

Sydney Roosters Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-1213+

The Roosters got caught out against the Panthers last weekend. The media and betting public gave Penrith no chance in the game without Cleary and Fisher-Harris among others but they came out swinging surprising the favourites with two tries within the first 20 minutes.

The Sydney defence regrouped but the damage was already done and a 79th minute try to to Daniel Tupou made this score seem closer than it actually was. 

Sydney’s defence was again quite good, with their Opponents having 66% of territory and 46 tackles inside the 20m Zone they only gave up 4 tries in the game which goes a long way in showing how resilient they are on the defensive end this season. Something that was lacking at times in 2023.

Sydney Roosters Team News

Origin forward Lindsay Collins returns following the week off with a hamstring injury. Terrell May goes back to the bench with Egan Butcher dropping to the reserves. Sitili Tupouniua is also on the bench with Angus Crichton starting in the backrow.

Sydney Roosters Team List

1. James Tedesco
2. Daniel Tupou
3. Joseph Suaalii
4. Joey Manu
5. Dom Young
6. Luke Keary
7. Sam Walker
8. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves
9. Brandon Smith
10. Lindsay Collins
11. Nat Butcher
12. Angus Crichton
13. Victor Radley

14. Connor Watson
15. Naufahu Whyte
16. Sitili Tupouniua
17. Terrell May

18. Michael Jennings
19. Egan Butcher
20. Fetalaiga Pauga
21. Zach Dockar-Clay
​​​​​​​22. Siua Wong

Canterbury Bulldogs vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2024 Round 5 FAQs

How to watch Canterbury Bulldogs vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2024 Round 5?

You can watch the Canterbury Bulldogs vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2024 Round 5 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Canterbury Bulldogs vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2024 Round 5?

To buy tickets to the Canterbury Bulldogs vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2024 Round 5 game check the NRL website or the official Canterbury Bulldogs site.


They are as different as chalk and cheese but we cannot go past the trends and numbers telling us this will be a close game. The narrative is that the Roosters will keep the Bulldogs to a low score and will themselves only need a couple to have a comfortable lead. Bulldogs to cover with the 9.5 point headstart but the best bet is the Total to go Under. 

The right side Bulldogs defence has been shot to pieces this week, look for Tedesco to exploit that as he has done in his previous two matchups.
Best Bet1: Under 38.5 Game Total @10/11 at Justbet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Canterbury +10.5 Handicap Line @10/11 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet3: James Tedesco First Tryscorer @9/1 at Ladbrokes Australia - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: James Tedesco Anytime Tryscorer @6/4 at Ladbrokes Australia - 1 Unit
Under 38.5
Game Total
@10/11 - 3 Units
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Canterbury +10.5
Handicap Line
@10/11 - 2 Units
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James Tedesco
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